FWIW, I don't believe the demand for iPhone 3G initially will be as high as the original iPhone. I had an original iPhone since day 1 and I'm not getting a iPhone 3G anytime soon. My thoughts why:
- Most Apple fans bought the original iPhone when it came out. Only the hardcore folks will spend $200 after a year for a new one which basically adds only 3G and GPS - surprisingly not important for average user.
- Those who never had an iPhone, there are now many competitors on the market (albeit not coming too close yet) that didn't exist last year so that will reduce the amount of people who want it. Sprint Instinct, Verizon Voyager, etc.
- People are still feeling burned by the price drop of last year and a few iPhone owners I've spoken to have vowed never to buy an Apple product in the first 6 months...either because of an impending price drop or refresh (more memory, etc.)
- People who bought the original iPhone on Day 1 realized there was plenty of stock available throughout he weekend and for several days so it was pointless to line up.
- Increased pricing of the AT&T contract makes it difficult for more people to jump on. The difference is about $15 per month on data/SMS.
So in the end, if I was getting an iPhone 3G I'd roll in over the weekend or whenever I felt like it and pick one up. I think lining up is not justified unless you have nothing better to do...in which case, enjoy.
