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Because many of us here went through PPC to Intel transition. Tim could’ve said “Don’t worry about buying an Intel Mac today, I guarantee Intel support for the next 5 major revisions of MacOS till 11.4“
Instead he said the vague “years”

As it has been repeated many times here, A new G5 model came out in late 2005 after Intel transition was announced and those poor saps only got 2 years of being able to run the latest version of OSX. After that, they just got Security and bug fixes.

I bought a G4 MacBook Pro and Mac mini around the end of 2004/early 2005 right before WWDC 2005 and of course I made a huge mistake and I just did it again with 2 loaded MBP’s in the last 8 months.

You cannot compare what happened in 2005. 2020 is not 2005. We have come a VERY VERY long way. I can still use a computer I purchased in 2010 with Windows 10, Adobe CC 2020 versions, play the newest games with an updated GPU. I could NOT do that in 2005 (use a 1995 computer with the latest stuff). And Power PC is not Intel, not even close as AMD and Intel run the show. Power PC is a nobody compared to Intel other than old Macs and gaming consoles. Have you noticed since Intel the amount of software Macs have skyrocketed? This is a different time. We are going from an industry standard to a brand new architecture that is not widely supported as intel.

2005 went from a relatively unknown to an industry standard --> fast transition as Intel is well Intel.
2005 was a different time in the computing industry, as mentioned above. You would not find people using a 1005 computer in 2005 and still have access to the latest software and can run it well.

I very well think 2 year transition will be fine at the hardware level. However, software? I expect that to take a much longer time.
 
If you have proper work to do I'd not hesitate to buy a MacBook Pro today.

Why? Because we're at least 12-18 months before a Pro MacBook being out and there will be a transition period where things aren't quite as smooth with regards to application support, etc.

That's a long time to wait with a machine that's now 5 years old and missing codec support for modern AV encoding amongst other things. Especially if you're using it for work and can claim a tax deduction for it.
 
I think that is an obvious truth. Future Apple will support one operating system, but at age 72 do I much care?
That's what I'm thinking. Probably appleOS 1.0 once Intel is 100% done, and support is officially discontinued. I'm thinking appleOS will scale from the watch to the Mac Pro, with interfaces scaling between mobile and Mac.

It'll probably make sense, because by then, macOS will be on version 16-18ish, and iOS will be 20-22! It'll make more sense just to start over from scratch.
 
I don’t plan to go Arm Mac immediately. The performance benefit and additional benefit coming from integrated ios/ipad os and mac OS platform must be substantial enough for me to switch from MBP 16”.

Well, the primary reason that I can wait is that I’m using my Mac as only personal use nowadays. Why switch when Apple is obviously utilizing customers for beta testing? Wait one or two more years, and I will probably have a perfect Arm Mac!
 
My triggers for switching to an ARM Mac laptop will be:

1. 2nd or 3rd revision of model to reduce the risk of design flaws/mechanical issues etc.

2. Proven x86 windows 10 emulation for technical and business desktop apps or some kind of Windows 10 desktop-as-a-service offered by Microsoft included in the price of their office suite (they used to include 'virtual PC' for Macs which was a local emulator).

3. _Noticeably_ faster than my current MBP (10th gen quad core i5 13" MBP) when using MS Mac Office locally and Web-based SaaS such as Salesforce.com i.e. something like 2 or 3 times faster.

4. Battery life is at least 2x as long.
 
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