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That sub 5% gain is based on a SPEC2017 benchmark. SPEC2017 is the king of synthetic benches. Furthermore, negativity is required because Intel always pulls a fast one when it comes to these things. Additionally, I have no idea what you're talking about when you mention AMD's 7nm. Do you mean their desktop processors that wallop the 9900K and its variants in real life usecase benches for multithreaded tasks and just come a few percent short in single threaded tasks? It took AMD just three years to get at Intel's heels whereas it took 9 years for Intel to get here. Or are you referring to mobile processors? Because AMD has no 7nm mobile processors out right now. The 3000~ mobile line does not reflect the desktop line, and is always a generation behind. The Ryzen 4000~ mobile line will be using 7nm. Mobile Ryzen 3000 uses the Zen+ architecture on 12nm. Desktop Ryzen 3000 uses 7nm. Desktop Ryzen 4000 will be using 7nm+ (EUV).

OK. Lets recap a bit. What we know about 10nm Intel is that its every so slightly better in terms of performance, right? We have Anandtech and Toms reviews agreeing on that. Its not their typical full review due to the limitations Intel is putting on them, but its what we got. Intel might bias things a bit, but this isn't under reasonable dispute. (And all manufactures will try to put their products in the best light, so no need to single out Intel here.) Second, despite a move to 7nm AMD only narrowly can claim better performance per clock over 14nm Intel. 14nm Intel still has the best single threaded performance available (due absurd clock rates these days). They also have the best entire package of features, something they are unlikely to concede with things like TB3 on chip and continuing their gains in memory performance. The point being, moving to this tiny process node hasn't lead to leaps and bounds of improvements like moving from 45nm to 32nm did back in the day. It didn't for AMD and also hasn't for Intel. Today, with everything going mobile, its more about feature set in a given power envelope on the consumer side. All this BS about the best gaming CPU is a tiny market. And best performing consumer, desktop CPU, but its a 12 core monster? Really. What percentage of folks need that. Its like the Mustang or Corvette of cars. Great you have the best sports car, but its the midsize sedans/SUVs and midsize trucks that make the money. These things push electrons in review articles because that's prosumer/gamers read this stuff, but the masses care about the complete package and don't even know if its an i3 or i7 or Zen2 under the hood. That's also what wins products. Newegg or Amazon sales of individual CPUs are one thing, winning the MacBook Pro or Dell XPS is another.

Anyway, it will be interesting when AMD and Intel can compete in the same power envelope. I most certainly welcome competition from AMD. I own Intel stock and am kicking myself for not diversifying into AMD a couple years ago when I think we all knew AMD was on the rise. But at the same time, I am decreasing my exposure to Intel. Some of that is broader market reasons (and why I'm not buying AMD now), but some is long term concerns over design wins and their move away from ultra portables and mobile chips. ARM is going to eat at them from one side, AMD from another, and they are selling off some of what remains (like their 5G tech to Apple). So data center and laptops are the note worthy stuff. Eh, time to take the profits and run. So, believe me, I'm not a huge Intel fan boy here. Just calling facts the way I see them.
 
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OK. Lets recap a bit. What we know about 10nm Intel is that its every so slightly better in terms of performance, right? We have Anandtech and Toms reviews agreeing on that. Its not their typical full review due to the limitations Intel is putting on them, but its what we got. Intel might bias things a bit, but this isn't under reasonable dispute. (And all manufactures will try to put their products in the best light, so no need to single out Intel here.)

Do you have anything to offer up here other than reiterating my post to make it seem like you said it first?

Second, despite a move to 7nm AMD only narrowly can claim better performance per clock over 14nm Intel. 14nm Intel still has the best single threaded performance available (due absurd clock rates these days).

In single threaded applications, as I said. Again, you're reiterating what I said. In multi-threaded workloads the 3900X flies by the 9900K.

Skylake is EOL. Skylake is a rehash of 14nm from the original Broadwell release in 2014. 5 years of being on 14nm. Also, what "absurd clock rates" are you talking about? Were you not alive during the prime of Pentium 4 was pushing near 4 Ghz?

Also, I'm not sure if you're capable of reading what I've said twice now.

