Swinny said:
Proof perhaps thats Jobs has been right all along that PDAs are a dying market...The closest I suspect Apple will get to releasing a PDA again is adding some basic data-entry capablilities to future iPods (and/or Bluetooth for direct linking with phones).
Whatever. And Jobs knows every market on the planet.

The fact of the matter is Sony is a Multimedia company. And Sony had to shoehorn multimedia into the POS. I still remember the direct quote from Palm's CEO back at CES 2001. Something to the tone of "Users don't need or want color or sound" Ya whatever.
The only reasons why PDA sales are slipping is two fold. #1. Lack of reason to upgrade. Unlike computers that come out with a new model every 6 months and basically become obsolete after an 18-24 month timeframe (Note: Obsolete but still usable.) an original PDA from 1995 still does exactly what it did back then. Keep your PIM items. On the Pocket PC side where multimedia content is a HELL of a lot more richer I have two systems. An old first gen iPaq that came out in 2000 that still runs just about every app on the market and a HP Jornada that came out in 2002 that DOES run every app on the market. I've been looking at upgrading but really when I look at the current state of PDA's (Now that Sony has bowed out I won't consider Palm.) the only big diff I see is added BlueTooth, WIFI, slightly better screen, more memory (Something I already get through my 512MB CF card and 1GB microdrive.) and some smaller devices. Nice features to be sure but not a MAJOR incentive to upgrade. New innovative PDA types are needed. Innovation both in form factor and features. If you look at Pocket PC's that were released in 2003 and those that were released in 2004 the systems themselves are nearly identical. Same amount of RAM (typically 64MB) Same CPU. Same wireless features. There is no compelling reason for a PDA user to upgrade. PDA's aren't dieing out. Its simply that users have no reason to go out and spend anywhere from $200-$600 bucks on a nearly identical model.
With that being said. I do think we are about to see some sweat things come from the PDA market in the near future. Microsoft has released Pocket PC 2003SE to the OEMs literally weeks ago and POS cobalt is FINALLY in the hands of OEM's (Pitty the only company who can really use some of its more advanced features is leaving the fold.) The biggest change with Pocket PC 2003SE is VGA support, dynamic on the fly screen rotation, and a wide array of screen sizes and resolutions. The underlying API for 2003SE also have been tweaked to support those screen resolutions and sizes. So software developers no longer have to code for devices that are QVGA vs. VGA. The app will be aware of the rez and the screen orientation and tweak itself. VGA doesn't sound like a big deal but the one device I HAVE seen that has this implemented and the display is sexy as hell.
And before someone complains about how tiny the icons will be MS has worked that out. There is a slider bar for the system font to allow the user to select how big or small the font will be. On top of that dialog boxes and older apps use a pixel doubling method to keep your system menus, taskbar, and older apps normal size without you needing to squint.
#2 is downturn in the economy. People are still being fickle about what they spend their money on. People aren't going to go out and drop 200-600 once every 2 years. PDA upgrades are pricy and this ties in with #1 quite well.
This is a major technology that is showing up in PDA's and I can guarantee you that it WILL drive sales but OEM's can NOT remain stagnant. They must continue to give the consumer incentive to upgrade above and beyond this years model. Long term what other tech can we expect? OLED displays, fuel cell batts, 802.11G WIFI. But I think the ultimate goal for MS is going to get Windows XP in a device this small. Its too early for that right now but we ARE getting close and when that happens the PDA market isn't so much going to die as its going to morph/merge with the tablet market. When its all said and done thats what a Palm and Pocket PC really is: A Tablet Computer. At some point these devices are going to be powerful enough to run Windows, Linux, OS X without breaking a sweat and at that point the Palm OS and Pocket PC OS (i.e. Windows CE 4.25) will die. Here is the beautiful thing. CE that OS that the Pocket PC runs on. Its API's are compatible with Windows XP embedded so MS has looked ahead far enough to possibly make some backwards compatibility possible.
This is obviously my personal opinion but I think in the future there are going to be 4 options when it comes to computers:
Desktop, Laptop, Tablet PC (In convertible and slate forms.), and ultraportable. (The grandson of the current Pocket PC/Palm)