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- The ability to use the accessory in other Apple products like iMac Pro or an on-location shoot with a MacBook Pro
Fair enough, but would you want to take peripherals away from e.g. an editing workstation often, in practice?

- The ability to provide more than 1500 watts to a graphics card in the future without buying a new Mac Pro with a bigger PSU (should they make one)
1500W! Good grief. No workstation GPU I'm aware of has ever got close to that. Perhaps for a PSU that has to supply an entire high end workstation with multiple GPUs, and allowing for lots of headroom.

- Potentially better cooling, keeping heat away from the main tower
The cooling in cheesegrater Mac Pros of all favours (including current) seems pretty good to me.

- In an environment where floating software licenses are used a lot, it's very handed to just unplug the card and move it to another edit bay without turning off or on the computer.
OK, if that suits.

- 6 external PCI-e devices via Thunderbolt ports, each with daisy chaining means you're never out of ports to connect professional equipment. Right now if you use 2x Vega II MPX modules, you're stuck with 3 PCI-e ports left which then you have to buy external PCI-e enclosures anyways.
You will run out of CPU PCIe lanes though either way; Thunderbolt is simply PCIe routed externally. Beyond that you are using PLX switches regardless.
 
Fair enough, but would you want to take peripherals away from e.g. an editing workstation often, in practice?

I used to work at IT in a Fortune 500 company about a decade ago and quite often edit bays would be occupied by different people. Maybe several editors comes in for 2-3 weeks and wants to use Cinema 4D while the another set of editors work on projects for a few months that never touches a 3D app. At the company, the solution was obviously "ok let's give every edit bay a beefy Quadro". But if this was a company that's penny pinching, you could probably buy 3 eGPUS and comfortably serve 10 edit bays.

1500W! Good grief. No workstation GPU I'm aware of has ever got close to that. Perhaps for a PSU that has to supply an entire high end workstation with multiple GPUs, and allowing for lots of headroom.

Considering a lot of surge protectors max out at 1500W and the computer without GPU needs a several hundred watts, considering each 8pin cable plugging into the GPU provides 150W max, and considering a single card taking in 1500W would be extremely hot to put inside a computer, we've never really had someone make that kind of GPU.

The cooling in cheesegrater Mac Pros of all favours (including current) seems pretty good to me.

Talking with respect to the 2013 Mac Pro design.

You will run out of CPU PCIe lanes though either way; Thunderbolt is simply PCIe routed externally. Beyond that you are using PLX switches regardless.

You're more likely to run out of physical internal PCIe ports than the limited PCIe lanes being a hinderance to your workflow.
 
You're changing the context. I was responding to "but you're not giving any justification for the extra expenditure." and "no justifiable reason for spending $150".

I'm giving reasons for the $150 expenditure.

Okay. Then to clarify my stance (so we can stop running around in circles here). Breakout boxes are fine. But if given the choice between an actual PCIe slot and a breakout box, there's no reason to go with the breakout box unless we're dealing with the kinds of penny-pinchers you refer to later on (and even then, penny pinching in IT is always a recipe for disaster).

Talking about in the context for what Apple's initial intentions were for the 2013 Mac Pro.

I understand the logic that you and 2013 Apple were going with. The fact of the matter is that it sucked and enough people hated it that it was never tried again and, in all likelihood it probably won't be tried again until many many years from now.

GPUs back in 2013 could absolutely throttle due to too much heat

GPUs in a cylindrical confined space WOULD absolutely throttle due to too much heat. GPUs in towers and workstations have dedicated cooling (or, in the case of the 2019 Mac Pro, cooling that is coordinated with the system's overall cooling) that would render that problem moot. The GPU architecture was also a huge reason for the design being abandoned.


Like I said, lack of Mac Pro updates and Thunderbolt 2 restricted the concept of floating cards. Therefore of course it's not a super common use case because it was never given a shot.

Are you suggesting that Pro customers who clamored for another tower would consider another cylinder with Thunderbolt 3 instead of Thunderbolt 2? Because I'm pretty sure the reaction to 100% external expansion was met with unilateral distaste among those communities. Frankly, I thought it was an interesting idea at the time. But I for many industries that are not prepared to move everything to breakout boxes and/or Thunderbolt 3 external versions of longstanding cards, I can see where there'd be tons of resistance.


Which means you're buying PCI-E enclosures to plug it in.

No, it means you have a CHOICE. Pros like CHOICE. They don't like Apple telling them what they want when they clearly don't want better.

You literally said " not spending $150 debate with no justifiable reason ".

I'm saying that if I have a slot, why do I need to spend $150 on a breakout box? For MacBook Pros, iMacs, and Mac minis, a breakout box is awesome and exactly what the doctor ordered. But on a workstation, I shouldn't HAVE to spend the money when a PCIe slot would suffice just as well, if not better. You're not selling me on the notion of a breakout box being better FOR A MAC PRO than a PCIe slot. Only on the notion that it's utilitarian for Macs that don't have that luxury.

Disagreed.

If Thunderbolt 3 was enough to remedy the problem, we would've had a second cylinder in 2016 or 2017 with Thunderbolt 3, newer Xeons, and GPUs that might not be as performant as the D300-D700 cards were relative to 2013, but still way more performant than those cards in raw performance and that would've suited fine in that design architecture. However, that didn't happen. What we got instead was an iMac Pro that more or less served the same overall purpose as the 2013 Mac Pro and as a stop-gap, not as Apple's Mac Pro endgame strategy. They took in feedback from Pro users. It wasn't that Apple didn't want to consider it. They did, and their buyers revolted and told them that they were going to switch platforms if they didn't do something about it.