It has taken 9 years, this is one year before Sandy Bridge, to get where Intel is right now, even with all the 14nm refreshes and refinement. It has taken AMD 3 years to surpass Intel's 9900K processor in multi-threaded workloads, and fall a few percent lower than the 9900K in single threaded workloads. That is massive. AMD's total R&D budget is less than 1/3 of Intel's. AMD's processor design is radically different than Intel's. Intel made fun of AMD for going with IF and chiplets. Guess what? Intel plans on developing something like IF and using chiplets in future designs. Intel's current core connector tech isn't stable enough for massive core counts or higher frequencies. Sure 7 nm isn't too great for AMD at the moment, but again, what they have now versus 9 years of development. That close. That short amount of time.
They also have the best entire package of features, something they are unlikely to concede with things like TB3 on chip and continuing their gains in memory performance.
TB3 is open to whomever wants to use it, the caveat being Intel must inspect the hardware and code themselves. What features? AVX512 that is used by a small amount of software? Memory? If Intel wasn't worried, they wouldn't have increased core counts and base clocks on their hardware as a response to AMD.

. The point being, moving to this tiny process node hasn't lead to leaps and bounds of improvements like moving from 45nm to 32nm did back in the day.
So this isn't exactly a "tiny process node." Process sizes isn't relative to size. It hasn't in many years. Intel's 10nm is roughly the same size and density as TSMC's 7nm. You also gloss over the major fact that Westmere, Nehalem's successor utilized better instruction sets and revamped processor design, not merely a die shrink.

It didn't for AMD and also hasn't for Intel. Today, with everything going mobile, its more about feature set in a given power envelope on the consumer side.

Except you've got this wrong. So wrong. 10nm Intel is the same size and density as TSMC's 7nm which AMD uses. Whatever number followed by 'nm' hasn't been a true indicator of die size or density in a number of years. Intel has refined 14nm over 5 years now. When Intel set out to do 10nm, they took a density increase that they hadn't before and didn't realize the repercussions of until they were several years down the pipeline. Intel began working on 10nm around 8 years ago. Even Intel's CEO has stated they took a major misstep.

https://www.pcgamer.com/intel-says-it-was-too-aggressive-pursuing-10nm-will-have-7nm-chips-in-2021/

All this BS about the best gaming CPU is a tiny market. And best performing consumer, desktop CPU, but its a 12 core monster? Really. What percentage of folks need that.

Who said anything about gaming and only gaming? What do you define as average? People who putt around on their MBPs? Do people have to continuously use low core count products if they're content creators? If they need to speed through equations? Render models?

It's like me saying "Do most people on MR need MacBook Pros when the most professional thing they do is write a Word document or edit a few photos they took on their iPhone?"

Its like the Mustang or Corvette of cars. Great you have the best sports car, but its the midsize sedans/SUVs and midsize trucks that make the money.

The Mustang and Corvette are not even in the same class of vehicles. You could label them as sports cars, but the Mustang has been watered down. If you're comparing the GT350 to a Corvette ZR1, then you might have a point here. Though if you want to be anal about it, compare the GT350 to a Camaro ZL1.

These things push electrons in review articles because that's prosumer/gamers read this stuff, but the masses care about the complete package and don't even know if its an i3 or i7 or Zen2 under the hood. That's also what wins products. Newegg or Amazon sales of individual CPUs are one thing, winning the MacBook Pro or Dell XPS is another.

Fine. Intel supplies Dell and HP with high core count mobile Xeons which offer better long term durability and use case than Apple's consumer line of chips in their "pro" laptops. Additionally, if you can't tell the performance difference simply by using a mobile i3, i7 or i9 processor, then there's something wrong with you. And again, there is no mobile Zen2 processor right now.
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Anyway, it will be interesting when AMD and Intel can compete in the same power envelope.

Here's the reality. TDP is not observant and never will be observant of pure power usage. At idle, a 9900K might use 25 watts of power as it downclocks. At full load and engaging 5 Ghz on multiple cores, it could very well be using upwards of 220 watts draw power. The 9900K is rated at 90 watts TDP.

The Ivy E processor in my current workstation is rated at 130 watts TDP. Most tests have found it to draw close to 300 watts at near full load at stock. My processor is overclocked. When it comes to Intel, their TDP is a note of what kind of HSF you should use to remove the heat most efficiently.

I most certainly welcome competition from AMD. I own Intel stock and am kicking myself for not diversifying into AMD a couple years ago when I think we all knew AMD was on the rise. But at the same time, I am decreasing my exposure to Intel. Some of that is broader market reasons (and why I'm not buying AMD now), but some is long term concerns over design wins and their move away from ultra portables and mobile chips.

