# iphoneX will soldout in 60 second ( Here Math )

#### titrau

##### Suspended
Original poster
Hi all ... I just spent 30 minute and figure out this Math might help us feel relax and not concerning out of stock on preorder day ....

- 3.000.000 iphone x will shipment from Fox Com nov 3rd
- 500 apple store retail worldwild

(Estimate) >> apple will divide for every store amount 500 of 3,000,000 )

3,000,000 * 500 = 6,000 iphone x avail >> >> each store

6,000 avail for preorder each retailer store

_______________________________

Mchigan state = 9,000,000 population totally

9,000 people let say max 2,000,000 will care iphone purchased

2,000,000 * 6,000 = estimate approx >> ( 300 )

_______________________________

Totally = ::::::: 300 iphone X :::::

_______________________________

So michigan my state live has around 4 apple store

300*4 = :::: 75 iphone X :::::

==========================

75 iphone X divide for 2 size 64gb/256gb = :::::: 37 each :::::

==========================

::::: 37 iphone X :::::::

So the first 37 people who buying pickup will has chance to get it .....

:::::: 1 munite has 60 second ::::::::

60 second>> of 37 iphone X

==========================

@@@@@ iphone X will sell quickly in a minute guys @@@@@

Who agree my math ????

this is my guess math and i understand isnt sure if stock count like my way
but i think this should help us know how going on now ......

whoever interesting my math idea can used it and calculate where your area could help for hope ,

Thanks for join /

#### haqsha23

##### macrumors 6502a
I'm not going to bother going through that calculation, but the conclusion that they will sell 3,000,000 pre-orders in a minute is a reasonable conclusion, although how you got there may be totally inaccurate.

#### saltd

##### macrumors 6502a
I love these posts, but really we won’t know until tomorrow. It all depends on more factors than sheer numbers. If the website/app performs flawlessly, then maybe. I do think it’ll take longer than that to sell out the first wave though.

drknowusa

#### tkukoc

##### macrumors 65816
....So it's going to be quick? I'm bad at math.. Good luck to everyone preordering. Sitting this one out till next year.. It will be a "big" one!

#### haqsha23

##### macrumors 6502a
....So it's going to be quick? I'm bad at math.. Good luck to everyone preordering. Sitting this one out till next year.. It will be a "big" one!
if they come out with the iPhone X+ with a 6.46 screen next year, i may even line up.

#### stulaw11

##### Suspended
You cant speculate because all there is are analyst predictions on potential shipment numbers; no official statement from anyone how many are actually ready by 11/3.

From Forbes last week:

"DigiTimes reported yesterday that Foxconn, Apple’s largest builder of iPhones, shipped the first batch of 46,500 iPhone X’s (which is a drop in the bucket) but that production has ramped from 100,000 units a week to 400,000.

Raymond James Apple analyst, Tavis McCourt, published a note citing Cailian Press, a financial media outlet in China, that production was up to a daily run-rate of 250,000 units. This translates to almost 2 million per week so still a fair amount under what will be needed to satisfy demand."

As you can see the guesses are 400k per week to 250k per day; a HUGE range. Ie. no one really knows.

#### haqsha23

##### macrumors 6502a
You cant speculate because all there is are analyst predictions on potential shipment numbers; no official statement from anyone how many are actually ready by 11/3.

From Forbes last week:

"DigiTimes reported yesterday that Foxconn, Apple’s largest builder of iPhones, shipped the first batch of 46,500 iPhone X’s (which is a drop in the bucket) but that production has ramped from 100,000 units a week to 400,000.

Raymond James Apple analyst, Tavis McCourt, published a note citing Cailian Press, a financial media outlet in China, that production was up to a daily run-rate of 250,000 units. This translates to almost 2 million per week so still a fair amount under what will be needed to satisfy demand."

As you can see the guesses are 400k per week to 250k per day; a HUGE range. Ie. no one really knows.
Also, no one knows exactly when production started, nor do they know of the fluctuations within those daily/weekly numbers.

#### stulaw11

##### Suspended
Also, no one knows exactly when production started, nor do they know of the fluctuations within those daily/weekly numbers.
I think they have more ready then they are leading on to the public honestly. I also do think the demand is way overblown for a \$1,000 and up phone by the media outlets and hype. Were not talking a phone that you can get in at \$649 anymore, but base price of \$999. Not everyone is going to pony up the extra \$350 this year.

Will everyone get one launch day,of course not. But I seriously doubt if you order within the first 30 minutes itll be crazy like 2018 some are claiming.

Apple did the same thing last year, it slipped to 2-3 weeks very quickly but then they started shipping out way earlier like after a few days after launch as they built more and more shipped over from China.

Last edited:

#### ssrij

##### Suspended
Awful english, and also your entire math is wrong because you made one wrong assumption at the very beginning:

- 3.000.000 iphone x will shipment from Fox Com nov 3rd
- 500 apple store retail worldwild

(Estimate) >> apple will divide for every store amount 500 of 3,000,000 )
Apple doesn't split phones like that. Phones are split depending on city population, how many iPhone users in that city, past iPhone sales (unlocked, iUP, etc), etc. Each store DOES NOT get the same amount of stock as others. The stock stores receive depends on many variables.