They didn't because of the thermal design for the GPUs. Not sure how you expect Apple to sell an updated Mac Pro four years later with only 1 new feature: "Thunderbolt 3".


You say this as though Apple hasn't released updated Mac Pro models that only offer modest gains over their predecessors. The 2010 was a modest bump from the 2009 model and the 2012 model is the same exact Mac as the 2010 model. You really can just slap a newer Xeon (Intel is always making newer Xeons) and an updated GPU (again, use something less powerful, but still more performant than its predecessor and that solves the GPU design architecture problems if only for one or two refreshes). It's not like they would've ONLY shipped Thunderbolt 3. Though, you keep making the claim that Thunderbolt 3 would've made the difference, so I'm not sure why you're contradicting yourself here.


Except base price of the tower Mac Pro is $5999 while trash can was $2999. You literally are paying extra for the PCI-e slots.


You say that as though that's ALL I'm paying for. Also, of note, the Mac Pro cost $1000 more than the iMac Pro and the iMac Pro operated on the same premise as the 2013 Mac Pro; good if you either don't need internal expansion and/or can get by with external expansion. And this time with Thunderbolt 3.


Mac Pro 2013 didn't implement a professional program, so no.

Not any official one. But certainly, Apple didn't do anything to expressly prohibit people to design pro accessories around the 2013 Mac Pro.

I'm asserting that since Thunderbolt 3 was not given a chance due to lack of updates, you can't say for sure whether or not it would have failed.

I CAN say for sure that it would've failed because Apple's decision to abandon it was entirely predicated on the overwhelming feedback of the pro customers who deemed it a failure. It failed because people didn't want it. People told Apple they didn't want it. So, Apple, accordingly abandoned it. If anyone wasn't giving it a shot, it was the Mac Pro customer base, not Apple. Apple GAVE it a shot.

Certainly if the iMac Pro was successful enough at turning it all around, Apple might have given that machine a refresh around the time the 2019 Mac Pro came out for those that prefer that form factor and external expansion; but they didn't.


  • the company that originally did the chipset no longer exists, or isn't willing to expend the effort to offer new drivers
You could distill my point on that topic down to this point. That's typically the primary cause for a given Intel Mac to be left out of a major new macOS release.
 
there's no reason to go with the breakout box

Disagree there. I did work IT for a large company and I had to constantly schedule my work around editors' lunch breaks because I couldn't interrupt their flow by shutting down their computer to remove or add a card. With a breakout box, I can pop in to the edit bay and say "hey, click here on the menu bar, then I'll unplug. done.". Graphics card failing? Cool, let me plugin a spare without ever shutting down the computer. Saves time for IT, gets work orders done much faster, and potentially can get a solution passed through my manager because the budget requirements are lower, keeping the editors happy.

I understand the logic that you and 2013 Apple were going with. The fact of the matter is that it sucked and enough people hated it that it was never tried again and, in all likelihood it probably won't be tried again until many many years from now.

Again, it sucked because of the thermal envelop preventing further updates. Not because of the concept. Who knows how it would have turned out if Mac Pro got nearly yearly updates.

GPUs in a cylindrical confined space WOULD absolutely throttle due to too much heat.

I'm responding to your comment "That's never really been a problem for Mac Pro towers.". It absolutely can be a problem for Mac Pro towers just as much as a cylindrical case. But a breakaway box typically has its own cooling solution where a GPU isn't surrounded by two other cards generating heat.


Are you suggesting that Pro customers who clamored for another tower would consider another cylinder with Thunderbolt 3 instead of Thunderbolt 2? Because I'm pretty sure the reaction to 100% external expansion was met with unilateral distaste among those communities.

Considering there weren't many Thunderbolt accessories because lack of Mac Pro updates, we won't know how it would have turned out for pro users had there been more devices.

That's like saying "well battery swap sucks for Tesla cars because no one used it". Well there was only 1 station in the whole wide world that did that service so it was never given a chance.

No, it means you have a CHOICE. Pros like CHOICE. They don't like Apple telling them what they want when they clearly don't want better.

Yet, the only choice of GPUs we can use are from AMD today and we're still buying Mac Pros, despite NVIDIA being a much better choice.

I'm saying that if I have a slot, why do I need to spend $150 on a breakout box?

Same argument in the reverse. Why do people who don't need several PCI-e slots pay $3000 extra for a tower just so that some pros can install PCIe cards?

If Thunderbolt 3 was enough to remedy the problem, we would've had a second cylinder in 2016 or 2017 with Thunderbolt 3, newer Xeons, and GPUs that might not be as performant as the D300-D700 cards were relative to 2013, but still way more performant than those cards in raw performance and that would've suited fine in that design architecture.

Well no, the Haswell chips ran hotter than Ivy Bridge. And if you looked at the FirePro W7000 from 2012 to FirePro W7100 in 2014, the TDP increased by 50W. Stepping down to the new W5100 model or even the W4100 still yielded the same increase in TDP with less performance. There's no way Apple could have released a new version of the Mac Pro without redesigning it which is what happened. That's where Apple failed.


You say this as though Apple hasn't released updated Mac Pro models that only offer modest gains over their predecessors.

I'm saying your idea of releasing an incremental update to the cylinder Mac Pro would have yielded negative gains in certain areas. There's no way to sell that, considering the category it is in.

You say that as though that's ALL I'm paying for. Also, of note, the Mac Pro cost $1000 more than the iMac Pro and the iMac Pro operated on the same premise as the 2013 Mac Pro; good if you either don't need internal expansion and/or can get by with external expansion. And this time with Thunderbolt 3.

