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Roll call - Oct. 4th - Oct. 10th original ship date

ArkieBiker said:
FINALLY...I got an update that truly makes sense...
Click to expand...

Great post!

I ordered my iPhone around 6 am on September 9. I started out with a 7 plus 256GB jet black and got an estimated ship date of more than 4 weeks, so I switched to matte black and got an order window from Oct. 4-10. I didn't try this, but I suspect that I could have gotten my phone much sooner if had ordered one of the less popular colors. (BTW, I didn't change my order just because of the delivery date.)

It'd be very interesting to peek behind the curtain and see how the iPhone order fulfillment system really works. In theory, it would be nice if there were one supply pool that all orders draw from, but I doubt that's the case. And there are factors that are hard to predict very accurately, such as which color/size/storage combinations will be popular—they can get close, but there's still room for error.

All this works in Apple's favor because it adds to the impression that the iPhone 7 is a huge hit. Front pages of non-tech news sites are saying that the 7 Plus is sold out worldwide. Every year, people complain about Apple's inability to meet demand, but it's unlikely that they buy an Android phone because of it.
 
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Is it worth it to go to a store? I mean, even if they have what we want, still have to have the pre-order cancelled 24 hours in advance. I'm so bummed. :(
 
Given ee are saying I need to wait 28 days for the matte black i'm glad i have my jet black on order still...bring on the 4th October. Who knows maybe it increases.
 
Dude I am seriously iPissed that I stayed up until 3 a.m. only to be blocked out of the Apple Store until 3:15 only to have the Jet Blacks already at November shipping dates and with no choice but to go for the matte which by then has slipped to 2-3 weeks, only to see that a week later the shipping date is still at 2-3 weeks. Thanks, Apple.
 
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IMG_0740.JPG
Just got back from my local AT&T Store and this is what I found. Spoke with a manager and he indicated that his inventory situation was typical of what you will find at other stores. Anything with an X was not available.​
 
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Matte Black 7+ 256gb, ordered shortly after 3am (had problems with the apple order process, kept getting kicked back to the beginning of the order process). Oct. 4- Oct. 10 delivery. No change, order still processing.
This will be my first iphone....hoping this long wait is worth it.
 
Let's be completely honest with ourselves:

If the launch-dayers are receiving their phones today, and if the late September group is just getting bank charges, "preparing for shipment", Support Profile acknowledgment, etc, then we should be able to estimate how long it will be until we see any movement.

launch-dayers first saw updates on sunday 9/11 and monday 9/12, receiving phones 9/16.
late September group seeing updates yesterday 9/15 and today 9/16, will probably see phones 9/20-9/22 as their reported updated ETAs suggest.
9/27-10/3 group will probably experience the same intervals with status updates 9/19-9/21, receive phones 9/24-9/26.
Our group will probably get updates a week from today and receive our phones near the end of September.

this logic is all based on if their supply chain remains stagnant and does not increase; I highly doubt this to be the case since it is imperative for production to ramp up to get some + models in stores ASAP.

This would pit us to receive our orders a little over a week before our initial ETAs indicate, similar to what the late September group is seeing now.
 
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humpstyles said:
Let's be completely honest with ourselves:

If the launch-dayers are receiving their phones today, and if the late September group is just getting bank charges, "preparing for shipment", Support Profile acknowledgment, etc, then we should be able to estimate how long it will be until we see any movement.

launch-dayers first saw updates on sunday 9/11 and monday 9/12, receiving phones 9/16.
late September group seeing updates yesterday 9/15 and today 9/16, will probably see phones 9/20-9/22 as their updated ETAs estimate.
9/27-10/3 group will probably experience the same intervals with status updates 9/19-9/21, receive phones 9/24-9/26.
Our group will probably get updates a week from today and receive our phones near the end of September.

this logic is all based on if their supply chain remains stagnant and does not increase; I highly doubt this to be the case since it is imperative for production to ramp up to get some + models in stores ASAP.

This would pit us to receive our orders a little over a week than our initial ETAs indicate, just like the late September group is seeing now.
Click to expand...
This makes a lot of sense.
 
