Mr. Anderson said:
so Q, how long will it be until all 50 people in the top 50 have 10k posts?
That was a tough homework assignment,
Mr. Anderson. I hope I get extra credit or another bag of Japanese cookies for this one.
The answer is 1,346 days. If I had said September 13, 2009 (the date 1,346 days from now), you might have marked me wrong because you asked
how long, not
when.
It wasn't as easy as I first thought, because I couldn't simply compute when the last-place member would reach 10,000 posts. That's because I didn't know in advance who would be in 50th place at the time everyone got there. But
Where there's a guy named Will, there's a way, as they say.
Based on long-term post rates, here are the predicted numbers of posts on September 13, 2009, when
Platform, who will be 50th at the time, will cross the 10,000-post event horizon.
Code:
Rank Posts Member
1 39658 Mr. Anderson
2 35697 wdlove
3 30517 Lacero
4 27106 mad jew
5 22441 devilot
6 22315 edesignuk
7 21397 Doctor Q
8 21357 jsw
9 21229 mkrishnan
10 21067 eyelikeart
11 20788 ~Shard~
12 20293 Rower_CPU
13 19393 katie ta achoo
14 19119 Blue Velvet
15 17464 iGary
16 16643 bousozoku
17 16356 clayj
18 16171 emw
19 15978 Chip NoVaMac
20 15729 PlaceofDis
21 15675 Sun Baked
22 15449 CanadaRAM
23 15391 MacBandit
24 15216 Mechcozmo
25 15171 Nermal
Code:
26 14969 ITASOR
27 14926 jelloshotsrule
28 14232 yellow
29 13754 Mitthrawnuruodo
30 13733 jefhatfield
31 13268 scem0
32 12589 MrMacman
33 12583 eva01
34 12565 Abstract
35 12554 wrldwzrd89
36 11890 Applespider
37 11575 shadowfax
38 11548 maya
39 11479 iGAV
40 11441 iJon
41 11107 vniow
42 10855 arn
43 10822 Counterfit
44 10811 efoto
45 10627 rainman::|:|
46 10420 zelmo
47 10281 iMeowbot
48 10152 nagromme
49 10040 virividox
50 10000 Platform
By the way, 10,000 posts is not really an event horizon because when those nasty moderators get itchy trigger fingers, you can pass 10,000 posts and then go back

as we know from members who have reached avatar level, and then dropped back under 500.