No, but adding pci slots creates a bigger machine which exponentially increases the surface area resulting in a much higher price.

iMac Pro came out 4 years after the 2013 Mac Pro (which pretty much leaves Thunderbolt out to die for pro users), doesn't use workstation graphics, and Pro users are forced to use a display that they don't want or need so I don't know what comparison you can make from that.

Not any official one. But certainly, Apple didn't do anything to expressly prohibit people to design pro accessories around the 2013 Mac Pro.

No program discourages accessory makers from making a card that could potentially fail after a software update. That leaves them with a liability.

I CAN say for sure that it would've failed because Apple's decision to abandon it was entirely predicated on the overwhelming feedback of the pro customers who deemed it a failure.

There was overwhelming feedback that AirPods was going to fail because of the high price. There was overwhelming negative feedback that iPad was going to fail because it didn't run OS X, or that iPhone didn't have a physical keyboard or that it was removing the headphone jack. Look at where we are today. Feedback from customers doesn't guarantee anything. It can tell you hints that something is likely or unlikely to happen, but not really give you 100% assurance that it will. And we're talking about feedback of something that they haven't fully experienced.


Certainly if the iMac Pro was successful enough at turning it all around, Apple might have given that machine a refresh around the time the 2019 Mac Pro came out for those that prefer that form factor and external expansion; but they didn't.

Copying and pasting from my response above: "iMac Pro came out 4 years after the 2013 Mac Pro (which pretty much leaves Thunderbolt out to die for pro users), doesn't use workstation graphics, and Pro users are forced to use a display that they don't want or need so I don't know what comparison you can make from that."
 
Nice to see a pretty good discussion here with well-reasoned arguments all around for the most part. I didn't remember the RED lawsuit stuff so the ProRes stuff totally makes sense there re: afterburner. Appreciate the reminder.

I'd still put probably a 90% confidence level in the new Intel Mac Pro being socket 4189. Hopefully we find out soon!

And yeah, the M1 single core speed for native binaries is way faster than it might seem like it should be, I don't think even the lowest core count (and highest clocked) Ice Lake Xeon will meet its performance there, but a 20%+ uplift over Cascade Lake which was pretty abysmal will be nice enough for years for what I will do with the machine. This is why I went with a 16" Macbook Pro in 2019 for the time being, it was measurably faster than the Mac Pro in a lot of single threaded workloads as long as it was kept cool with an eGPU. I am very done with the intermittent fan noise though, and given that I have an enormous hardware dongle in the form of an audio rack interface being mobile isn't that useful for my workstation needs.

The point made about the iMac Pro (Apple Silicon) and Mac Pro (Intel) coexisting I think could be very accurate for at least a year or two. I just can't see them releasing anything like the current Mac Pro in Apple Silicon soon, especially since there have been a lot of technical documents that talk about add in cards not always being faster than native Apple Silicon for graphics performance (mostly UI focused), which kind of gets people ready to not expect to need Add-in cards for pro applications going forward. There's near-zero chance Apple's going to have a simultaneous high-end AS Mac Pro and also a high-end Intel Mac Pro, unless it's just selling off old stock while there's some left. The AS Mac Pro gives them a chance to do a massively radical redesign and I think they will probably do it eventually, but the iMac Pro filling that spot for the time being (and in a great redesign!) would sure fit the bill in the near-term.

You have to think about the story that comes along with introducing these high-end machines. Having 2 similar ones come out at the same time muddles that completely for the consumer, and the only reason we're seeing it now for the current Intel machines is that the AS CPUs aren't ready to meet or exceed performance in those areas, and/or they don't want to introduce them before a massive form-factor redesign takes place which also helps greatly boost sales (see: 24" AS iMac).

If the Icelake Mac Pro happens, I think there's no chance a full Apple Silicon Mac Pro replacement with internal Add-in card support will be released within 18 months+ of that launch date, at minimum. If it even ever happens at all - I think they'll probably do something clever here that I can't envision. The AS iMac Pro filling that spot for a while, and maybe a 2nd revision of it in 2 or 3 years that dominates performance-wise might be the total roadmap, since it would allow Apple to discontinue the Icelake Mac Pro at that point since those who need one will have gotten one and anyone who didn't will be served better by then with mature AS-ready software on the new machine. OS support will probably continue for newer Intel machines until I'd guess at least 2028, and Windows will still run great on them for the next decade or more.

For expansion and compatibility, I don't think we'll ever get add-in GPUs for Apple Silicon, or any significant updates to Rosetta 2. Even PowerPC Macs supported PCI graphics cards but I don't think this is going to happen since the driver situation on modern MacOS requires so much effort on Apple's end and they won't want to put it in. I'd love to be wrong here and see the M2 come out with thunderbolt graphics support but I don't think it's likely.

See: no nvidia support despite the desire definitely being there - Nvidia is on record saying it's an Apple issue at this point and they would put the work to build the drivers but need Apple to work with them. ML Mac users would love to use CUDA acceleration and tensor cores, but at least there's some good M chip ML performance, and 'blow-away' ML performance is going to be coming in the next year or two for Apple Silicon - it wouldn't surprise me if Apple outclasses discrete GPUs in this specific area entirely at the highest end eventually which will be a great selling point for CS/Data Science college students looking for laptops to buy. But we won't be getting some 48GB professional 3D / Hollywood-level graphics accelerator probably ever - and likely we won't need it for the work that's being done on most Macs at that point.
 
