Do You Think iPhone X Will Sell Out Quickly ????

Discussion in 'iPhone' started by titrau, Sep 18, 2017.


Do You Think iPhone X Will Sell Out Quickly ????

Poll closed Sep 25, 2017.
  1. in 30 Minutes

    43 vote(s)
  2. in 20 Minutes

    19 vote(s)
  3. in 10 Minutes

    58 vote(s)
  4. in 5 Minutes

    107 vote(s)
  5. in 1 Minutes

    111 vote(s)
  6. Same as 8/8 Plus ( No one care )

    22 vote(s)
  1. titrau macrumors 65816


    Aug 16, 2017
  2. joeblow7777 macrumors 603

    Sep 7, 2010
    I think you mean to ask, "will the iPhone X sell out quickly?"

    Having the question in past tense might make people panic and think they missed the start of pre-orders already! LOL.

    But to further clarify, what constitutes being sold out? Do you mean when the expected delivery date is no longer November 3rd?
  3. Menel macrumors 603


    Aug 4, 2011
    Too expensive. Special factor has jumped the shark. No one will care.
  4. Newtons Apple macrumors Core

    Newtons Apple

    Mar 12, 2014
    Jacksonville, Florida
    No way to know if it sold out as they will be filling orders for months and months into 2018

    They will sell way more 8 and 8+ units for sure.
  5. Italianblend macrumors 68000


    Mar 21, 2011
  6. Dave245 macrumors 604


    Sep 15, 2013
    I think it will see out within about 10 minutes, meaning that dates will start slipping. I think you should rephrase your question tho because it sounds like you are asking people if the iPhone X has already sold out quick, it isn't even out yet.
  7. elfxmilhouse macrumors 6502a

    Oct 15, 2008
    Northeast USA
    iPhone X doesn't go on pre sale until October...
  8. iapplelove macrumors 601


    Nov 22, 2011
    East Coast USA
    I'm still shocked the 8 and 8 plus isn't sold out. I can get one on Friday by just walking into an Apple Store. The X I don't think will sell out either.
  9. joeblow7777, Sep 18, 2017
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 18, 2017

    joeblow7777 macrumors 603

    Sep 7, 2010
    Come on, guys. I think it's fair to assume that the question is meant to be future tense.
  10. Dirtydutch macrumors 6502a


    Sep 19, 2015
    Once around 3-5 minutes rolls around it'll probably be around 3-4 weeks like usual, just hope it doesn't reach 6-8 too quickly. And I do honestly believe most ppl understood what he was conveying in his poll question....
  11. BeeGood macrumors 68000


    Sep 15, 2013
    Lot 23E. Somewhere in Georgia.
    Assuming “Sell Out” = “No More 11/3 delivery dates”, I vote 5 minutes. it’ll probably be more like 2-3 minutes.
  12. elfxmilhouse, Sep 18, 2017
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 18, 2017

    elfxmilhouse macrumors 6502a

    Oct 15, 2008
    Northeast USA
    I had two people tell me over the weekend that they weren't fast enough to order the iPhone X on Friday so not everyone knew it wasn't even available to begin with. If you weren't paying attention during the order process I wouldn't be surprised if it looked like iPhone X was sold out/unavailable on Friday.
  13. joeblow7777 macrumors 603

    Sep 7, 2010
    3-4 weeks back order within 3-5 minutes is normal? Seriously, how do that many people order that fast?

    Anyway, maybe it won't be so bad for the X. There are a few unique factors to consider.

    - It's launching later so they have more time to build up an initial stock.
    - A lot of people will have already decided to get an 8 or 8 Plus instead.
    - The price will be a deal breaker for many.
    - Things like the notch, lack of home button, and lack of TouchID will also be deal breakers for some.

