I rarely miss the launch day orders, but usually watch the progression of how Apple meets their delivery dates after I get my phone. In previous years Apple/UPS have done well to beat their delivery estimates given to the preorders that missed launch day delivery. This is a slightly different world these days with pandemics and chip shortages. But assuming I do pick up my phone tomorrow my delivery will be one week earlier than they initially predicted.
BTW SpecB, I love the heel and toe of your avatar!!! I love driving Ferrari 330 P4 and various late 70's Longtail Porsches on the pre-chicanes Le Mans track (on my sim rig, obviously!). Fun to heel and toe on various parts of that track from well over 200mph to less than 50mph with steel brakes and manual gear shifts!