That logic doesn't follow at all. Apple drops support for three year old OSes. You are correct about this. But that doesn't have anything to do with the decision Apple makes to drop or not drop support for a given Mac from that next macOS release and therefore your five year figure for current Macs makes no sense, especially since there are seven year old Intel Mac minis and eight year old Mac Pros that are going to be able to run macOS Monterey.

you are correct, but Apple can drop support for any hardware they wish and they have the best reason now. 2 years from now they will release ARM only OS. Given they support an OS for 3 years, this means the last Intel OS will be released in 2022 + 3 years of support = 2025 Apple will drop support for any Intel macs. They will continue to work, just no updates.

Note, I lived this kind of life with an older OS with no updates, it was just fine and there are apps like FireFox and Chrome that support way older OS's than Apple did. The hardest thing was I couldn't update or sync my iOS devices because iOS X needs MacOS X that has iTunes version X to be able to backup, update, and SYNC.
 
Still. To spend this kinda money when you know in the future Intel support will end.

I dont understand? Why push expensive HIGH POWER workstations when we all know the future is CLOUD COMPUTING and running applications from a web browser on say a fast 6G internet connection and monthly rental of software.
That may well be the future, but it is not something that is a great solution now, or is likely to be for many years. I say this a solutions architect who specializes in moving customers to cloud platforms.

Cloud is great for a lot of workloads, especially those that are already using web frameworks, but it is not ideal for workloads where low latency graphics and high-speed bandwidth between client and cloud is required.

You will be limited by your network bandwidth for many types of work (e.g. 3D, CAD, video editing).

VNC and RDP for remote desktops are not bad, especially over a fast (>50Mbps) link, but latency can be a bit variable. I know there are remote gaming services like Shadow that attempt to address this, but however good they are, you can't necessarily guarantee consistent user experience over the public Internet.

For applications that need to move a lot of data from client to remote machine (e.g. video editing), network bandwidth is crucial. There are very few ISPs that provide >50Mbps (mega bit per second) uploads, so not much better than 5MB/s - 100 times slower than current SSDs. I can't imagine trying to upload hundreds of gigabytes of camera footage over such a link.
 
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I'm responding to your comment "That's never really been a problem for Mac Pro towers.". It absolutely can be a problem for Mac Pro towers just as much as a cylindrical case. But a breakaway box typically has its own cooling solution where a GPU isn't surrounded by two other cards generating heat.

It was never a problem on 2007-2012 Mac Pros. To the best of my knowledge, it's not a problem on the 2019 Mac Pro. Then again, with the tower you have the OPTION to use a breakaway box should you so need. I don't care whether you use one or don't. A workstation should always have the OPTION. The 2013 Mac Pro DIDN'T have the option; it was Thunderbolt 2 or bust. Similarly the iMac Pro had the same option. If Thunderbolt 3 is as viable as a solution, as you say, there's no reason why Thunderbolt 3 devices and breakout boxes could've assisted iMac Pro users to serve Mac Pro use cases in ways that the 2013 Mac Pro inherently couldn't, especially considering the utility of using Thunderbolt 3 devices and breakout boxes with Macs that were never going to gain PCIe slots. But it isn't happening.


Considering there weren't many Thunderbolt accessories because lack of Mac Pro updates, we won't know how it would have turned out for pro users had there been more devices.

Your logic doesn't follow, especially since we both agree that there is utility in using a Thunderbolt 3 version of a PCIe accessory with a non-Mac Pro Mac.


Same argument in the reverse. Why do people who don't need several PCI-e slots pay $3000 extra for a tower just so that some pros can install PCIe cards?

The tower didn't used to cost THAT much extra, for one thing. Secondly, I'm not crapping on the idea of breakout boxes for non-tower users. Again, I agree with you that it's utilitarian. I'm crapping on the idea that the Mac Pro shouldn't have slots. Whether you want to attach the card to a Mac Pro's slot or put it into a breakout box and attach it to that Mac Pro's Thunderbolt 3 ports is totally up to you and is yours and/or your company's preference. But Mac Pros should always have the option.

.



No, but adding pci slots creates a bigger machine which exponentially increases the surface area resulting in a much higher price.

That logic doesn't follow. The 2012 Mac Pros were never THAT much money. I'm not sure what causes the 2019 Mac Pro to have such a steep price tag for its entry level configuration, but PCIe slots, on their own, definitely ain't it.


iMac Pro came out 4 years after the 2013 Mac Pro (which pretty much leaves Thunderbolt out to die for pro users), doesn't use workstation graphics, and Pro users are forced to use a display that they don't want or need so I don't know what comparison you can make from that.

It was my understanding that the Radeon Vega cards were workstation graphics. I'm not saying they were particularly high-end graphics (I can't imagine they were given the iMac Pro's thermal envelope and the fact that there was an 8-18 core Xeon inside).

There was overwhelming feedback that AirPods was going to fail because of the high price. There was overwhelming negative feedback that iPad was going to fail because it didn't run OS X, or that iPhone didn't have a physical keyboard or that it was removing the headphone jack. Look at where we are today. Feedback from customers doesn't guarantee anything. It can tell you hints that something is likely or unlikely to happen, but not really give you 100% assurance that it will. And we're talking about feedback of something that they haven't fully experienced.

Feedback that AirPods MIGHT not be received well is not the same as feedback that the 2013 Mac Pro WASN'T received well. Same for the iPad not running OS X. Same for the iPhone not having a physical keyboard. People BOUGHT those products and were generally happy with them. People didn't buy the 2013 Mac Pro and were generally happy with them. I'm sure a few people did and were because, if you don't need external expansion, it's a faster Mac than the one it replaced. But, on the whole people were not buying them and were instead switching to Windows based Xeon-driven towers from HP, Dell, and Lenovo.


you are correct, but Apple can drop support for any hardware they wish and they have the best reason now.

