Ming-Chi Kuo's legend will live for ever. Songs shall be sung in his glory. Till now, no one has a clue on how he pulled off such precise predictions, so consistently. No one even know how he looks like. This is the only photo of him that keeps circulating on the internet and we don't even know if its true.
I do not think he is a true analyst. it is very obvious that he had some very reliable sources. Someone from inside the Foxconn factories maybe. His true test will come when he can predict with such accuracy about products not made in China. The trouble is what product would that be?
MacRumors posts news, leaks and rumors. You wanna be surprised? Don’t visit this site.Sweet. I’ll get to be surprised by products announcement events again!
It was obviously a joke.MacRumors posts news, leaks and rumors. You wanna be surprised? Don’t visit this site.
A lot of criticism against Kuo in this thread. I always enjoyed reading his predictions and he had some very insightful accuracies over the years. He is and likely will always be one of the most consistent/reliable analysts who followed Apple. What I also liked about him, he appeared to be a very private man who remained fairly incognito who did not need to make himself recognized for his contributions in the tech sector.
He's not consistent or reliable unless those words have totally different meanings.
He's 10% batting average, he throws crap (constant never-ending stream of "notes") at the wall, then modifies his "predictions", on and on and on and on until one proves retroactively correct in the end.
Funny how when I challenge people to prove he's actually good, no one can do the math collecting ALL HIS PREDICTIONS FROM HIS NOTES; should be easy huh. People only remember the ones that worked conveniently forgetting the 10 other things in his notes that didn't pan out or were plain wrong.
Also, on anything financial, volume or revenue related he bats near zero; not so "well connected" here at all...
That guy was good at Public Relations and his public was the tech press and possibly market manipulators.
Many analysts will publish their note straight to clients who will pay a load for them and don't want those to be public knowledge. I'm guessing those are no less off than Kuo and possibly even better (by protecting their sources better) yet we don't hear them yapping about.
Kuo for me is a low rent "analyst" (and I'm using that term really loosely).
He’s right more than he’s wrong so your 10% is way off.He's not consistent or reliable unless those words have totally different meanings.
He's 10% batting average, he throws crap (constant never-ending stream of "notes") at the wall, then modifies his "predictions", on and on and on and on until one proves retroactively correct in the end.
Funny how when I challenge people to prove he's actually good, no one can do the math collecting ALL HIS PREDICTIONS FROM HIS NOTES; should be easy huh. People only remember the ones that worked conveniently forgetting the 10 other things in his notes that didn't pan out or were plain wrong.
Also, on anything financial, volume or revenue related he bats near zero; not so "well connected" here at all...
That guy was good at Public Relations and his public was the tech press and possibly market manipulators.
Many analysts will publish their note straight to clients who will pay a load for them and don't want those to be public knowledge. I'm guessing those are no less off than Kuo and possibly even better (by protecting their sources better) yet we don't hear them yapping about.
Kuo for me is a low rent "analyst" (and I'm using that term really loosely).
Ming-Chi Kuo, widely considered to be one of the best analysts covering Apple, might no longer focus his research on the iPhone maker.
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Kuo speaking on behalf of DigiTimes
China Times reports that Kuo resigned from Taiwanese research firm KGI Securities on Friday and, while his next move is uncertain, the publication suggests he will focus less on Apple and more on other emerging industries.
Kuo has been one of the most prolific sources of rumors about Apple's unreleased products and services since as early as 2010, when he was a senior analyst at industry publication DigiTimes. He briefly covered Apple for Concord Securities in 2011, before moving to KGI Securities in early 2012.
Kuo's research notes typically relayed information gathered from Apple's supply chain partners in Taiwan and other Asian countries. This information frequently allowed Kuo to accurately predict upcoming products on Apple's roadmap, although specific details and release dates were occasionally inaccurate.
While he doesn't have a perfect track record, our archive of Kuo's research notes reveals several high-profile rumors that proved to be accurate. In March 2016, nearly two years prior to the iPhone X, for example, he said Apple was developing a new iPhone with a 5.8-inch OLED display, glass back, and metal frame.
Later in 2016, he shared a laundry list of predictions about the iPhone 7 and iPhone 7 Plus, including the lack of a 3.5mm headphone jack, a new glossy Jet Black color option, stereo speakers, and improved water resistance.
Kuo also accurately forecasted the 10.5-inch iPad Pro, Apple Watch Series 2 with GPS, iPhone SE, Apple Pencil, 12-inch MacBook, MacBook Pro models with a Touch Bar and Touch ID, and the MacBook Pro with Retina display. In between, he's shared tidbits like an iPod touch refresh with new colors and white front bezels.
While speculation has mounted about whether Apple had anything to do with Kuo's decision to step down, given the company's culture of secrecy, it is believed that his departure was a move planned several months ago.
Kuo has yet to publicly comment on the report, and it's possible he may continue to cover Apple to at least some extent in the future.
Article Link: Ming-Chi Kuo May Lessen Focus on Apple Following Reported Departure From KGI Securities
I doubt that’s the reason for his departure, but I share the sentiment that product evolutions have been predictable, late coming, or unremarkable.Moved on and moving away from Apple stuff as he sees Apple no longer being innovative enough to cover possible new tech coming.
Haha.. i was just about to say that... then i saw your postTim Cook paid him off to leave (doubling down).
Sweet. I’ll get to be surprised by products announcement events again!
Your archives will also reveal that he’s wrong about as often as he’s correct.
Good for him, he just got better things to do.
Ming-Chi Kuo, widely considered to be one of the best analysts covering Apple, might no longer focus his research on the iPhone maker.
With that insight the door is already openedNow if only we here at MacRumors, could do the same.![]()
There goes half the rumors.