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Simple. Game over.
- Thread starter appleguy123
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Thanks!! In case I am Wolf Chow tonight, I'm scanning the guy that's blipping on my suspicion-radar. I'll know about Melrose in the morning if I survive toda la noche.
Ok- curiosity getting to me, where is everyone located?
I'm in Southern California. Orange County.
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well done mates.
Hopefully our seer can manage at least another read, which I think could be the final one, with a bit of luck (i think it's between melrose and aggie, plus possibly nekdgirl).
I am actually quite optimistic at this point, and I think the village almost secured the win.
There are still 10 people and only one wolf, but he’s running out of places to hide.
He needs to kill 8 villagers (directly and through lynching) to win.
I can see two possible scenarios:
1) eldiablo is the seer. 4 people are cleared. 6 are not. Since the cleared ones are un-lyncheable, the wolf needs to kill all the cleared ones first, while the village needs to lynch the uncleared.
- If the wolf starts with the cleared villagers other than eldiablo (to avoid the hunters’ protection) even if he kills one each night, eldiablo will clear another one each night (or he finds the wolf, in which case it’s game over the next day), so in 2 days the cleared people would be the majority and the wolf cannot win anymore (since he will eventually be lynched by the cleared people).
- If the wolf attack eldiablo and fails, we go back to the previous situation, with increasing cleared people every night.
- If the wolf kills eldiablo tonight, then we have 6 suspects (melrose, aggie, neko, nathan, plutonius, dontpanic) and 3 peasants (moyank, ravenvii, lbro). The worst case scenario is that during the day, an innocent suspect is lynched, during each night a cleared peasant is killed. We end up after 3 days/nights with 3 survivors, all suspects, one of which is still the wolf. If he gets yet another innocent lynched, he wins. This is the best scenario for the wolf, but it requires that all the night kills are effective and that he can escape lynching for 4 times consecutively.
2) eldiablo is not the seer. It means he is the wolf and everyone else is a peasant (and the seer was chrmjenkins, systole or neko; anyone else would have spoken up). This is very unlikely at this point, but it would be an interesting situation.
he would still need to night-kill the ones he cleared (because if they end up with the 3 cleared ones and himself, they’ll have to draw the necessary conclusion that he lied at some point, and therefore he must be the wolf), but at the same time he needs to keep pretending to be the seer and ‘clear’ additional people.
Eventually he would paint himself in a corner and share the village with peasants whom he cleared and who would understandably become quite mad at him.
So the wolf has still a very tiny chance of pulling it off, but it’s very though for him. I would be very impressed if he lasts two more days.
As far as location, I am in place considered by some as one of the achievements (with the wheel, wars and others) that proves humans are smarter than dolphins, who just muck about in the water having a good time.
Hopefully our seer can manage at least another read, which I think could be the final one, with a bit of luck (i think it's between melrose and aggie, plus possibly nekdgirl).
I am actually quite optimistic at this point, and I think the village almost secured the win.
There are still 10 people and only one wolf, but he’s running out of places to hide.
He needs to kill 8 villagers (directly and through lynching) to win.
I can see two possible scenarios:
1) eldiablo is the seer. 4 people are cleared. 6 are not. Since the cleared ones are un-lyncheable, the wolf needs to kill all the cleared ones first, while the village needs to lynch the uncleared.
- If the wolf starts with the cleared villagers other than eldiablo (to avoid the hunters’ protection) even if he kills one each night, eldiablo will clear another one each night (or he finds the wolf, in which case it’s game over the next day), so in 2 days the cleared people would be the majority and the wolf cannot win anymore (since he will eventually be lynched by the cleared people).
- If the wolf attack eldiablo and fails, we go back to the previous situation, with increasing cleared people every night.
- If the wolf kills eldiablo tonight, then we have 6 suspects (melrose, aggie, neko, nathan, plutonius, dontpanic) and 3 peasants (moyank, ravenvii, lbro). The worst case scenario is that during the day, an innocent suspect is lynched, during each night a cleared peasant is killed. We end up after 3 days/nights with 3 survivors, all suspects, one of which is still the wolf. If he gets yet another innocent lynched, he wins. This is the best scenario for the wolf, but it requires that all the night kills are effective and that he can escape lynching for 4 times consecutively.
2) eldiablo is not the seer. It means he is the wolf and everyone else is a peasant (and the seer was chrmjenkins, systole or neko; anyone else would have spoken up). This is very unlikely at this point, but it would be an interesting situation.
he would still need to night-kill the ones he cleared (because if they end up with the 3 cleared ones and himself, they’ll have to draw the necessary conclusion that he lied at some point, and therefore he must be the wolf), but at the same time he needs to keep pretending to be the seer and ‘clear’ additional people.
