Epic is currently loving the 10% bonus they gave themselves while trying to use their customers as leverage on Apple.
I can’t wait to see their change of heart when players just stop playing Fornite. Parents aren’t going to buy their kid another device. They’ll just say play a different game.
Finally, someone who gets it. Thank you! If you take into account Fortnite’s user base demographics, all but the most hardcore streamers who make a living off of it – i.e. the adults, who run it on kitted out PC towers anyway – will basically be told by their parents, who own the plastic, to suck it up and switch to another game (and they will grumble, and try to bargain – yes, the most hardcore fans might try to get their parents to buy them an Android phone –, but they’ll eventually move on; we all did way back when for a number of reasons, usually once the new shiny thing came about, so I don’t see why it’ll be any different now, as it’s just human nature, group dynamics, consumerism, etc.).
To suggest otherwise, that kids will suddenly band together around, of all things, a frivolous objective like defending a multi-million-dollar corporation from another multi-million-dollar corporation says a lot about the posters themselves (single – or at least childless –, younger dudes who never gave a thought about parenting; I do fit that demographic, generally speaking, but I’ve been diverging from that profile on the latter, crucial detail for some years now, and I guarantee you that’s exactly what I would do, temper tantrums notwithstanding). And it’s also insulting to the kids themselves, who are likely more worried about whether they’ll have a survivable, let alone inhabitable planet to live on once they reach middle age.
Anyway, onto Apple: even with all their privacy-preserving measures, they know this all too well, as they have a treasure trove of data – anonymized as it may be, sure –, including exactly how many iCloud family plans there are and how many of them installed and spent money on Fortnite. As for Epic, I’m not entirely sure what data they have and how certain they are of their odds, because their moves look like more of a crazed gamble than a game of chess. The simple fact that they were so blatantly obnoxious towards Apple – by violating the App Store TOS – and its users – by needlessly cutting them off –, and cavalier towards UE-based game developers – by embroiling them in something that’s none of their business and potentially jeopardizing their livelihood –, makes me think they’re full of hubris.
Basically, Epic and Sweeney think that Fortnite and their app store are better products in their respective markets than the iPhone lineup, Apple services, and the entire ecosystem. I think Epic is completely screwed, and will get so savagely destroyed in court and dropped by everyone with even half a brain that it won’t even be funny enough for us to feel Schadenfreude. And hey, maybe a more sensible and stable company will end up buying the UE team and IP. I won’t bet money on any of those scenarios (because, unlike Sweeney, I don’t enjoy the very idea of gambling, ha), but I’ll be here to say “toldja” and see you all eat claim chowder.