Well, you’re taking a positive and idealistic view of how the technology will interact in the years to come. I’m taking a more pragmatic and cynical view mostly due to history. While technology is more pervasive today than in years past there are some things that haven’t changed at all and it starts with people. People centuries/millennia ago were just as smart and clever as people today. And from that understanding comes several things:An interesting view with history. To be fair I’ve yet to comb through your links yet I’m sure they backup your views/hypotheses.
I’ll rebuttal that with studies of the Sony Aibo (OG) which found children in senior Kindergarten and grade one not only became friends with the Aibo but even would try to help it standing up after it fell Aibo is programmed to stand up on its on quite quickly. This is the original Aibo so it’s very difficult for me to find such an article - yet I do recall reading about it probably in Popular Science/Mechanics magazine.
An interesting study with young children, a stuffed dog and Aibo:
http://www.vsdesign.org/publications/pdf/kahn_aibo_preschool_2006.pdf
With each generation, children are becoming more interested in technology as their ability to assimilate knowledge and intelligence grows. More so now with internet at full accessibility and populated with kids of a billion petabytes of data vs my generation (8yrs old when Macintosh 1st debuted).
I’d agree with your hypothesis if we look in the past with respect to adults but I think with the internet a major change and view of technolgy and how we’re more accepting of it in our lives changes so much.
I expect by the time I die the following will be feasible if not readily available:
Body/face creams catered to genetics.
Some operations are non-invasive via sub-dermal lasers (heart, possibly even brain surgery for minor tumors or for epilepsy correction).
Military altering fetus genetics for stronger, faster soldiers with significantly higher bone density, stronger tendons, skin that heals at 5x that of a normal person - not too unlike what is now laughable in the Halo franchise story lines for Spartan soldiers. Don’t laugh: for the past 10yrs you can change he colour of your child’s eyes before birth!
Robots to assist the elderly walk about household chores, major household repairs, etc. Old age homes would be a thing of the past.
1. Unintended consequences. Sometimes these are good but often they are bad. Usually the result of hubris of the creator or users of the technology or just blindness to how it can be used/perceived.
2. Human nature. People are the same today as before. The tools change and cultural attitudes change but the foundation of people doesn’t change. Thus there will be people looking for ways to abuse technology.
3. Reactions. Kind of a Newton’s third law and it also tends to follow #1 and #2. So let’s say the military does create super soldiers. It won’t be long until governments oppress their own people. If they are overthrown then there will be controls put in place to limit or forbid the practice until someone takes it upon themselves to do it again (back to #2).
4. Conflict. Coming from #2 and #3, history tells us that when one place has technology another doesn’t conflict is sure to follow. It may be verbal but often ends up physical.
No doubt there will be some good things that result from upcoming technology but there will also be many unintended consequences, snake oil, and exploitation to come with it.
To quote/paraphrase Star Trek twice:
1. Just because we can do a thing it does not follow that we must do that thing
2. Technology grew faster than the hearts of people.