    I have no doubt that it will be successful, but I don't see the X being a record breaker for Apple.
    --- Post Merged, Sep 18, 2017 ---
    Yeah, but people on this forum?
  14. soloer macrumors 6502a


    Sep 27, 2004
    I think it will be. There are a lot of people that like having the latest and greatest whether they need it or not, and this will be the current status symbol for many.
  15. joeblow7777 macrumors 603

    Sep 7, 2010
    That's true, but the X is still going to lose sales because many have already bought the 8 or 8 Plus, and even with the later launch it's likely that the supply is still lower than in previous years where they only had 1 or 2 new models to produce and no bottleneck of OLED screens. So even if the X sells out instantly it might not be a record breaker simply due to the fact that they don't have as many to sell.
  16. geoff5093 macrumors 68020


    Sep 16, 2014
    Dover, NH
    OP, the phone hasn't gone on sale yet, so it can't be sold out.
  17. Weaselboy Moderator


    Staff Member

    Jan 23, 2005
    Moderator Note:

    I've edited the title for clarity.
  18. bufffilm Suspended


    May 3, 2011
    You forget that a portion of the pre-order folk are just buying this to make a quick profit on the resale.

    After all, the worst that can happen is they return the phone within the return window if they don't find a quick buyer.

    These things can bring out the worst in some people.
  19. OneMike macrumors 603


    Oct 19, 2005
    I'm confident the X will sell out. Be it scalpers, legit customers or Apple holding back the supply.
  20. GoingDark macrumors 6502

    Nov 2, 2013
    Every year, the "most desirable" iPhone - e.g. Jet Black 7+ last year, gold 5S a few years ago - has its ship date slip almost immediately to 6+ weeks out.

    I remember trying for a Jet Black 7+ at exactly 3AM EST last year and getting an estimated delivery date of late October, nearly two months out.
    This was for a phone they were supply-constrained enough on that it wasn't even available in the lowest storage tier.

    Given the 6-8 week lead time on even normal "most desirable" iPhones in past years, the fact that they're not even taking pre-orders until the end of October makes me think that they know even the earliest preorders won't see delivery until January.
    They've probably calculated that taking pre-orders at the end of October for a January ship date is a better PR story than taking pre-orders in September for a January ship date - this keeps them in the same 6-8 week window that previous high-demand iPhones have had.

    Additionally, the real story will be how many iPhone X units they allocate to each region. Demand for iPhone 7 was actually up worldwide except for China, where the iPhone is a status symbol and changes in physical design are more important than anything else. That makes me think they'll allocate the bulk of first-run iPhone X units to China, leaving North American supply even more limited than it already would be.

    TLDR if you pre-order at exactly the first second you're humanly capable of adding it to your cart, you probably still won't get one until January 2018.
  21. The Game 161 macrumors P6

    The Game 161

    Dec 15, 2010
  22. FrankySavvy macrumors 65816

    Mar 4, 2010
    Long Island, NY
    I think with the delayed release and with the price being $300 dollars more this year, plus the iPhone 8/8 Plus already on sale - I think it will definitely be supply constrained but not as bad as January 2018, unless you preorder a week after it goes on sale. If you are up as soon as the preorders open, you should be able to get it for November 3rd delivery, after about 5 minutes it will slip to 3-4 weeks, then after 10 minutes 4-6 weeks, then 15 minutes 6 to 8 etc. I also think Apple will estimated longer, but deliver faster.
  23. pcorrado macrumors 6502

    May 21, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    I expect Apple to want to sell as many phones as possible before year end and over the holidays. I do expect the date to slip With the hour for sure but also expect those preordering with the first few hours to acquire a device before the end of the year.

    The interesting thing to keep in mind is in other cases with limited availability (jet black). There were other models for Apple to have customers fall back on. E.g. they were less likely to turn away customers in the first 50-100 lined up at a store / first few minutes of ordering because these customers would buy another color, capacity of the same phone. In this case, if supply is as bad as believed, they may lose customers going given how long the wait between the 8 and X is.

    It’s an interesting launch. That said, launching in 30 countries simultaneously with severely constrained stock is bold. Courageous even.
  24. Steve121178 macrumors 601


    Apr 13, 2010
    Bedfordshire, UK
    Of course it will sell out. It's the "must have" gadget of the year.
  25. GetSwole37 macrumors member

    Jun 23, 2010
    I hope that by the time I can get mine, it's pushed all the way to Dec or Jan. Then that way I can skip it.

    That is what will keep me from buying it. I'll buy it but before I play w it, I'll go to store and check it out in person and decide to keep or not.

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129 September 18, 2017