Also, Apple wont be sending all it's stock to its own retail stores. Some of the stock will be going to carriers and independent retailers.

eVolcre and ABC5S

#### titrau

##### Suspended
Original poster
If this kinda possible happend >> alot people will wait long delay till 2018

I dont know i could get it or not but i will try in first 60 second by appstore

my window vista cant chase for it .....
[doublepost=1508963652][/doublepost]
Awful english, and also your entire math is wrong because you made one wrong assumption at the very beginning:

Apple doesn't split phones like that. Phones are split depending on city population, how many iPhone users in that city, past iPhone sales (unlocked, iUP, etc), etc. Each store DOES NOT get the same amount of stock as others.

Also, Apple wont be sending all it's stock to its own retail stores. Some of the stock will be going to carriers and independent retailers.

I know apple doesnt split like that ....like i say this is quick math and my way calculate

#### ssrij

##### Suspended
I know apple doesnt split like that ....like i say this is quick math and my way calculate
1. If you already know that Apple doesn't split the phones like that, then why make the post?
2. Your quick math doesn't help anyone, as your math is totally wrong, and you just wasted 30 minutes of your time

It's nearly impossible to estimate how many stock each store will get unless you have access to all the variables I mentioned above.

What is possible to estimate, is how quickly the phone could sell out, and you can extrapolate that from previous iPhone pre-order data (ex: iPhone 6+ pre-orders, or iPhone 7/7+ Jet Black pre-orders), 'Are you buying the iPhone X?' polls, etc.

tsturbo and ABC5S

#### titrau

##### Suspended
Original poster
1. If you already know that Apple doesn't split the phones like that, then why make the post?
2. Your quick math doesn't help anyone, as your math is totally wrong, and you just wasted 30 minutes of your time

It's nearly impossible to estimate how many stock each store will get unless you have access to all the variables I mentioned above.

What is possible to estimate, is how quickly the phone could sell out, and you can extrapolate that from previous iPhone pre-order data (ex: iPhone 6+ pre-orders, or iPhone 7/7+ Jet Black pre-orders), 'Are you buying the iPhone X?' polls, etc.
I believe my Math ... will see >>>

#### Diorama

##### macrumors 6502a
Man, I never used to show my working. The teacher hated it.

cakebytheocean

#### slippery-pete

##### macrumors 68000
Sorry, your math makes little sense. You make assumptions about almost everything then try to add in time at the end.

#### ssrij

##### Suspended
I believe my Math
and I believe the earth is flat and 2 + 2 = 5.

Beliefs don't matter, facts do.

Your math is 100% wrong, period. What you believe is irrelevant and doesn't change the fact that your math is wrong.

ABC5S

#### Diorama

##### macrumors 6502a
Absurd method; plausible conclusion.

cakebytheocean

#### titrau

##### Suspended
Original poster
and I believe the earth is flat and 2 + 2 = 5.

Beliefs don't matter, facts do.

Your math is 100% wrong, period. What you believe is irrelevant and doesn't change the fact that your math is wrong.
Kkkkk

will see ... i will ready in first 37 second

#### Cryates

##### macrumors 68020
These are the threads the iPhone breads every year around this time in the 11th hour.

ABC5S

#### joefrank64k

##### macrumors 6502
Is that common core math??

I think you forgot to carry the “1”

I can’t wait for tomorrow night. Should be a rip-roaring time, haha!!

#### webbuzz

##### macrumors 68000
Awful english, and also your entire math is wrong because you made one wrong assumption at the very beginning:
Perhaps English isn't their first or second language?

#### ssrij

##### Suspended
Might be a second language for him?
Yes, but perhaps the person should get better at that language before using it on a global forum like MR? It's extremely hard to understand what this person is saying, and I have seen his other posts, same issue. It's honestly quite annoying reading broken English like that.

He could just write it in his native language and do a Google Translate, and I am sure it will come out better than him writing in that language in the first place, and it would be easier to read and understand.

sdwaltz and ABC5S

#### Diorama

##### macrumors 6502a
It wasn’t that bad. If you didn’t understand what he meant you probably aren’t very clever, and if you did you’re being an *******. Take your pick.
[doublepost=1508965819][/doublepost]The asterisks represent a colloquial name for the orifice downstream from the rectum.

#### ssrij

##### Suspended
It wasn’t that bad. If you didn’t understand what he meant you probably aren’t very clever, and if you did you’re being an *******. Take your pick.
[doublepost=1508965819][/doublepost]The asterisks represent a colloquial name for the orifice downstream from the rectum.
No, I am not being an ******. I am simply pointing out a fact. Perhaps he can take extra time when writing down something and make sure the English is correct (I am not saying it should be perfect), before posting, instead of hastily typing in broken English which makes what he saying difficult to comprehend without careful reading.

#### slippery-pete

##### macrumors 68000
Kkkkk

will see ... i will ready in first 37 second
Are you sure its not 1st 33 seconds? 41? 36? 32? How confident are you in your 37 second number?