Eventually he would paint himself in a corner and share the village with peasants whom he cleared and who would understandably become quite mad at him.
So the wolf has still a very tiny chance of pulling it off, but it’s very though for him. I would be very impressed if he lasts two more days.
As far as location, I am in place considered by some as one of the achievements (with the wheel, wars and others) that proves humans are smarter than dolphins, who just muck about in the water having a good time.
Besides Europe, aren't most werewolf movies set in the American north ease woods? Jus sayin... Lol.
WTF is the narrative
WTF is the narrative
This is the kind of BS that makes these games suck. One person doesn’t do their scan or tell who they want to kill and we have to sit here for 24 hours twiddling our thumbs. Am I the only one annoyed by this?
And yeah, I DPed. Frak it.
And yeah, I DPed. Frak it.
In New England (a New York Yankees hater
You will now be my new chrmjenkins!
And how hysterical is it that AJ Burnett has more wins this year than the Red Sox.
But, they'll start playing better and we'll be in a dogfight again at the end of the season.
I'm with you. This waiting is frustrating.
Well, we may never know.
Seriously dude, you're complaining about this short delay? I mean, "don't drag the game down" and all that stuff, yeah, but it's ain't nothin' like the whole weeks we'd spend waiting in previous games.
Given how consistent the wait has been, I'm tempted to vote for NekoGirl if she really is in Israel/ traveling.
eldiablojo woke up from a wonderful dream. The werewolf had come to visit her again. She ran her hands through its wild, luscious fur. She held it close to her feeling its warmth.
She sneezed, and noted the fur still on her clothing.
She swooned with excitement, compounded by the fact that none of her friends died.
EVERYONE HAS SURVIVED. IT IS NOW DAY.
Deadline for voting is 6 p.m. tomorrow.
She sneezed, and noted the fur still on her clothing.
She swooned with excitement, compounded by the fact that none of her friends died.
EVERYONE HAS SURVIVED. IT IS NOW DAY.
Deadline for voting is 6 p.m. tomorrow.
I guess the annoyance is proportional to the participation in the game, at least for some people.
It’s true that we did have worse, but I agree with aggie, this is unnecessary: how long can it take to send a PM, especially when you already know hours before that there are just two possibilities at lynching: either the lynched person is a W or he is not.
The “live” format that was tried one was fine, day for posting and night for PMing. Especially when everybody is within a few timezones.
Also I will second any proposal for next time that says that voting is mandatory: no valid vote and you get lost in the forest (voting “novote” would be valid).
We should try speed-WWing once: simple game, 10 ppl-2ww-1seer, 30 min days and 10 min nights. No narration necessary.
I most certainly hope that the mere thought of waiting for nakdgirl PMs hasn't even begun to speculate about the merest possibility of crossing Appleguy's mind.
It's already generous enough she is still in the game, but holding everybody up to allow her not to play seems a bit excessive.
EDIT: perfectly horrible timing on my part it seems.
yay hunters!
pending scan results, i am going with aggie or melrose
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Since a number of you seem to like voting for people not playing (what’s up with that strategy?) or assuming someone is the seer, when they only scan those same types of people (ravenvii? lbro??... and now melrose???….WTF??), I’m voting for:
-aggie-
-aggie-
oh good grief not again. You're one of the ones that jumped up and down on someone before for doing the same thing.
Hey, I voted for Jav last time. Who turned out to be a werewolf? Who I ask?
oh good grief not again. You're one of the ones that jumped up and down on someone before for doing the same thing.
Hey, I voted for Jav last time. Who turned out to be a werewolf? Who I ask?
I’m just saying some weird things have been going on in this game. I think even if we voted stupidly the whole game, the WW’s would have no chance though. Two hunters and a seer is pretty formidable. The jav thing was pretty strange. Perhaps a ploy? IDK. But dragging this game out is excruciating. There’s no reason why we’re not done with this by now.
Melrose is a Villager. Thank you Hunters for watching over me again.
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aggie, I apologize for the inconvenience but i got to go with you.
some things were a bit fishy, and they might reflect some creative approach by the wolves, but right now the most likely possibility, from my perspective is that you are the third wolf.
if not, then Neko would be my next candidate although i would think that if it was neko, appleguy would have already put an end to it as it seems futile to continue.
In any case i think, as outlined in post 454, the wolf is done. it's just a matter of time, even if it turns out to be EDJ. probably we should have had 4 wolves
Moyank,
Remember how we were joking about the possibility of both Jav and Aggie being WWs this game ?
Remember how we were joking about the possibility of both Jav and Aggie being WWs this game
?