say that to those in Iran ... which has a mortality rate fluctuating from 8-18% daily ... while China as a whole has had less than 3% - population doesn't even compare between the two.
As of today the NAB Show in Vegas is still scheduled for April 18-22
This may be the next show to be cancelled though. People already get "conference crud" at the various shows in Vegas anyway. I bet attendance this year will be lower than normal (if the show happens)
One exhibitor has pulled out of NAB so far.
Between Chat, Meet and what they’re doing with the new Google Currents, they should be able to pull this off... Should.They could roll out yet another communications app for that purpose![]()
And today, Iran's totals are 77 deaths out of 2300 total, or 3.3%. Iran doesn't have a particularly high mortality rate; it has a testing and reporting problem.
I don’t think we can rely on the numbers from China or Iran. South Korea and Italy are the countries we can formulate some reliable figures from.And today, Iran's totals are 77 deaths out of 2300 total, or 3.3%. Iran doesn't have a particularly high mortality rate; it has a testing and reporting problem.
Agreed. We don’t know enough about the virus at this stage. Unfortunately despite the large numbers of cases in China they haven’t shared much or allowed much outside intervention. It is also doubtful whether these figures are correct. Are they telling us the whole story.Sorry. Mistaking absence of evidence for evidence of absence is a rookie statistics error. Occasionally a fatal one.
It's one of those things that is zero when it isn't you and infinity when it's you. When you are infected, you don't think about probability (0.1% mortality or whatever the number is). You think about the uncertainty of tomorrow. What's gonna happen to you, what about your kids, your parents? When will you get well? Will you get well at all? It's the worry that kills you.Globally the annual death toll from car crashes is 1.25 million. There are so many other things that can kill us in far greater numbers. Chill people.
Car crashes aren’t contagious and don’t have the potential to grow exponentially. Right now yes, individual risk of death from this virus in almost all of the world is extremely low especially if you’re not elderly but it’s early days. I’d rather err on the side of caution at least for a month or two until better data on the virus is available.Globally the annual death toll from car crashes is 1.25 million. There are so many other things that can kill us in far greater numbers. Chill people.
It almost seems the media frenzy is forcing cancellations.
This is absolutely being worsened by all the media coverage.
The fear is far more dangerous than the virus itself.
May and they’re closing it already? I just don’t get it. Maybe we’ll look back and see this as prudent- I’m not bold enough to predict this thing one way or the other. But the way this looks right now, it feels like a massive overreaction.
WWDC2020 looks very unlikely to happen the way things are going.
Pretty sure nobody has yet died from being afraid of the virus.
3000 people have died worldwide so far from Coronavirus (first case, December 2019)
Seasonal flu kills 291,000 to 646,000 people worldwide each year, according to a new estimate that's higher than the previous one of 250,000 to 500,000 deaths a year. (Source: MedicineNet)
But I do not see any events or travel being canceled due to the risk of catching the flu? Hmmm! I wonder why that may be??
Yet Disneyland remains open
3000 people have died worldwide so far from Coronavirus (first case, December 2019)
Seasonal flu kills 291,000 to 646,000 people worldwide each year, according to a new estimate that's higher than the previous one of 250,000 to 500,000 deaths a year. (Source: MedicineNet)
But I do not see any events or travel being canceled due to the risk of catching the flu? Hmmm! I wonder why that may be??
Yes, it is bad and something we should worry about, sure. Has it been blown out of proportions? I certainly think so.
If they close Orlando attractions and there’s a quarantine or state of emergency I’m sure the airline will allow you to rebook without a fee.Dude, I planned a trip to Orlando for April back in December. Ticket non-refundable, so if they close Disney World, Universal and Busch Gardens then I'm coming for you for jinxing my vacations 🤬
That's quite a sweeping statement to make. Give us stats or anything from a reputable source to back up that this is not serious.It almost seems the media frenzy is forcing cancellations.
This is absolutely being worsened by all the media coverage.
The fear is far more dangerous than the virus itself.
That's quite a sweeping statement to make. Give us stats or anything from a reputable source to back up that this is not serious.
You're right. I didn't intend to say it was the end of the world, but serious enough that events like this could be a breeding ground for the disease.there is a difference between “serious” and having $200/roll toilet paper because people storm stores.
This thing is serious, and many governments and entities are trying to contain it the best they can, but it’s not Armageddon.
Apple may be breathing a sigh of relief, as this buys them some more time to work on the next major releases. Haven't seen any rumors about what is expected as new features.
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I'm sure there will be online venues to attend in some fashion to tie this year over. And 2022 will let you attend in full VR.
If they close Orlando attractions and there’s a quarantine or state of emergency I’m sure the airline will allow you to rebook without a fee.
Judging by the rising and falling numbers we are seeing from China since December, the outbreak in the U.S. will probably peak in April or early May. I think it's prudent to cancel.
Falling numbers???
The renowned newspaper NZZ writes today:
... But the true extent of the epidemic in China seems unclear, because the way the number of detected infections is counted has been changed several times, which has had a noticeable effect on official statistics. As the Chinese magazine "Caixin" reported, since the beginning of February, for example, persons who are demonstrably infected but show no symptoms of the disease can no longer be counted as newly confirmed infections, but listed elsewhere. Such persons can also be contagious...
Other coferences are also being cancelled left and right. This is not a surprise. Too bad since I had a ticket to go to I/O.
I am supposed to speak at another conference in April and considering cancelling. Also, the lack of flights is causing prices to rise. $600 from West Coast to Chicago on Southwest or United, Another $600 to come home.
May and they’re closing it already? I just don’t get it. Maybe we’ll look back and see this as prudent- I’m not bold enough to predict this thing one way or the other. But the way this looks right now, it feels like a massive overreaction.