Alienating people that bought their Intel-based $1000-50000 computers in the last 2-3 years is a REALLY bad business decision. The notion that they can just do this with no repercussions with such a large install-base is laughable at best, and foolish at worst.

2 years from now they will release ARM only OS.

You have no data to support that other than previous transitions which occurred under entirely different Apple leadership and during entirely different eras of personal computing. Apple is supporting eight year old Mac Pros to run this next OS. They're supporting a seven year old Mac mini to run this next OS. They're supporting six year old iMacs, MacBook Pros and Airs to run this next OS. They're not going to drop support for those for no good reason or "just because they can". That's nonsense.


Given they support an OS for 3 years, this means the last Intel OS will be released in 2022 + 3 years of support = 2025 Apple will drop support for any Intel macs. They will continue to work, just no updates.

You might see the last Intel-supported macOS release in 2025. But even that is extremely conservative. Between 2026 and 2028 is more likely. Which means Intel Macs will stop receiving security updates by the end of this decade.
 
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It was never a problem on 2007-2012 Mac Pros. To the best of my knowledge, it's not a problem on the 2019 Mac Pro. Then again, with the tower you have the OPTION to use a breakaway box should you so need. I don't care whether you use one or don't. A workstation should always have the OPTION. The 2013 Mac Pro DIDN'T have the option; it was Thunderbolt 2 or bust. Similarly the iMac Pro had the same option. If Thunderbolt 3 is as viable as a solution, as you say, there's no reason why Thunderbolt 3 devices and breakout boxes could've assisted iMac Pro users to serve Mac Pro use cases in ways that the 2013 Mac Pro inherently couldn't, especially considering the utility of using Thunderbolt 3 devices and breakout boxes with Macs that were never going to gain PCIe slots. But it isn't happening.




Your logic doesn't follow, especially since we both agree that there is utility in using a Thunderbolt 3 version of a PCIe accessory with a non-Mac Pro Mac.




The tower didn't used to cost THAT much extra, for one thing. Secondly, I'm not crapping on the idea of breakout boxes for non-tower users. Again, I agree with you that it's utilitarian. I'm crapping on the idea that the Mac Pro shouldn't have slots. Whether you want to attach the card to a Mac Pro's slot or put it into a breakout box and attach it to that Mac Pro's Thunderbolt 3 ports is totally up to you and is yours and/or your company's preference. But Mac Pros should always have the option.



That logic doesn't follow. The 2012 Mac Pros were never THAT much money. I'm not sure what causes the 2019 Mac Pro to have such a steep price tag for its entry level configuration, but PCIe slots, on their own, definitely ain't it.




It was my understanding that the Radeon Vega cards were workstation graphics. I'm not saying they were particularly high-end graphics (I can't imagine they were given the iMac Pro's thermal envelope and the fact that there was an 8-18 core Xeon inside).



Feedback that AirPods MIGHT not be received well is not the same as feedback that the 2013 Mac Pro WASN'T received well. Same for the iPad not running OS X. Same for the iPhone not having a physical keyboard. People BOUGHT those products and were generally happy with them. People didn't buy the 2013 Mac Pro and were generally happy with them. I'm sure a few people did and were because, if you don't need external expansion, it's a faster Mac than the one it replaced. But, on the whole people were not buying them and were instead switching to Windows based Xeon-driven towers from HP, Dell, and Lenovo.




Alienating people that bought their Intel-based $1000-50000 computers in the last 2-3 years is a REALLY bad business decision. The notion that they can just do this with no repercussions with such a large install-base is laughable at best, and foolish at worst.



You have no data to support that other than previous transitions which occurred under entirely different Apple leadership and during entirely different eras of personal computing. Apple is supporting eight year old Mac Pros to run this next OS. They're supporting a seven year old Mac mini to run this next OS. They're supporting six year old iMacs, MacBook Pros and Airs to run this next OS. They're not going to drop support for those for no good reason or "just because they can". That's nonsense.




You might see the last Intel-supported macOS release in 2025. But even that is extremely conservative. Between 2026 and 2028 is more likely. Which means Intel Macs will stop receiving security updates by the end of this decade.

I can tell you this, Apple release the first intel mac in Januray 2006 and released the first none-PowerPC OS in mid 2009 . So we are looking for 3.5 years of software updates. It dropped support completely mid 2011 , so thats 5.5 years since first Intel launch. If we re-apply the numbers we are looking at mid-2026 to say farewell to anything Intel.

Either way , they are already dropping support by giving AS only features in Monterey and they still have Intel machines in the pipeline
 
It was never a problem on 2007-2012 Mac Pros.
Sure it was. Back then, the computer would just shutdown, have kernel panics, or have graphical glitches. They wouldn't throttle.

There were plenty of reports that X1900 graphics card would constantly overheat. https://forums.macrumors.com/threads/mac-pro-overheating.1218607/

Your logic doesn't follow, especially since we both agree that there is utility in using a Thunderbolt 3 version of a PCIe accessory with a non-Mac Pro Mac.

No, the logic is sound. Many studios didn't switch over to iMacs or MacBook Pros that had TB3 for their workstations and therefore TB3 was never given a chance since accessory makers didn't see the need to make TB3 devices because the Mac Pro didn't graduate to TB3 until much later.

I feel like we're talking in circles.

The tower didn't used to cost THAT much extra, for one thing.

I'm comparing base models. 2013 Mac Pro was $2999. 2019 Mac Pro cost $5999. Unless you trying to compare against 2012 which I wouldn't say that's entirely fair considering the CPUs and GPUs were getting hotter and some new redesign would likely have been needed for a 2013 "tower" Mac Pro and the fact that 2012 Mac Pro benefits from the same design since 2006.

