iphoneX will soldout in 60 second ( Here Math )

titrau

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Original poster
Aug 16, 2017
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Hi all ... I just spent 30 minute and figure out this Math might help us feel relax and not concerning out of stock on preorder day ....

- 3.000.000 iphone x will shipment from Fox Com nov 3rd
- 500 apple store retail worldwild



(Estimate) >> apple will divide for every store amount 500 of 3,000,000 )



3,000,000 * 500 = 6,000 iphone x avail >> >> each store

6,000 avail for preorder each retailer store

_______________________________

Mchigan state = 9,000,000 population totally

9,000 people let say max 2,000,000 will care iphone purchased

2,000,000 * 6,000 = estimate approx >> ( 300 )

_______________________________

Totally = ::::::: 300 iphone X :::::


_______________________________

So michigan my state live has around 4 apple store

300*4 = :::: 75 iphone X :::::


==========================

75 iphone X divide for 2 size 64gb/256gb = :::::: 37 each :::::

==========================

::::: 37 iphone X :::::::

So the first 37 people who buying pickup will has chance to get it .....

:::::: 1 munite has 60 second ::::::::

60 second>> of 37 iphone X


==========================

@@@@@ iphone X will sell quickly in a minute guys @@@@@




Who agree my math ????


this is my guess math and i understand isnt sure if stock count like my way
but i think this should help us know how going on now ......


whoever interesting my math idea can used it and calculate where your area could help for hope ,


Thanks for join /:)
 

saltd

macrumors 6502a
Aug 1, 2010
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I love these posts, but really we won’t know until tomorrow. It all depends on more factors than sheer numbers. If the website/app performs flawlessly, then maybe. I do think it’ll take longer than that to sell out the first wave though.
 
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tkukoc

macrumors 65816
Sep 16, 2014
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Wish I Was In Space!
....So it's going to be quick? I'm bad at math..:eek: Good luck to everyone preordering. Sitting this one out till next year.. It will be a "big" one!
 

stulaw11

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Jan 25, 2012
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You cant speculate because all there is are analyst predictions on potential shipment numbers; no official statement from anyone how many are actually ready by 11/3.

From Forbes last week:

"DigiTimes reported yesterday that Foxconn, Apple’s largest builder of iPhones, shipped the first batch of 46,500 iPhone X’s (which is a drop in the bucket) but that production has ramped from 100,000 units a week to 400,000.

Raymond James Apple analyst, Tavis McCourt, published a note citing Cailian Press, a financial media outlet in China, that production was up to a daily run-rate of 250,000 units. This translates to almost 2 million per week so still a fair amount under what will be needed to satisfy demand."

As you can see the guesses are 400k per week to 250k per day; a HUGE range. Ie. no one really knows.
 

haqsha23

macrumors 6502a
Oct 22, 2017
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Mississauga
You cant speculate because all there is are analyst predictions on potential shipment numbers; no official statement from anyone how many are actually ready by 11/3.

From Forbes last week:

"DigiTimes reported yesterday that Foxconn, Apple’s largest builder of iPhones, shipped the first batch of 46,500 iPhone X’s (which is a drop in the bucket) but that production has ramped from 100,000 units a week to 400,000.

Raymond James Apple analyst, Tavis McCourt, published a note citing Cailian Press, a financial media outlet in China, that production was up to a daily run-rate of 250,000 units. This translates to almost 2 million per week so still a fair amount under what will be needed to satisfy demand."

As you can see the guesses are 400k per week to 250k per day; a HUGE range. Ie. no one really knows.
Also, no one knows exactly when production started, nor do they know of the fluctuations within those daily/weekly numbers.
 

stulaw11

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Also, no one knows exactly when production started, nor do they know of the fluctuations within those daily/weekly numbers.
I think they have more ready then they are leading on to the public honestly. I also do think the demand is way overblown for a $1,000 and up phone by the media outlets and hype. Were not talking a phone that you can get in at $649 anymore, but base price of $999. Not everyone is going to pony up the extra $350 this year.

