Warbrain said:
I'm sure someone has asked this, but I don't see any information anywhere pertaining to it...
what computers are going to be updated first? And will it really take until next year for them to get an Intel-based Mac out?
Read
this, an Intel PDF presentation from earlier this year. It tells you all (not in that much detail, but there's enough to make a good guess) about Intel's next range of CPUs, from the mobile chips, through the desktops, all the way to the high-end server chips. It also specifies timescales, which seem to tally with what Steve said in his speech earlier today.
First, forget any misconceptions you have about the space heaters that are modern Pentium 4s and Xeons. The new Intel chips are more like the Pentium M, which anyone with half a brain would tell you is a fantastic chip - great performance at low speed, low power consumption, great supporting chipset and a projected battery life in future versions of the chip of
eight hours. The new stuff from Intel will wipe the floor with anything they currently produce (which, face it, apart from Pentium M, is largely rubbish and far inferior to AMD's desktop/server line - Athlon 64 and Opteron).
In his speech, Steve said that the first Intel-based Macs will be out by this time next year and the transition will be largely complete by the end of 2007. This matches strongly with page 12 of the PDF, which can be applied to the Apple situation.
The first chip to come out is codenamed "Merom", in mid/late-2006, a replacement for Jonah/Yonah, itself a replacement for the current Pentium M. So, the first Intel-based Apple computers will be portables (which may use Jonah for a short while in summer/fall 2006, before switching to Merom when it comes out). This will fill the mighty hole left by IBM's failure to shoehorn a G5 into a Powerbook. You'll have various speed grades, for iBooks and Powerbooks. You may well see a Merom-based Mac mini.
Next comes a chip codenamed "Conroe" (where do they get these names?), slated for release in late 2006/early 2007. This is a replacement for the mainstream Pentium 4 that you get in Dells and the like. Like Merom, it will be dual-core and built on a 65nm process, making for pretty good power consumption. This is the type of chip that will find its way to iMacs and low/mid-end PowerMacs (G6s?).
Next, we have the server chips, Woodcrest and Whitefield, after 2006. Woodcrest is for dual-CPU systems, Whitefield is for quad/etc CPU systems. Woodcrest will be used in high-end PowerMacs and low-end Xserves. Whitefield will be used in high-end Xserves. Like Merom and Conroe, all 65nm, all dual/multi-core.
So, in answer to Warbrain: portables/Mac mini, then PowerMacs, then Xserves.
As for Apple, in the short term they may take a hit. But I don't understand all the snarling and wailing and gnashing of teeth. If Intel does deliver some good chips in 2006/2007 that are cheap, offer much better performance and allow Apple to take advantage of Intel's fantastic compilers, what's the problem? Apple will be able take advantage of Intel's chipsets and make a fairly painless switch to using SATA-II, PCI Express and the like. They won't be at the whim of a fairly disinterested CPU supplier and get to take advantage of Intel's unparalleled production capacities. There will be more frequent speed bumps, more cutting-edge hardware and so on. You won't lose the two best things about Apple - its stunning industrial design/aethestics/ergonomics and the operating system. Apple are hardly going to stick their Intel Mac into one of
these and turn OS X into
this.
Apple know what they're doing. They have plenty of money in the bank. I'm probably off to the Birmingham (UK) store at the weekend to buy some stuff for my iPods. I bet the store will be full of people buying Apple computers (hell, I might even get an iBook!), who don't even know (or care) whether Apple is switching to Intel or using a Zilog Z80 in 2006/2007.
People here need to get a sense of proportion. In five years' time, you'll all be using your Intel-powered Powerbooks and PowerMacs and wondering what all the fuss was about. Oh, and you won't have to worry about viruses, as someone suggested up-thread. They're written for an operating system, not a processor type.