To be fair, I'm not specifically saying that PCI-e slots increased the product by $3k, but it certainly did add a substantial increase in cost as opposed to removing them in an inevitable redesigned Mac Pro.

I'm crapping on the idea that the Mac Pro shouldn't have slots. But Mac Pros should always have the option.

I think this thread has gotten so long that your argument is repeating your earlier argument? Refresher:
- Your original question was: "why do I need to spend $150 on a breakout box?"
- I said the same counter can be said "why do I need to pay for PCI-e slots that I don't need"?
- You now state you argument that "Mac Pros should always have the option", but that's the same argument as before where you're wondering why you don't get that option and so I say again that it can be said: "why do I need to pay for PCI-e slots that I don't need?"

Sorry, but I'm going to stop the argument here considering this is going in circles and it's obvious we're not changing anyone's minds so I can see exactly what kind of rabbit hole this is going down into...
 
I can tell you this, Apple release the first intel mac in Januray 2006 and released the first none-PowerPC OS in mid 2009 . So we are looking for 3.5 years of software updates. It dropped support completely mid 2011 , so thats 5.5 years since first Intel launch. If we re-apply the numbers we are looking at mid-2026 to say farewell to anything Intel.

Either way , they are already dropping support by giving AS only features in Monterey and they still have Intel machines in the pipeline
But that’s not really dropping support, the machine is as useful as the day it was bought. As far as I’m concerned support is dropped the day security updates are no longer issued, and that’s two years after the first non intel OS is released.

As Yebubbleman pointed out, it would be a bad business decission to cut support for intel machines with the release of the last arm model, apple would be telling customer that just bought computers costing several thousand dollars “your shiny new computer has security updates for two years, after that you have to fork another couple grand on a new computer if you want to have a secure machine”. Are those customers going to be happy and gladly pay apple for a new computer, or are they going to install windows and buy a PC next time?

Sometime around 2028-2030 is when I think support for intel will end.
 
But that’s not really dropping support, the machine is as useful as the day it was bought. As far as I’m concerned support is dropped the day security updates are no longer issued, and that’s two years after the first non intel OS is released.

As Yebubbleman pointed out, it would be a bad business decission to cut support for intel machines with the release of the last arm model, apple would be telling customer that just bought computers costing several thousand dollars “your shiny new computer has security updates for two years, after that you have to fork another couple grand on a new computer if you want to have a secure machine”. Are those customers going to be happy and gladly pay apple for a new computer, or are they going to install windows and buy a PC next time?

Sometime around 2028-2030 is when I think support for intel will end.
If you bought a PowerMac G5 in early 2006, you got support until 2009 (in terms of OS features) and 2011 (in terms of meaningful security updates).

I really wouldn't expect an Intel Mac you buy now or anything that comes out this year to be supported longer than five years. If you get longer, that's great. But never make purchasing decisions on uncertain future support status.
 
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If you bought a PowerMac G5 in early 2006, you got support until 2009 (in terms of OS features) and 2011 (in terms of meaningful security updates).

I really wouldn't expect an Intel Mac you buy now or anything that comes out this year to be supported longer than five years. If you get longer, that's great. But never make purchasing decisions on uncertain future support status.
If the transition completes by next year, that would put us into 2027, not bad.

It’s also true that back then os weren’t updated every year, so it could be different this time around.
 
I can tell you this, Apple release the first intel mac in Januray 2006 and released the first none-PowerPC OS in mid 2009 . So we are looking for 3.5 years of software updates. It dropped support completely mid 2011 , so thats 5.5 years since first Intel launch. If we re-apply the numbers we are looking at mid-2026 to say farewell to anything Intel.

Except reapplying the numbers here is nonsensical. This is not that transition! Back then, Apple wasn't even giving PowerPC Macs that long of support even well before this transition occured! Even early era Intel Macs weren't supported as long as current Intel Macs are currently being supported. A 15" MacBook Pro purchased in 2012 got 8 years of support. The first MacBook Pros only got 5 years of support. Clearly the times have changed and clearly it makes no sense to analyze this in terms of how things were 15 years ago.

Either way , they are already dropping support by giving AS only features in Monterey and they still have Intel machines in the pipeline

They are NOT dropping support. They're creating features that specifically leverage the neural engine. This is no different than Apple introducing features on Intel Macs that require a T2 chip (which they've been steadily doing more of since 2019 when Catalina was introduced). It doesn't mean that they're dropping support for non-T2 Intel Macs. Just that they're releasing features that leverage (and therefore require) the T2.

Sure it was. Back then, the computer would just shutdown, have kernel panics, or have graphical glitches. They wouldn't throttle.

There were plenty of reports that X1900 graphics card would constantly overheat. https://forums.macrumors.com/threads/mac-pro-overheating.1218607/


Every video card in the original 2006/7 Mac Pro had thermal issues. That's not inherent to the Mac Pro being a tower. That's inherent to both the ATI and NVIDIA cards of that era being poorly engineered.


No, the logic is sound. Many studios didn't switch over to iMacs or MacBook Pros that had TB3 for their workstations and therefore TB3 was never given a chance since accessory makers didn't see the need to make TB3 devices because the Mac Pro didn't graduate to TB3 until much later.

Many studios DID switch over to iMacs with Thunderbolt 3. I worked doing IT for a variety of them! I won't say that all of them did. But certainly enough of them did. I can't say one way or another about MacBook Pros, because I know that many places were ambivalent on the pre-16" touchbar versions of the 15" MacBook Pros for reliability concerns (some definitely adopted; some avoided adoption for as long as they possibly could).

