@Wildkraut and others. I apologize in advance for a long post. Maybe I need to start a blog.
"Yes, I watched all their keynotes, and the last ones reflects their somewhat unrealistic view of the future.
But it's also their vision of tying users to an ecosystem which you can't easily escape, since you don't own your data anymore. That would be like a Jackpot, or better, like owning a money printing machine."
This is not just Apple's vision of the future. Facebook is trying to become the new AOL. The place you talk to you friends, store your photos and videos, read your news, even free internet (very restricted services) in certain markets. Amazon failed with it's mobile phone push (as did Facebook and Microsoft), but is succeeding with Alexia and other cloud initiatives. Microsoft's Office 365 service is an incredible deal. All cloud focused, all recognizing mobile (tablet and smartphone) accessibility is as, if not more, important than traditional computer formats.
"This doesn't work well yet, and won't work. The success of this vision doesn't depend only of iOS, too. Here, people struggle mainly with 6Mbit or 25Mbit DSL connections at home, few ones have 50Mbit, rare ones have 100Mbit. I have 25Mbit. Today 7.2Mbit/3G is still the most used mobile connection type world wide. In other parts of the world the internet connection drops all the time, etc."
I understand the limitations at this time, but Google and Facebook are pushing initiatives for ubiquitous and fast internet connections world wide, and Google in particular, with Google Fiber, is challenging the monopolies in the USA. Our limits in the west are not due to lack of technology, but lack of political will up until now. The third world is coming online and they are skipping the legacy technologies that we used.
"So, we won't see people batch processing/editing huge amount of data (e.g. 2-3 weeks of holiday raw photos and large videos) over the internet to the cloud in near future. In relation to this, data types are becoming larger and larger, this lessens the internet speed gain advantage you get in the future, and we will be more or less at same situation as of today.
Just with an higher connection speed, but on the other side larger data types.
Maybe in they get this working with iPad Pro version 30, because its not a 1:1 progress of data type size increment to internet speed increment."
You are making the assumption the average person needs much in terms of batch processing. You mention photography. Removing red eye, do some cropping, and picking the best photos is what the average person wants. Few are taking photos in Raw format. And guess what? Google does this for free, 24/7, with their Google Photos app. Not robust enough for you, but more than enough for Joe Smoe when he comes back from the family vacation with 100's of photos and just wants to post on Facebook. AI and the cloud will and does provide additional services (music discover, Amazon reminding me to re-order dog food, etc.). And those with the technical knowledge can already set up Instances/VMs for cheap, creating and destroying servers and services as they need.
"In addition to this, i see more and more privacy concerns with this cloud hype and you don't own your data anymore. Up to a level its totally fine, but cloud for all and all in the cloud, will fail for sure. Anyway, this is a very complex topic to discuss quickly with just a few lines."
Yes, it's very complex and you're right, privacy is becoming the issue all cloud providers will have to address, thanks in part to the FBI and their ham-fisted actions. But that path is clear: as long as only you own the keys and can move and control who (or what) can access your data, you are safe.
"Regarding professionals moving away from Apple: With these kind of professionals I meant specially the Digital Artists for e.g. 3D, 2D Assets Creators. Video Editors, VFX, Colour Graders, Animators, etc. non Apple Device Game Developers. Watch few making off movies or games and see which kind of machines they run their applications.
Mainly Linux or Windows, but here and there you spot a mac.
It does not even worth to buy a MacPro anymore, its inner tech is old, speed wise surpassed already since years, non-upgradeable, too."
I remember the uproar when Apple smurfed Final Cut. And agree, everyone has been wondering what Apple's game plan is with regard to Mac Pros and MBP's.
"Apple is simply becoming more and more a mainstream consumer device manufacturer, and don't care much of professionals anymore."
I'm not totally disagreeing with you, but I think it's more nuanced.
I recent watched a podcast with Bill Atkinson, a pioneer at Apple and creator of HyperCard. With regard to HyperCard, he said he was not trying to create an app for programmers, but an application for the common person to create as solution to any problem they wanted to solve, with minimum technical skill. I think Apple and others believe we are heading toward a HyperCard world. Our way of communicating and operating in this future world revolves around simple, easy to use mobile devices, leveraged by the cloud. You are not going to worry about saving. You are not going to care about where something is stored. And instead of buying a MBP because three times a year you need professional level processing, you will rely on the cloud and its ability to scale as needed. Hard core techie professionals may still need workstations, the majority will not.
"Regarding Microsoft, they are doing impressive stuff lately, I'll keep watching.
Just catched me seriously browsing the surface site few days ago."
I think Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Microsoft have great leaders in place right now. We are living in a golden age of innovation.