I can see it being another "hobby", but not a huge product. For most people, a TV lasts 5-6 years, some more. So many people get locked into the yearly Apple product cycle, but can't see it happening with this.
There are many fiefdoms (CableCos, Broadcast Networks, Local Stations, Content Owners, Content Creators, etc.) in the current content delivery system -- and each wants control and/or their piece of the action.
The only way I can think that Apple could play in this game is to offer something that the others want so Apple could deliver their (the others) content with "Apple style".
One thing that comes to mind is bandwidth -- what if Apple had bandwidth that the others desired or needed to improve their offerings.
In 2012, there will be an auction of much of the TV broadcast spectrum that was relinquished when TV went entirely digital.
This spectrum is sought for cell phones and/or TV usage.
The bidding is expected to be quite active, and to involve $ Billions.
Hmmm...
content producers oftentimes happen to be tightly coupled with network owners*. no network, no content. that's the knot to solve here. if the networks feel like they are being made obsolete they will block, and with them having control over content they are likely to succeed.
* things may have changed in the industry that i am not aware of. if so, i guess the problem is lesser.
I can see it being another "hobby", but not a huge product. For most people, a TV lasts 5-6 years, some more. So many people get locked into the yearly Apple product cycle, but can't see it happening with this.
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Actually apple could make it work, they could push for larger cinema displays with super high resolutions (say 4k res), a 46" would double as a tv and as a large iMac that would enable people to multi task. You could watch regular tv in one corner while reading your email. Don't get me wrong, this can all be done now, much like there were phones before the iPhone, but apple will make it a much smoother experience. I would pay $2k for that...
Apple,Inc. should buy Sprint Nextel.
Make a beautiful, 32" aluminum TV. Integrate it with Apple TV and an app store. Sell it for $999.
Who would buy that? Millions.
Apple thrives in low-margin industries by differentiating and selling at a premium.
That is correct! I have been told by a high-level Broadcast Network executive, that the technology is here*, but the politics is not.
* to bring content delivery (TV?) into the 21st century.
Beyond, the bandwidth, Apple could gain negotiating leverage by creating or obtaining exclusive rights to certain, high-demand content.
Here is one example of the kind of content that gives negotiating leverage:
NBC Wins the U.S. Television Rights to Olympic Games Through 2020
Comcast/NBC gets a decade worth of Winter and summer Olympics for $4.38 Billion...
Now, I as a ATT uverse subscriber will be able to watch this content, because ATT and Comcast will reach a deal to rebroadcast each other's content.
...'Course Comcast, with a market cap of $42.88 Billion could be purchased for...
My point is that there are ways for Apple to get access to the content, and the signal that comes out of the coax cable into the house..
That accomplished, Apple could negotiate rights to stream to iPads and HD displays, alike,
As pretty as they may look, it still probably won't be as competitively priced with other brands with the same technology.
It's conjecture at this point but if Apple can combine innovative hardware (IPS display a given presumably)
Interesting...
1. Use your billions to buy the frequencies.
2. Use the frequencies as leverage to make big content distribution deals, bypassing the ISPs.
3. Use great content (+ excellent software, of course) to entice customers to buy the devices that can deliver the content.
(this is a US-centric plan but maybe it could be repeated in other areas as well with some variation.)
That makes some sense. Content producers are largely under them thumb of the cable companies in the US (which are also major ISPs) and would probably love to get out. Apple would need to give them a favorable deal compared to the cable cos, but that's not hard to do.
Enticing customers to buy is something Apple is pretty good at in general. Access to unique content packages could make this possible. I still think most will not buy a TV they don't see lasting for at least 10 years. Not sure how Apple would deal with that. Separation of display and "smart module" (set-top box)? Make it so enticing that people wont care after all?
Progression:
0) Google starts making Android TVs
1) Rumors
2) Everyone says Apple will be a failure
3) Apple releases product
4) Apple fans rewrite history to make it seem Samsung, Google, Microsoft, LG, Philips, Sony are copying Apple.
There are always ways, just think it will be anything but an easy one. Sure, if they decided to team up with just one partner (or so) it would make things much easier. But when you want to become the main hub for everything, well.. like shown in the example above the networks pay tons for exclusivity :- )
It would, however, be truly great to get rid of all the crap. I dont ever care if i cant buy things on a show-to-show basis. Just being able to pick which channels i want (and perhaps even when) would do me plenty good. Right now its just awful.
