It's not a win if QCOM wanted $15/iPhone and Apple stopped royalty payments already agreed from before. How much of the $4.5B was stopped royalty payments they owed anyway?
And how much did Apple save in their new terms versus what QCOM wanted over the next 5 years?
Yeah, you don't know.
It was never $15. It was the widely misinterpreted bit. Qualcomm wanted 5% of the Foxconn Sale price to Apple, not retail price. With a Cap of $400. That is the standard rate without all the rebate and discount, along with other amount passed to non-qualcomm entity. ( IPs used within the Modem that does not belongs to Qualcomm )
Tim Cook has been arguing they should paid 5% of the $30 Modem part, not the iPhone.
Steve Jobs made the deal with Qualcomm at $7.5 per unit. Qualcomm tries to rise that number, and then they got the lawsuit.
And it reads to me the UBS analyst got it right.
Your math is suspect.
If Apple is currently paying $7.50 for 4G modems (which is what Apple claimed), and now gets 5G (which also includes 4G for compatibility) for $8-9, then it means Apple is only paying between $0.50-1.50 for 5G. Seems like a bargain to me.
Qualcomm stated back in Oct 2018 that Apple owed $7 billion in withheld royalties. Minus the $1 billion Apple won in a previous ruling leaves $6 billion. The actual amount was $4.5 billion so that "analyst" was off a whopping $1.5 billion.
Looks like he wasn't right AT ALL.
The $7.5 is for patents, not modem. The modem price is entirely different. If I had to put a guess 5G modem will be $40+ per unit. And that is excluding all the additional antenna required for mmWave and other crap..... i.e Expensive.
Again the $7 billion is basic figures, does not include what Qualcomm will need to rebate back to Apple. It is like saying Apple owes me $7B but we need to give back $ (x) B without mentioning the last part.
All in all, this is better than previously thought. You can see this as both party didn't get exactly what they *
wanted* and both lost, or both party compromise and got what they *
needed* and both Win.
Actually the more I read the more I admire Qualcomm's professionalism, Samsung, and now Apple all got a license with Qualcomm.
Edit: Turns out the dispute with Huawei over patents is still on going.