Will everyone get one launch day,of course not. But I seriously doubt if you order within the first 30 minutes itll be crazy like 2018 some are claiming.

Apple did the same thing last year, it slipped to 2-3 weeks very quickly but then they started shipping out way earlier like after a few days after launch as they built more and more shipped over from China.
 
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ssrij

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Dec 16, 2016
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United Kingdom
Awful english, and also your entire math is wrong because you made one wrong assumption at the very beginning:

- 3.000.000 iphone x will shipment from Fox Com nov 3rd
- 500 apple store retail worldwild



(Estimate) >> apple will divide for every store amount 500 of 3,000,000 )
Apple doesn't split phones like that. Phones are split depending on city population, how many iPhone users in that city, past iPhone sales (unlocked, iUP, etc), etc. Each store DOES NOT get the same amount of stock as others. The stock stores receive depends on many variables.

Also, Apple wont be sending all it's stock to its own retail stores. Some of the stock will be going to carriers and independent retailers.
 
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titrau

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If this kinda possible happend >> alot people will wait long delay till 2018

I dont know i could get it or not but i will try in first 60 second by appstore

my window vista cant chase for it .....
[doublepost=1508963652][/doublepost]
Awful english, and also your entire math is wrong because you made one wrong assumption at the very beginning:



Apple doesn't split phones like that. Phones are split depending on city population, how many iPhone users in that city, past iPhone sales (unlocked, iUP, etc), etc. Each store DOES NOT get the same amount of stock as others.

Also, Apple wont be sending all it's stock to its own retail stores. Some of the stock will be going to carriers and independent retailers.

I know apple doesnt split like that ....like i say this is quick math and my way calculate
 

ssrij

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I know apple doesnt split like that ....like i say this is quick math and my way calculate
1. If you already know that Apple doesn't split the phones like that, then why make the post?
2. Your quick math doesn't help anyone, as your math is totally wrong, and you just wasted 30 minutes of your time

It's nearly impossible to estimate how many stock each store will get unless you have access to all the variables I mentioned above.

What is possible to estimate, is how quickly the phone could sell out, and you can extrapolate that from previous iPhone pre-order data (ex: iPhone 6+ pre-orders, or iPhone 7/7+ Jet Black pre-orders), 'Are you buying the iPhone X?' polls, etc.
 
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titrau

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1. If you already know that Apple doesn't split the phones like that, then why make the post?
2. Your quick math doesn't help anyone, as your math is totally wrong, and you just wasted 30 minutes of your time

It's nearly impossible to estimate how many stock each store will get unless you have access to all the variables I mentioned above.

What is possible to estimate, is how quickly the phone could sell out, and you can extrapolate that from previous iPhone pre-order data (ex: iPhone 6+ pre-orders, or iPhone 7/7+ Jet Black pre-orders), 'Are you buying the iPhone X?' polls, etc.
I believe my Math ... will see >>>
 

ssrij

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Might be a second language for him?
Yes, but perhaps the person should get better at that language before using it on a global forum like MR? It's extremely hard to understand what this person is saying, and I have seen his other posts, same issue. It's honestly quite annoying reading broken English like that.

He could just write it in his native language and do a Google Translate, and I am sure it will come out better than him writing in that language in the first place, and it would be easier to read and understand.
 
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Diorama

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Oct 6, 2017
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It wasn’t that bad. If you didn’t understand what he meant you probably aren’t very clever, and if you did you’re being an *******. Take your pick.
[doublepost=1508965819][/doublepost]The asterisks represent a colloquial name for the orifice downstream from the rectum.
 

ssrij

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It wasn’t that bad. If you didn’t understand what he meant you probably aren’t very clever, and if you did you’re being an *******. Take your pick.
[doublepost=1508965819][/doublepost]The asterisks represent a colloquial name for the orifice downstream from the rectum.
No, I am not being an ******. I am simply pointing out a fact. Perhaps he can take extra time when writing down something and make sure the English is correct (I am not saying it should be perfect), before posting, instead of hastily typing in broken English which makes what he saying difficult to comprehend without careful reading.