so Wall Street knows better? cause they're a bunch of lawyers?The stock market disagrees w your summary.
so Wall Street knows better? cause they're a bunch of lawyers?The stock market disagrees w your summary.
My point is, if it was such a win for Apple, then why did the stock drop, and not rise? Conclusion: it wasn't such an epic win for Apple as you make out.
Also, if you look at the chart in log scale (which you always should, and if you don't know why, you should research that), you will see that comparatively, Apple stock has stagnated since the trial began. Before that it was on a meteoric rise. Since then, not even close. And not just compared with itself, but compared with most other tech stocks, which have kept on rising at a meteoric pace. This is much much bigger than you think, as market analysts know that Apple makes a massive profit from the 15/30% cut, and that cut is under huge threat. How much this ruling will affect that cut, is hard to say quite yet, but the drop in stock price instead of a rise shows that analysts sure aren't immediately celebrating it as a win for Apple.
Also keep in mind that during this "stagnation", Apple has released the first M1 devices, which blew everyone away with how awesome they are, and yet the stock price still stagnated. That is huge.
The lawsuit was filed in mid-August 2020, the 13th I believe. AAPL is only up about 30% from there. Apple has slightly underperformed the S&P 500 in that time, which is up about 33%. I would expect tech stocks to generally outperform the S&P 500. MSFT for instance is up about 41% in that same period.No, I’m under the impression that the market was aware the case was pending before today, along with many others, and with that information the stock has risen 50%. Today’s minor blip, against the background of a declining market, shows that the market doesn’t feel they misjudged the situation.
I pretty clearly said what I meant. Today’s change was quite literally in the noise. Look at the stock chart over the past year— this weeks change is no different than dozens of other weeks over the past year. Epic is private, but Tencent owns 40% of Epic along with a variety if other game makers and they’re down 1.41%. Shouldn’t Spotify be up significantly more if they were a major winner?
I don’t personally put a lot of value in daily changes in the stock market, but the person I was replying do tried to. If you back up and look at what the overall impact of the Epic suit has been on Apple’s share price— it’s hard to come to a conclusion other than essentially none.
Yeah, people get lung cancer all the time. Of course it's completely unrelated to the fact that they're a heavy smoker.The most straightforward explanation is that the fluctuation in stock price has nothing to do with the outcome of the lawsuit at all.
Share price rise and fall throughout the day, and I feel it’s pointless to try and attribute this to any one specific event.
Apple won't get paid for purchases made outside of the app.It would be done through the licensing agreement for developer tools, much as Epic does when licensing the unreal engine. Developers would have to report total IAP sales and send a check.
Yeah, people get lung cancer all the time. Of course it's completely unrelated to the fact that they're a heavy smoker.![]()
So if Apple is required to provide some link to outside payment, would they still get a cut of this amount? I say “if” because I’m assuming this portion will be appealed. I’m also assuming the app won’t be able to advertise a price outside the App Store in the app, and there will be some debate over the size of the link. What do you think?No it doesn’t. The court’s ruling says that Apple is entitled to a commission for every purchase, even for purchases made outside the App Store.
YOu have a problem w/ buying from Amazon, Apple, Walmart, Target, Best Buy, Game Stop, Door Dash, Uber, Ebay, etc..? Hmmm, that sure is a lot of payment plan setup for an avg consumer. Could you imagine not being able to do that and only going to Samsung as your only payment option?
Nobody knows. I think if it’s just a link to a website, they don’t get a cut, otherwise they do? (The injunction actually may be missing a comma or two so there’s some debate as to what it means - do they have to allow in-app third party purchases?). But how do they audit the sales? Do they provide a front-end SDK with a consistent user interface that captures all orders, and passes the info to the developer’s selected back end payment processor? No idea. Do they mandate that all third party subscriptions have to be reported to Apple so they can be cancelled from the central interface? Do they do so to enforce parental controls? Lots of questions. If it’s just links to webpages, it’s simpler - Apple mandates that you can’t have such links unless you also allow in-app purchases (which the injunction seems to allow), and charges developers a flat fee for that to make up for lost income? Or not?So if Apple is required to provide some link to outside payment, would they still get a cut of this amount? I say “if” because I’m assuming this portion will be appealed. I’m also assuming the app won’t be able to advertise a price outside the App Store in the app, and there will be some debate over the size of the link. What do you think?
