I highly doubt Apple is going to up the price of the "base" model by $150, I doubt they'll even go up $1. This new Apple has been very conscious of product affordability, and $500 seems to be the "Sweet spot" -- its where the majority of iPad sales are. So if 32GB/Retina @ 499 isn't possible, then we'll def see a 16GB version.
What I'm saying though, is that the iPad 3 won't be the base model. I think we'll see a 16GB iPad 2 at $499, a 32GB iPad 3 at $650, a 64GB model for $750 and a 128GB model for $850. (I also suspect the iPad 2 will have a slightly faster processor, and perhaps use the A5X which may be produced at 28nm.)
The display in the iPad costs between $80-$120, and Apple's not going to absorb the increased cost of a retina display. And the difference between 32GB and 16GB of storage is almost nothing, the latter is about $8 and the former twice that.
Not everyone (most?) cares about textbooks and I havent seen any games close to 2GB yet. Even IB2 is only 1.1 GB, most others games are well under a gig. The data released the other days shows that people aren't overloading their iPads anyway, 80% have less than 40 apps -- and they've paid for less than 10 of them.
It's true that Infinity Blade 2 is only 1.1GB, but Rage HD is 2GB, Modern Combat 3 is 1.7GB, Gangstar Rio is 1.7GB, etc., and there's a heap of games that are all around the 500MB-1GB mark, and that adds up quickly on a 16GB device.
These file sizes are already quite large, but when they start updating to support the iPad 3's retina display, they will only become larger.
The prices now is
And in the lowest end - iPad 2 32gb - 499
16gb - 499 - iPad 3 32gb - 549
32gb - 599 - iPad 3 64gb - 649
64gb - 699 - iPad 3 128gb - 749
3g
16gb - 629 - iPad 3 32gb - 679
32gb - 729 - iPad 3 64gb - 779
64gb - 829 - iPad 3 128gb - 879
This is what I think 😀
Mmm, a 32GB iPad 3 is $50 less than what the 32GB iPad 2 costs right now. It's unlikely, considering the presumably higher cost for the retina display.