you can't assume that someone who is pirating something would go out and buy it if the downloading option wasn't available.
the fact is that most pirated material wouldn't be purchased.
oh I don't know about that.
The reasons I have heard for illegal downloading have typically been price related. often with "I don't want to pad the pockets of some rich studio exec/label exec"
some of those folks might download legally if shown who is being hurt by going illegal.
you are correct that not all would however. cause a good 75% of all illegal downloaders just like to flip it to the system.
What about copying a DVD from Netflix and sending the original back?
by letter of the law. illegal.
What about a friend recording a TV show onto VCR for you?
legal. about 15 years ago when VCRs were the thang there were cases about this, which are also what allow DVRs which deemed that recording for the purposes of 'time shifting' was okay because it was a single copy for personal use, typically destroyed later and was not further duplication, distributed or broadcast/presented.
So basically as long as you didn't dupe the tape for your friends and create additional copies (including digitally), upload it to a server (which would be distribution) etc you are cool. but as soon as you do any of those things you stepped over the line
Netflix then copying is just a slow version of downloading, and getting TV shows from BitTorrent or usenet (but thats a big l33t secret...) is like asking a friend to record a TV show for you.
no it isn't. because those make an additionally copy. in the cast of bittorrent and usenet, it makes a lot of additional copies.
waiting for Netflix to arrive, watching it and sending it back, is the slow version of downloading. from a legit source.
As soon as Apple does video content without DRM, I will buy TV series and films from iTunes because I want to watch them through my xbox360. Also the prices for Film and TV is reasonable, just the DRM isn't great.
not likely to happen. not for a very long time
something folks need to remember is that Apple isn't the final say in what movies, tv shows, music go up or in what format. the studios and labels have that say. and while the music labels are seeing the wisdom that folks might stop with the games and buy the tracks legally, movie and tv shows are still hard targets for pirates. it's going to be a while before they give up any protection. the best you might hope for is a subscription that basically lets you rent show eps without even the ads that hulu has (which by the by is a totally legal site so have at it just don't hack it) where for a monthly you can stream to an apple tv or computer. but even that is a shot in the dark that might not happen
what is starting to happen finally is a too prong approach, education for the downloaders (some of whom simply don't get that they are doing something wrong) and going after the distributers and uploaders. Testing the claims that 'we just created the site we don't monitor what folks do, we are like an isp', tracking the high senders etc. Cut off the supply chain and a fair deal of the issue is solved. Yes there will still be some sources out there but hopefully they will slowly die out as folks figure out that they aren't being downloaded anymore.