You do realize, so real watch guys actually handled the watches, all of them, and said they look very nice and have terrific build, fit and finish. Some people may not like the design, but I think some of the high end watches you talk about spell "need for attention" (I find some of them, not all of them, very very ugly in the rococco way of uglyness) much more than an Apple watch at any price.
Let me clarify: What I'm saying is that I think Apple knows they have a market for the $4k gold Apple Watch and they know who's in that market. I'm just a little amused by guys who think somehow that Rolex is the same market.
Most collectable aren't investment, at most they don't lose value long term with inflation. Just a few select models, years become iconic and have their value increase more.
Of course, high end watches don't lose much with time because new ones are essentially like old ones in most ways, even functionality. That's not the case with electronics obviously.
So no it will not keep its value like other high end watches if your not able to upgrade its electronics, but the I don't expect the more expensive one it to lose more than 40% of its value in 10 years if its kept in good condition.
Again, a watch is not an investment. You don't buy a $10k wristwatch to make money... You buy it so you can say you bought a $10k wristwatch. It's far too speculative/finicky of a market to call it an investment... and as appreciable return goes, it's HORRIBLE.... you'd make more money faster sitting on ten year treasuries, i.e. the Risk Free Rate, a guaranteed fixed return.
I didn't buy my Rolex with the idea that I'd make money, I bought 6000 shares of Apple stock in 2000 with the idea of making money....