AMD isn't moving away from mobile chips. They're lax about the market because Intel has a massive foothold there. AMD's concern is enterprise 1st, consumer desktop 2nd.

ARM is going to eat at them from one side, AMD from another, and they are selling off some of what remains (like their 5G tech to Apple). So data center and laptops are the note worthy stuff. Eh, time to take the profits and run. So, believe me, I'm not a huge Intel fan boy here. Just calling facts the way I see them.

Intel doesn't care about ARM. They did roughly 10 years ago and because of a bad CEO their plans were purposefully delayed and by the time they got in, it was already late. Though not in the "late" you're thinking of. Late as in someone with an ego didn't want to follow in another person's footsteps. They wanted to make a name for themselves. It's been rumored for over a decade that Intel could have been producing the first few ARM processors in iPhones. ARM themselves don't directly supply OEMS. Third parties that license ARM designs do. It's why Apple looks to TSMC to build their licensed derivative of an ARM processor.

And I never accused you of being an Intel fanboy. Misinformed, sure. I haven't bought an AMD processor in nearly 20 years, so I'm not AMD fanboy either. I keep myself informed.


I posted this a few weeks ago. It should give you an idea of how bad Intel was maneuvering things over a decade ago due to bad management.

No idea. I wonder if it'll be published with a filing? The issue is that Intel wasted a lot of time and money under Krzanich, but Intel's problems began not long after Core came out in 2006 when they began to shift focus on side projects that weren't their core services, like enterprise and consumer products that were their core products. The issue isn't that they were late, it's that the CEO in the early 2000s laid the ground work for the future of the company when it came to mobile use, but the guy who came after him froze that and dicked around. That guy struck a deal with Apple for Core processors. Also the same guy who later realized how much of a dumbass he was for underestimating how fast the mobile market grew because Apple paved the way. By the time Intel did begin to gain focus on mobile, it was late. Companies had already established themselves in R&D and contracts. The theory is that Intel would have been a close Apple partner for their iPhones for a considerable amount of time, and because of holding the patents, there may have been native x86-64 running alongside Intel's then ARM processors. Krzanich replaced Otellini and made changes to further the company, but everything was late by then, and Krzanich wasn't wise when it came to direction, other than banging a board-director. Dumped money into fruitless projects. Intel's other divisions have made some grave errors over-estimating their own ability.


They're a rich company. They'll survive. AMD just released Zen 2 which are powerhouse processors when it comes to multi-threaded applications. But in true AMD form, they've flubbed the launch like every other product launch they've done. It'll take months to fix.
 
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Yes, it really will. And MacOS has already been ported to ARM. Given their strategic vision of swift ui and catalyst, ARM makes more sense than ever, not less sense.

No, it really won't.

Apple is going to continue to evolve iPadOS and iPas as their future-looking mobile computing platform. MacOS is going to remain an x86 OS. Give up on your silly fantasy of ARM based MacOS computers - it will not be happening.
 
MacOS is going to remain an x86 OS. Give up on your silly fantasy of ARM based MacOS computers - it will not be happening.

Bookmarked for future claim chowder. Apple has 'in-sourced' a lot of things over the last one and a half decades, starting with Safari on the software side, Maps on the services side and most prominently their A-series system on a chip including their own ARM cores. And that area is still expanding with Apple working on their own graphics chips (for iOS devices) and their own wireless modems (as evidenced not least by them taking over Intel's modem division). The T-series chips in recent Macs have taken over some smaller tasks from Intel chipsets (SSD controller).

To say never at this point is in my view overconfidence in your own predictive capabilities.
 
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Can’t wait to see the first ARM / A series powered MacBooks, iMacs (just ‘Mac’?) & Mac Minis at WWDC 20.
 
To say never at this point is in my view overconfidence in your own predictive capabilities.

The "never" part of my statement only applies to classic MacOS-based computers, which will remain on x86. People seem to be completely missing the fact that Apple already has a modern operating system designed for ARM-based computers. It is called iPadOS. They do not need to fork the legacy MacOS between x86 and ARM - that would be a colossal waste of resources and loss of focus on Apple's part.

The much more likely and logical path for Apple to take is to continue evolving and expanding iPadOS into new form factors, including offering more laptop-like experiences, designed for mass market consumers. And leave x86-based MacOS to continue serving high-end and professional use cases.

I am about 90% confident that is the path Apple will take, and anyone who doesn't believe me will see this for themselves over the next couple of years.
 