The lawsuit was filed in mid-August 2020, the 13th I believe. AAPL is only up about 30% from there. Apple has slightly underperformed the S&P 500 in that time, which is up about 33%. I would expect tech stocks to generally outperform the S&P 500. MSFT for instance is up about 41% in that same period.
Apple won't get paid for purchases made outside of the app.
And what part of 15/30 is not the card processing fee, it’s the commission charged that includes processing. Apple could build or has already built an API for this. Developer can choose between giving Apple 30 percent or choosing their own payment processor and only forking over 25 percent.Are you kidding? No developer has to "set up a payment system", they just have to plug in a 3rd party payment system, which is trivial to do, it's all plug'n'play, of which there are many to choose from, and they all take a cut of around 2-3%. Thus highlighting why Apple's 15/30% cut is so utterly ridiculous and greedy. Thus why Apple is in courts all over the world, as devs are sick of having to give up so much of their hard earned, to the richest and greediest company in the world.
Thanks for reading and reporting on it. At a high level, it seemed to be a win for Apple, without knowing the details. From what you’re saying, it seems like an even bigger win in terms of a basis for future cases.I wonder how many people commenting on this post have actually read the entire 185 page ruling. Well I just spent the past few hours doing exactly that. This ruling is a HUGE win for Apple. A couple of key points. First, the court found that Apple is still entitled to charge a commission for its intellectual property. This means that whilst they will have to allow links to other payment options other than IAP, Apple can still charge those developers a commission. This is the reason that Epic has said Fortnight will not be returning to the App Store, they want to pay Apple ZERO commission and they lost that battle in the court judgement. Secondly, this is a huge win for Apple because the court judgement specifically states "The Court finds in favor of Apple on all counts except with respect to violation of California's Unfair Competition law (Count Ten and only partially with respect to its claim for Declaratory relief. The preliminary injunction previously ordered is terminated". The judgement was very well written and thought out and I think it would be very hard for either party, especially Epic to win any appeal on this. On a seperate note, the new South Korean law also does not state that Apple cannot still charge a commission, in fact that law pretty much lines up with this US court ruling, in that Apple will have to allow links to third party payment options, they are still entitled to charge a commission for their IP.
Thanks for reading and reporting on it. At a high level, it seemed to be a win for Apple, without knowing the details. From what you’re saying, it seems like an even bigger win in terms of a basis for future cases.
I didn’t think a court would stipulate a certain commission, and providing a link doesn’t necessarily mean a user would prefer this outside the App Store (I certainly wouldn’t).
The bigger piece that Epic wanted seems to be allowing third party stores for buying apps. The judgement seems to have shut down this possibility — do you concur?
No. Supply and demand; the value of one can be high for good reason.But doesn’t that make it unfair for smaller search engines, and therefore, making it anti-competitive?
Sure Apple will lose some business, but they'll have incentive to remain excellent and preferable.We'll see how that sentiment holds when there are discounts for going through cheaper third-party payment processors. And if you're using a credit card for online payments like any intelligent person would be, there's no risk to you anyway. It's the bank's money, not yours in the rare event something does go sideways.
I think it was pretty obvious right from the start that the judge would not have the power to force Apple to allow third party app stores anyways. Epic probably knew this as well, but shot for the moon and brought as many lawsuits as they could against Apple in the hopes that at least one would stick.Thanks for reading and reporting on it. At a high level, it seemed to be a win for Apple, without knowing the details. From what you’re saying, it seems like an even bigger win in terms of a basis for future cases.
I didn’t think a court would stipulate a certain commission, and providing a link doesn’t necessarily mean a user would prefer this outside the App Store (I certainly wouldn’t).
The bigger piece that Epic wanted seems to be allowing third party stores for buying apps. The judgement seems to have shut down this possibility — do you concur?
I wonder what would have happened if Epic hadn't already made that "1984" video and had it ready to deploy the moment they were kicked out of the App Store for violating their contract?
That always seems like a richard move.
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Great news for Apple and their users. The other points seem fairly insignificant.It is absolutely the case that Apple does not have to allow third party app stores.
I don’t think the Judge let that influence her decision. It probably *was* relevant to the preliminary injunction Apple got against Epic, though - it was evidence of intent to break the contract, etc.