Yeah, I seriously doubt that. People just don't seem to have perspective here.
I think my perspective is looking back 3 years and seeing it happen already.
Prices are going up for Apple, sure, but in the real world prices are continually going down (which is what is starting to cause the ridiculous disparity).
It's a race to the bottom with the formerly glorious big computer companies like Gateway, Dell, and HP providing massive performance for the lowest price possible. They all fight each other, seeing who bleeds out in that knife fight first. The last one standing will need more than desktops to bail them out. That's why HP invested in Palm. It's a life raft.
Apple has just found a way out of that falling market selling low powered devices that people pay a premium for.
Real work occurs on desktops. Again, I know this is a fact lost on many, but if anything cheap power is becoming more ubiquitous. I can see the workstation changing sure.
I think you misunderstand me. Of course the heavy work (scientific programs like Mat lab, 3d programs like Maya, etc) still need a heavy-lifting computer.
But the majority of the computer buying public does not. And they wised up to that a long time ago.
Laptops already outsell desktops. The sales of iPhones and iPads are going through the roof. People are quickly realizing that they can spend $500 on a tablet device to check email (if they even use that anymore) and dive into social media or watch Netflix, streaming TV, and youtube.
But to suggest that desktops are going to go away, and for some crazy reason they will get incredibly expensive...no that's not going to happen.
It's already happening. When is the last time you've read about the runaway success of a desktop computer? The iMac? Not since the bondi blue.
Desktops are still there, but they are dull, lifeless hunks to the buying pubic. Walk into any store that sells computers. Do you see rows and rows of desktops anymore?
nope. Laptops, netbooks, cellphones, and tablets.
Workstations are quickly going back up in price (although with inflation compared to machines of yesteryear, they're cheaper than ever), but fewer and fewer people are buying beast desktop machines. The public isn't buying the tech that drives computing power forward in leaps and bounds.
Computers aren't doubling in speed like they used to. That's the scary one. Companies are making money not by selling faster computers, that's for sure.
It's going to be awhile before we have the networks needed for this magical "cloud" experience people love to talk about. I mean, all that is, is a computer connected to a network! The buzzwords get a little silly after awhile.
Sure, as I said in my original post, the purpose for those big machines will always be there. Internet backbone equipment, massive web servers, FX workstations and render farms. but the public doesn't buy those. Not anymore.
Once we become a nation that stops producing, we will go down REAL fast. So I don't see that happening.
Holy smokes, man, that happened a LONG time ago. We have become a country of middle managers who outsource everything.
Well, that's not true. I do have some nice "made in the usa" new balance sneakers. And an American made pistol. But no electronics made here.
I'm not sure why people equate the advancement of computing with the death of decent machines.
That's setting up a strawman, don't you think?
People should stop trying to look like wise prognosticators by suggesting the outlandish.
Or you can wake up and smell the coffee! Apple is WAY ahead of the curve on this one. The desktop market is going to crater sooner than you think and Apple has changed course and is gaining altitude so quickly for a reason.
30 years from now, people will laugh at the notion of a computer that wasn't portable.