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Roundup of Analyst Expectations Ahead of Apple Q411 Earnings Call
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True, but you can also lose your money a lot quicker. Stocks are notoriously volatile in the week leading up to option expiration day (like this week). I have seen stock prices plunge to right around the strike price of options with heavy positions just before expiration, only to see them go back up the following week.
I trade options, but they aren't for everyone.
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Makes sense. I'm guessing there will be speed bumps only on the MacBook Pros and iMacs (newer Sandy Bridge chips).
Buying apple stock is how you are able to get apple products for "free".
Also isn't it cooler to root for Apple when you are an owner of the company?! Such a great feeling to enjoy the products, root for the company and take your stock gains and obtain "free" iphones and macbooks.
Also isn't it cooler to root for Apple when you are an owner of the company?! Such a great feeling to enjoy the products, root for the company and take your stock gains and obtain "free" iphones and macbooks.
And you are on a Mac Site because?
Had to google that event since it is so well reported everywhere.
Just like Apple news.
Go figure
If that comes out tomorrow, that would be really awesome. But they just released the 4S, so I think the hype is right there as of now.
My Thoughts
I think the iPhone 4S release was delayed so that Apple had one full quarter with no new product announcements or releases, so they would have one quarter of pure, clean Jobs-less operations. For that reason, this quarter results will become a bit of a benchmark.
That extra month-two month delay fueled the rumor mill more than anything, making expectations unreasonable no matter what was released. Analysts forgot consumers, and so did fanboys and geek prognosticators. I think it will take another month for things to calm down over the 4S, but consumers spoke loud and clear - 4 million units in three days means about 3 billion in sales for the weekend... a weekend.
I think EPS will be in the low $8 range, $8.05-8.20, though it is just intuition and i have no numbers to back that up.
The stock's chief resistance (though I hate that term, along with "support") comes from it being the biggest public company, not their own operations. People do not have a "bigger than #1" in their lexicon.
I think the iPhone 4S release was delayed so that Apple had one full quarter with no new product announcements or releases, so they would have one quarter of pure, clean Jobs-less operations. For that reason, this quarter results will become a bit of a benchmark.
That extra month-two month delay fueled the rumor mill more than anything, making expectations unreasonable no matter what was released. Analysts forgot consumers, and so did fanboys and geek prognosticators. I think it will take another month for things to calm down over the 4S, but consumers spoke loud and clear - 4 million units in three days means about 3 billion in sales for the weekend... a weekend.
I think EPS will be in the low $8 range, $8.05-8.20, though it is just intuition and i have no numbers to back that up.
The stock's chief resistance (though I hate that term, along with "support") comes from it being the biggest public company, not their own operations. People do not have a "bigger than #1" in their lexicon.
It'd be even cooler if Apple paid out a dividend... but Apple is still busy stockpiling cash so it can buy the planet known as earth.
Seeing pictures of people using their Apple products while doing the March on Wall Street is priceless! lol
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True, but you can also lose your money a lot quicker. Stocks are notoriously volatile in the week leading up to option expiration day (like this week). I have seen stock prices plunge to right around the strike price of options with heavy positions just before expiration, only to see them go back up the following week.
I trade options, but they aren't for everyone.
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I'd love to learn how to trade options aside from the standard longs that I trade. I would have been able to pick up 10 shares of aapl instead of 6.
Speaking of volatility, the past two months or so have been such a roller coaster regardless of what you trade. I've never had such a hard time in picking up a long position when a stock hits a new 52-week low only for the stock to hit a new 52-week low two days later at 1 point lower than when I decided to come in. To combat the volatility, I have pretty much been scalping and taking what profits I can.
No matter how you look at it, taking up a long position in aapl today at their intraday low should be profitable tomorrow, well hopefully.
Problem is, it doesn't always follow form. There has typically been a run-up before earnings, and a drop following, but the last one I believe was a big change - big jump after earnings. The big question is whether the phenomenal growth - doubling year-over-year - is continuing at a pace even close to that. If it is, the shares (at 16x trailing earnings) are actually undervalued. That said, there is a tremendous amount of volatility in the stock probably due to all the "betting" (short/puts etc.)
No new products tomorrow.
Apple will be busy with their company-only Steve Jobs memorial event.
that is all
Android - big but meaningless
This was said:
Android is for people who are cheap or who like
Yes, they activate a lot of phones per day...but given the extremely high failure rate Android phones have, one purchaser is activating 2 or 3 Androids in any given year as they keep trading their phones in until they have one that works.
Android is an ugly OS. It is inefficient, ugly and works best only if you have a gmail account or a lot of time to tinker with it. There is no "open the box and go."
And even with Android, the customer is NOT the user. The customer are advertisers. The customer will always come in second, or even third, in every concept Android comes up with. But cheap people don't care.
When 60-66% of all smartphone profits go to the iPhone, Android can have their gross activations (pun intended). The activations do not matter.
This was said:
Android is for people who are cheap or who like
Yes, they activate a lot of phones per day...but given the extremely high failure rate Android phones have, one purchaser is activating 2 or 3 Androids in any given year as they keep trading their phones in until they have one that works.
Android is an ugly OS. It is inefficient, ugly and works best only if you have a gmail account or a lot of time to tinker with it. There is no "open the box and go."
And even with Android, the customer is NOT the user. The customer are advertisers. The customer will always come in second, or even third, in every concept Android comes up with. But cheap people don't care.
When 60-66% of all smartphone profits go to the iPhone, Android can have their gross activations (pun intended). The activations do not matter.
That's exactly it, good way of putting it. Something I have been wanting to tell Android users who boast that they "Get all the free apps they want".
Holy smokes, I was way off.
Actual numbers: $7.05 EPS, $28.27B revenue.
Daniel Ernst (Hudson Square) closest to EPS at $7.06. William Power (Baird) closest to revenue at $28.02B. The pros finally beat the bloggers.
Situation has changed. From now on one can get Apple products for free by shorting AAPL. Then, of course, one can always short AAPL and use the profits for buying better products (like Samsung Galaxy Nexus or something).