Even if Siri is TWICE as good in 5 years, it'll still be a toy. But I doubt it's twice as good - The premise is faulty. Doing something yourself is almost always faster than COMMUNICATION to someone / something else and having that communication 100% effective in both interpreting WHAT you want and HOW you want it done and then doing it and verifying that it's correct. Too many words - it's always faster just to ACT. Speaking is inefficient for mechanical things.
Tony
My point was 20 or 30 years down the road, not 5... And the point about knowledge doubling means something different... It doesn't mean that Siri will be twice as good in 5 years, it means that the sum total of all human knowledge doubles every 5 years (it's actually faster than that in computer science apparently)... Siri 5 years from now will be way better than twice as good as it is now... We'll probably look back and laugh at it as a feeble attempt at doing what modern tech will then be doing... If that's 5 years out, what does 20 or 30 look like?
Steve was amazing because he had the ability to see things for the potential, not just the 1 or 2 year impact but 10 or 20 years... This is how creative change gets done.
I mean, sure, Siri isn't going to change our oil for us in 10 years, but she may be able to allow us to have a fluent, real-time conversation in a foreign language that we don't know... A few breakthroughs like this and the world really does become a lot flatter.