Good thing internet, and on demand streaming has started to take off at last. At least with that we are one step closer.
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great now apple can sue my samsung tv for having the shape of an well ... tv
no but seriously, im curious to see the price of that thing. just look at the price of a cinema display. can u imagine a 50inch display from apple omg
I say apple should make a 50+ inch retina display... 300+ dpi That would be awesome.
I say apple should make a 50+ inch retina display... 300+ dpi That would be awesome.
I love this rumor. I thought about it for a bit since I first heard of it.
1. The average person replaces their computer every 2 to 6 years. That may be about the same with TV's.
2. Apple brand recognition is probably about Sony and Samsung. As far as brand recognition in the TV landscape goes, since people buy TV's so infrequently they are either going to look for brands that they recognize or take advice from someone else.
3. If the product has the traditional Apple quality it will be a serious contender on the shelf. Add in some buzz and media reports and it may be the top consideration.
4. Apple loves profit, and the device will most likely be more than traditional TV's, but I doubt it will be much more. What, 30% premium? That means a $1000 samsung costs $1300 for an Apple one. This sounds similar to the Mac/PC cost ratio.
5. Not everyone is going to get it right away. You don't have to have people buying them at the rate of iPods or iPhones, Apple just need to be consistently moving them. Since it would probably run some flavor of OSX new features that build value for the "2nd generation Apple TV" could be added to older models to give you more reason to replace your second TV when it goes with another Apple TV. (I would be curious what the average number of TV's in a home is. I have a 2 bedroom apartment for me and my GF and we have one in the living room and one in the master bedroom. She wants a third for our gym. Chances are I would get an Apple TV for the living room and move then rest to their proper places. When the oldest dies I might buy another Apple TV - if it made sense.)
I can see the hardware portion of the market being penetrable, but at this point it relies of Apple's thinking different to stand out. Simply having iPhone, iPad, Mac integration isn't enough.
1. Improved display of some sort. Not just resolution or viewing angle.
2. Greener technology.
3. App Market. - This seems given since the AppEcosystem ties you into the platform and provides a solid revenue stream.
4. Avoiding the cable companies. - This could be good, could be bad. The issue of course is that once you start messing with content distribution you have a lot of people you need to play with. Apple is aware of the difficulties and it may be worth letting someone else deal with it.
A) They could let networks and content distributers and producers become "app developers". Apple controls the GUI of how users interact with "channels" and the above people decide what they charge - just like app developers.
B) Say the average channel is $1 to $10 a month customers could subscribe to the networks they prefer. (ESPN $5, NBC $1, HBO $10)
5. Offer end users the option to subscribe to shows they prefer. Two option - DVR with an expiration date or expiration number of views. Or, instead of a DVR that records the broadcast (including ads and weather disruptions) you would get a copy similar to what iTunes now options.
6. All digital distribution would give networks a lot more feedback about who, how often and what consumers are watching. Less need for the Neilsons.
7. Sports issues could be avoided in the short term by letting you subscribe to broadcast feeds of networks. Future deals with the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL could have more favorable terms to get them selling directly to their fans.
8. Pay-Per-View integrates right with downloading movies, except that it is live content such as NASCAR, UFC, WWF, etc..
9. Apple has already proven that if the quality is there and it is easy enough, people will pay for things they could get for free.
10. Let people move the content from their TV to their Mac, iPad, iPhone or iPod with ease via iCloud.
11. A universal AppMarket that allows easy interaction between the iPad, iPod and iPhone.
12. Safari would seem to need to be on it, but without a keyboard it might be frustrating to use. I could see Apple linking it with an iPad or iPhone.
So yeah, I can see them running away in the hardware market despite the cost, hardware replacement frequency and competitiveness already existent. I see them competing directly with cable and over the air broadcasts by forcing the content distributers and the content produces to work together. The only thing that would hold back adoption is if the first generation simply didn't sell. The larger the product stays on the market the more bargaining power apple would have when renegotiating contracts.
Ultimately, it's that last point that keeps me unsure if the big players are willing to give Apple a chance.
Most 1080p TVs are already Retina displays. 300+ PPI ? You don't sit 12 inches away from a TV. 50 PPI is sufficient for the retina effect.
How often do people actually upgrade there TV's?