I'm comparing base models. 2013 Mac Pro was $2999. 2019 Mac Pro cost $5999. Unless you trying to compare against 2012 which I wouldn't say that's entirely fair considering the CPUs and GPUs were getting hotter and some new redesign would likely have been needed for a 2013 "tower" Mac Pro and the fact that 2012 Mac Pro benefits from the same design since 2006.

You said slots increased the cost by $3K. I'm saying that logic doesn't hold seeing as every pre-2013 Mac Pro (as well as every Power Mac predecessor) had slots and didn't command such a hefty price tag.

To be fair, I'm not specifically saying that PCI-e slots increased the product by $3k, but it certainly did add a substantial increase in cost as opposed to removing them in an inevitable redesigned Mac Pro.


Again, see above. Your logic doesn't hold. Adding PCIe slots to the design of a workstation doesn't, on its own, inherently, drive the cost anywhere near that much.


I think this thread has gotten so long that your argument is repeating your earlier argument? Refresher:
- Your original question was: "why do I need to spend $150 on a breakout box?"

Which you still didn't answer other than to say that you might have a Mac that doesn't have those slots. Which I granted you. But you didn't answer the follow-up of why a Mac Pro without slots is a good thing, considering, if a Mac Pro is what I'm working with, I have to spend an additional $150 to use a breakout box when my hypothetical Mac Pro could just have PCIe slots. Again, I'm not talking about non-Mac-Pro use cases. I'm SOLELY talking about the Mac Pro. You are advocating for there not being internal slots and giving no other valid justification other than cheap employers who would rather employees work at their own Mac Pro rather than dedicating a shared Mac Pro to any one given high-end add-on card and systems that were never going to have PCIe slots. That's not enough for me to get excited about spending $150 per PCIe card and I'm clearly not alone because the industry revolted and Apple caved, hence the 2019 Mac Pro.

- I said the same counter can be said "why do I need to pay for PCI-e slots that I don't need"?

Then you are not a Mac Pro customer! At best, you are an iMac Pro customer or a MacBook Pro customer that wants the functionality of said PCIe card on the go.


- You now state you argument that "Mac Pros should always have the option", but that's the same argument as before where you're wondering why you don't get that option and so I say again that it can be said: "why do I need to pay for PCI-e slots that I don't need?"


I'm repeating my argument because my argument still holds and your only retort is to continue to push your specific use cases when, very clearly, the majority doesn't agree with you.

Sorry, but I'm going to stop the argument here considering this is going in circles and it's obvious we're not changing anyone's minds so I can see exactly what kind of rabbit hole this is going down into...

Whatever man.
 
If you bought a PowerMac G5 in early 2006, you got support until 2009 (in terms of OS features) and 2011 (in terms of meaningful security updates).

I really wouldn't expect an Intel Mac you buy now or anything that comes out this year to be supported longer than five years. If you get longer, that's great. But never make purchasing decisions on uncertain future support status.

Again, this is not the PowerPC to Intel transition. I cannot say that enough times. Apple has now released TWO versions of macOS since announcing the transition that still support Intel with the only Apple Silicon-only features to this latest one being for features that specifically demand the neural engine (an A11 and newer feature), which wasn't present on the T2 (an A10-based SoC). Monterey was aggressive about removing Macs that ran on Big Sur, but it's not like Sierra wasn't just as aggressive in culling support for Macs that ran El Capitan just fine. Plus, it may very well be the case that the next macOS doesn't drop support for any further Macs and that we don't see the next culling of support for models until the release thereafter.

Apple was very deliberate in leaving certain machines in support here. We still have two Haswell Macs that are supported for Monterey (the 2014 Mac mini and the 2015 15" MacBook Pro), while all other Haswell Macs (including the 2014 15" MacBook Pro, which, for many configurations, is functionally identical) were dropped. If they were moving to more quickly drop Intel support, then they'd probably choose now as the time to only support T2 Intel Macs. But I believe that we're still a few years away from that at the very earliest.

If the transition completes by next year, that would put us into 2027, not bad.

It’s also true that back then os weren’t updated every year, so it could be different this time around.

The OS being updated every year is part of it. Apple not really having features that can't run on older Intel Macs is another part of it. Apple only drops support for Intel Macs when it can't get requisite support for a firmware update or an updated component driver for that given Intel Mac. This is why the 2013 iMacs were dropped from Big Sur, while literally every other Haswell Mac was supported; there was a Wi-Fi card that they couldn't get an updated driver for. Similarly, the 2012 Macs couldn't get support because Intel had stopped supporting Ivy Bridge processors enough for Apple to continue to patch the firmware on those Macs to the degree that it needed to for the new OS. Otherwise, it's not until Apple makes a system-wide change that requires the hardware to be able to support that change (e.g. Metal in Mojave).

We're not going to see the last Intel compatible version of macOS for at least five more years. We're not going to see the final security update for Intel Macs for two more years thereafter. That's not to say that the vast majority of Intel Mac users won't likely be incentivized to upgrade sooner (especially as soon as T2 Macs hit obsolete status and start having their SSDs die).

This is not the PowerPC to Intel transition. This is going to be a much longer and more gradual fade-out of support (for Intel) than was had for PowerPC.
 
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But we won't be getting some 48GB professional 3D / Hollywood-level graphics accelerator probably ever - and likely we won't need it for the work that's being done on most Macs at that point.
No ? So what was that whole song and dance reg Otoy Octane a few months back ?
Also why is redshift, another GPU renderer porting over to the Mac ?
Why show Autodesk Maya (true blue blood ‘Hollywood’ software that) in the ad buzz around the new m1 silicone ?

there is this whole 3D AR/VR thing waiting to explode.