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Bookmarked for future claim chowder. Apple has 'in-sourced' a lot of things over the last one and a half decades, starting with Safari on the software side, Maps on the services side and most prominently their A-series system on a chip including their own ARM cores. And that area is still expanding with Apple working on their own graphics chips (for iOS devices) and their own wireless modems (as evidenced not least by them taking over Intel's modem division). The T-series chips in recent Macs have taken over some smaller tasks from Intel chipsets (SSD controller).

To say never at this point is in my view overconfidence in your own predictive capabilities.

Hey - but you misquoted me. I didn’t say that. I was responding to someone who said that, and disagreeing with it.
 
The much more likely and logical path for Apple to take is to continue evolving and expanding iPadOS into new form factors, including offering more laptop-like experiences, designed for mass market consumers.
Though that is also a prediction that has been made for many years already. A slightly less frequent prediction has been for Apple to release Macs with touchscreens (while overhauling macOS to make it more touch-compatible). Then there is Catalyst and SwiftUI. The most radical prediction would be that macOS and iOS will merge in the longterm with macOS being a variant of iOS like iPadOS is now. It would also mean that all of the previous predictions would sort-of come true.
 
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Though that is also a prediction that has been made for many years already. A slightly less frequent prediction has been for Apple to release Macs with touchscreens (while overhauling macOS to make it more touch-compatible). Then there is Catalyst and SwiftUI. The most radical prediction would be that macOS and iOS will merge in the longterm with macOS being a variant of iOS like iPadOS is now. It would also mean that all of the previous predictions would sort-of come true.
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Sorry, I blame this site's quoting system ;) but I'm not sure what exactly happened.
I’m just terrified that 10 years from now when ARM macs are everywhere, my “quote” will become a meme.
 
I’m just terrified that 10 years from now when ARM macs are everywhere, my “quote” will become a meme.

ARM Macs will be “everywhere” soon after we start seeing those long predicted Apple television sets. I am sure any day now.
 
ARM Macs will be “everywhere” soon after we start seeing those long predicted Apple television sets. I am sure any day now.

Every single thing Apple has announced over the last few years has been clearly part of a plan to unify on ARM. Keep your head in the sand, I don’t care.
 
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Every single thing Apple has announced over the last few years has been clearly part of a plan to unify on ARM. Keep your head in the sand, I don’t care.

(I definitely think) ARM notebooks are coming - I'm just not sure what kind of compromise it'll take. I'm sure they'll run benchmarks as good or better than Intel - but things I wonder about:

- Will Apple 'lock them down' - maybe only allow installs from their store?
- What will I have to give up doing on an Intel based mac to use an ARM mac?
- Will they run XCode?
- Can I run Kubernetes/Docker VMs?

I think computing will 'evolve' much more in the next five years than it has in the last five -
- optane-ish stuff
- PCIe 4 (and beyond?) speeds
- ssd disk sizes
- 5nm (and beyond?) CPUs
- micro LEDs

Apple butting heads with Intel will only make it better!
 
That sub 5% gain is based on a SPEC2017 benchmark. SPEC2017 is the king of synthetic benches.

SPEC has not been before nor is it now the king of synthetic benches. It has always mostly used real open source programs. They aren't synthetic at all.

Note the 'KLOC" column here.
https://www.spec.org/cpu2017/Docs/overview.html#Q13

That stands for thousands of lines of code. GCC is a real program that some programmers use every day.
What SPEC in some cases does do is pull a subset of the application code out so that these are simpler versions of the 'donor' application. Most very large and/or mature apps have gobs of features that a particular benchmark run isn't going to use. That just makes for extra cruft to compile and then never run on the fixed test data set for these fixed feature usage sequence. There is a chart later down on the page that shows the total lines of code for he whole suite comes to about 7M lines of code.

It is a spectacular reach to turn that into the remaining code taking on the property synthetic. It is just a simpler app does the same subset the same way.

Also as noted on the page some SPEC programs have quirky non language standard features in them that make them a bit less portable than something that had been created from scratch to be maximally portable across systems. Lots of big blobs of older code has quirks.

SPEC doesn't have a "bang, bang shoot them up" app. Most folks aren't doing Computational Electromagnetics . So somehow "I don't use these apps" tends to mutate on many forums into SPEC is 'synthetic' when it really is much closer to "I don't like the apps that SPEC uses". So 'synthetic' helps to throw shade on them.