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humpstyles said:
Let's be completely honest with ourselves:

If the launch-dayers are receiving their phones today, and if the late September group is just getting bank charges, "preparing for shipment", Support Profile acknowledgment, etc, then we should be able to estimate how long it will be until we see any movement.

launch-dayers first saw updates on sunday 9/11 and monday 9/12, receiving phones 9/16.
late September group seeing updates yesterday 9/15 and today 9/16, will probably see phones 9/20-9/22 as their updated ETAs estimate.
9/27-10/3 group will probably experience the same intervals with status updates 9/19-9/21, receive phones 9/24-9/26.
Our group will probably get updates a week from today and receive our phones near the end of September.

this logic is all based on if their supply chain remains stagnant and does not increase; I highly doubt this to be the case since it is imperative for production to ramp up to get some + models in stores ASAP.

This would pit us to receive our orders a little over a week than our initial ETAs indicate, just like the late September group is seeing now.
Click to expand...

I totally agree
 
humpstyles said:
Let's be completely honest with ourselves:

If the launch-dayers are receiving their phones today, and if the late September group is just getting bank charges, "preparing for shipment", Support Profile acknowledgment, etc, then we should be able to estimate how long it will be until we see any movement.

launch-dayers first saw updates on sunday 9/11 and monday 9/12, receiving phones 9/16.
late September group seeing updates yesterday 9/15 and today 9/16, will probably see phones 9/20-9/22 as their reported updated ETAs suggest.
9/27-10/3 group will probably experience the same intervals with status updates 9/19-9/21, receive phones 9/24-9/26.
Our group will probably get updates a week from today and receive our phones near the end of September.

this logic is all based on if their supply chain remains stagnant and does not increase; I highly doubt this to be the case since it is imperative for production to ramp up to get some + models in stores ASAP.

This would pit us to receive our orders a little over a week before our initial ETAs indicate, similar to what the late September group is seeing now.
Click to expand...
Do agree if those before our date are getting their date moved up so should we soon enough.
 
My local AT&T store had no 7+ sent to them and only had two black 7's ... so I'll continue the preorder wait
 
humpstyles said:
Let's be completely honest with ourselves:

If the launch-dayers are receiving their phones today, and if the late September group is just getting bank charges, "preparing for shipment", Support Profile acknowledgment, etc, then we should be able to estimate how long it will be until we see any movement.

launch-dayers first saw updates on sunday 9/11 and monday 9/12, receiving phones 9/16.
late September group seeing updates yesterday 9/15 and today 9/16, will probably see phones 9/20-9/22 as their reported updated ETAs suggest.
9/27-10/3 group will probably experience the same intervals with status updates 9/19-9/21, receive phones 9/24-9/26.
Our group will probably get updates a week from today and receive our phones near the end of September.

this logic is all based on if their supply chain remains stagnant and does not increase; I highly doubt this to be the case since it is imperative for production to ramp up to get some + models in stores ASAP.

This would pit us to receive our orders a little over a week before our initial ETAs indicate, similar to what the late September group is seeing now.
Click to expand...
Agreed. I say at least a week earlier. I had a 2-3 week ship window with my 6 preorder and it shipped the Saturday after launch. Hoping for that again this year.
 
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I realize these aren't the exact same scenarios, but I'll share anyway....I ordered the iPhone 6 Plus space grey on 10/1/14, 3-4 week ship date, delivers Oct 30 - Nov 6. I didn't get any action until 10/24/14 when I got the shipping email. I received the phone on October 30, 2014, which was the soonest date they said I would get it when I first ordered. Suffice to say, I'm not expecting my 7+ 128gb matte black until October. And yes, I realize the above order wasn't a preorder like we have all have done here with the 7.

(Of course I still go through my routine of checking UPS FEDEX CC Apple app etc every 1/2 hour cuz I'm a stinky loser)
 
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This is my very first time in 9 years not having my phone on launch day. I will have a 7 within my reach (husband's) but I want jb so badly that I rather wait. Every time I've preordered I've been in the first group to receive.
 
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