I think we are underestimating Apple’s ambition here. Sticking it up to nvidia that’s dominating the GPU talk right now would be a side bonus. If GPUs weren’t where it’s at, intel wouldn’t be poaching RK from AMD to launch its own discreet GPU business.
 
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But that’s not really dropping support, the machine is as useful as the day it was bought. As far as I’m concerned support is dropped the day security updates are no longer issued, and that’s two years after the first non intel OS is released.

As Yebubbleman pointed out, it would be a bad business decission to cut support for intel machines with the release of the last arm model, apple would be telling customer that just bought computers costing several thousand dollars “your shiny new computer has security updates for two years, after that you have to fork another couple grand on a new computer if you want to have a secure machine”. Are those customers going to be happy and gladly pay apple for a new computer, or are they going to install windows and buy a PC next time?

Sometime around 2028-2030 is when I think support for intel will end.

You can get the security updates but soon you will find yourself on an island on your own, I have been there, apps stop working and drop support. A lot of things become incompatible. For example buying an iPhone will tell will only Sync with iTunes versoin X that needs MacOS version X that only runs on AS computers.

Apple is known to drop support, unlike Window that can run Apps made from 1998 or maybe even older.
 
You can get the security updates but soon you will find yourself on an island on your own, I have been there, apps stop working and drop support. A lot of things become incompatible. For example buying an iPhone will tell will only Sync with iTunes versoin X that needs MacOS version X that only runs on AS computers.

Apple is known to drop support, unlike Window that can run Apps made from 1998 or maybe even older.
I don’t know, both my macs are running Mojave and I’ve had no such problems. One of them is in its eleventh year of service and the other on its eighth.

Regarding windows, yes, their support for older systems is much better than that of Apple. But then again, Microsoft sells software and has an interest on their products being compatible with as many systems as possible, whereas Apple sells hardware and has to strike a balance between their systems being supported for a long time but not that long as to discourage the acquisition of new computers for decades.
 
No ? So what was that whole song and dance reg Otoy Octane a few months back ?
Also why is redshift, another GPU renderer porting over to the Mac ?
Why show Autodesk Maya (true blue blood ‘Hollywood’ software that) in the ad buzz around the new m1 silicone ?

there is this whole 3D AR/VR thing waiting to explode.

I think we are underestimating Apple’s ambition here. Sticking it up to nvidia that’s dominating the GPU talk right now would be a side bonus. If GPUs weren’t where it’s at, intel wouldn’t be poaching RK from AMD to launch its own discreet GPU business.
Apple's on-chip GPUs will eventually be very performant, and the SOC will continue to advance in ML logic designs to where it might outperform a high-end discrete card. My feeling is that we will never get Apple add-in graphics accelerators on PCI-e (or similar) cards. People have been talking about Apple doing a fully modular pro machine for 15+ years and they've gone much less in that direction as time has passed. Thunderbolt eGPUs not being supported on M1, and not updated with support in the new OS is IMO a sign that 3rd party graphics card support ends with Intel machines, and it's also a good case for an updated Intel Mac Pro this year, letting them keep the 3d pros happy until Apple Silicon dominates performance in all areas.

Apple wants us to upgrade entire computers every 3-5 years, not add Apple-branded cards in to keep things up to date, as much as we'd like to have that ability.
 
You are describing the entire rest of the mac and iOS lineup. And we have had that system in the Mac and PC and the complete smartphone world for over 1.5 decades.
nothing new there. Why bother with a Mac Pro ?


You can call them ‘modules’ or discreet units, but expansion and upgrades seem to be on their radar.

I would love to see mpx style modules for the arm mac pros if it brings extra grunt to bear for the task at hand.
 
You can get the security updates but soon you will find yourself on an island on your own, I have been there, apps stop working and drop support. A lot of things become incompatible. For example buying an iPhone will tell will only Sync with iTunes versoin X that needs MacOS version X that only runs on AS computers.

Apple is known to drop support, unlike Window that can run Apps made from 1998 or maybe even older.
You've been there for PowerPC to Intel. No one has been through the entirety of this transition. This is clearly different, so your past experiences do not apply.
 
Pretty sure the next macOS will also be Intel. Maybe even the one after that.
The next 3-4 will be. Though it depends on how quickly we get to the inevitable "T2 Intel or Apple Silicon only" requirement. Because that is so clearly going to be a requirement at some point.
 
The next 3-4 will be. Though it depends on how quickly we get to the inevitable "T2 Intel or Apple Silicon only" requirement. Because that is so clearly going to be a requirement at some point.

I think that is coming quick, as security is a good excuse.
 
I don’t know, both my macs are running Mojave and I’ve had no such problems. One of them is in its eleventh year of service and the other on its eighth.

Yes but your older computer runs intel and the new OSes are Intel also, soon Apple and 3rd parties do not want to support 2 architectures. Mojave has been released for less than 2 years, I am sure this year will be last for security updates.

In the past I have run Mavericks for a long time that both Apple and 3rd parties apps stopped releasing updates to support it. In fact, currently I would like to run an adblocker called 1blockr but its Catalnia+ only. From my experience FF and Chrome really give support for older OSes for a long time.

You've been there for PowerPC to Intel. No one has been through the entirety of this transition. This is clearly different, so your past experiences do not apply.

Of course no one can tell the future, Apple could pull the plug on Intel tomorrow or could support it for the next 20 years. All we can work with is past events to build a prediction on whats going to happen in the future.
 
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