Because SPEC is open source and used lots of compiler teams and microarchitecutre teams use the trace paths of code in the SPEC benchmark to guide the development. Some compilers have 'option flags' that can recognize and optimize critical sections of SPEC code. That is why the code base changes over time.
 
(I definitely think) ARM notebooks are coming - I'm just not sure what kind of compromise it'll take. I'm sure they'll run benchmarks as good or better than Intel - but things I wonder about:

- Will Apple 'lock them down' - maybe only allow installs from their store?
- What will I have to give up doing on an Intel based mac to use an ARM mac?
- Will they run XCode?
- Can I run Kubernetes/Docker VMs?

There are a number of things that are not possible on an ARM device - for instance no PCIe or Thunderbolt peripherals. Also no VTx, which makes any kind of proper virtualization impossible.

This is part of the reason why porting MacOS to ARM doesn't make any sense. If people just want a thin and light computer with long battery life for web browsing, watching videos, or typing documents - iPad with Smart Keyboard does this perfectly already.

If Apple does decide to make an ARM based "laptop" (I am talking a more traditional clamshell or some kind of a convertible) - it's going to run iPadOS, not MacOS.

Every single thing Apple has announced over the last few years has been clearly part of a plan to unify on ARM. Keep your head in the sand, I don’t care.

The one with "head in the sand" is you.. Or more accurately "the head stuck in a fantasy land".
 
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So Apple will get them a year late.

They just updated their entry level 13" MBP and the Air a week or two ago. Undoubtedly they knew intel's roadmap and decided to wait it out until next year. Sad.
Thats on INtel, not apple. Intel is a unreliable joke and that is still holing back the mac
 
The "never" part of my statement only applies to classic MacOS-based computers, which will remain on x86. People seem to be completely missing the fact that Apple already has a modern operating system designed for ARM-based computers. It is called iPadOS. They do not need to fork the legacy MacOS between x86 and ARM - that would be a colossal waste of resources and loss of focus on Apple's part.

The much more likely and logical path for Apple to take is to continue evolving and expanding iPadOS into new form factors, including offering more laptop-like experiences, designed for mass market consumers. And leave x86-based MacOS to continue serving high-end and professional use cases.

I am about 90% confident that is the path Apple will take, and anyone who doesn't believe me will see this for themselves over the next couple of years.

You do realize that iPadOS is a UI layer not an OS right? At its core behind the curtain most interact with its still OSX and not just the kernel.
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Can't come soon enough the day that Apple can engineer some A-series chip and release upgrades when the Mac, not Intel, are ready. I could see the MacBook line getting resuscitated as a canary for this

But who’s doing the design? Right now I’d say mbp are not ready for these chips. Less heat is good but the current shell doesn’t breathe well enough.
 
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I’m just terrified that 10 years from now when ARM macs are everywhere, my “quote” will become a meme.
Macs may use ARM by then but it's highly unlikely they will be "everywhere". Macs have been a niche product for a few decades now and they are not making any significant market share progress. If anything, switching to ARM may make them even more niche.
 
Macs may use ARM by then but it's highly unlikely they will be "everywhere". Macs have been a niche product for a few decades now and they are not making any significant market share progress. If anything, switching to ARM may make them even more niche.

Stop being so pedantic
 
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It’s weird how defensive lots of people seem to be about the Mac being synonymous with Intel.

My first Mac was a G5 iMac. Then my brother owned an intel Mac. They were basically the same computers, to the untrained eye.
 
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It’s weird how defensive lots of people seem to be about the Mac being synonymous with Intel.

My first Mac was a G5 iMac. Then my brother owned an intel Mac. They were basically the same computers, to the untrained eye.

Because Intel is synonymous with Windows and, ultimately, Microsoft. Microsoft is seen as the antithesis of Apple, and that extends back to Intel. The two companies collective dominance in computing over the past 40 years raises some very primal emotions in certain users. Apple embracing Intel is seen as both a capitulation to an inferior solution and a step towards the Mac and macOS ultimately disappearing altogether and there being no alternative but Windows or iPadOS, which are both considered completely inferior to macOS. There is also a bit of elitism that surrounded PowerPC as it was seen as a superior RISC-based solution to Intel's crusty old x86 dinosaurs, and by virtue of Apple (Steve Jobs) embracing the dinosaur, something unique and special about the Mac was lost and some users felt they had been turned into the very lemmings that the famous Macintosh "1984" ad rallied against, which came off as a big corporate betrayal by someone they idolized and would never do that to them...but I'm just spitballing here.
 
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