Top 50 Posters Extrapolated, July 2009

Discussion in 'Community Discussion' started by Doctor Q, Jul 4, 2009.

  1. Doctor Q Administrator

    Doctor Q

    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2002
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    #1
    This is the lucky 13th edition of my semi-annual analysis of the MacRumors Top 50 Posters.

    Previous "Top 50 Posters Extrapolated" threads:
    2003: July
    2004: January, July
    2005: January, July
    2006: January, July
    2007: January, July
    2008: January, July
    2009: January

    The legend of column headings follows each chart. My comments and analysis follow the charts.

    Measurements were taken on July 3rd.

    Please remember that these charts and this discussion are for amusement and general interest only. Posting to build your post count (and to get your name into the next Top 50 thread) aren't allowed.

    Chart #1: Current Top 50 Posters

    Computed by Doctor Q in July, 2009

    Code:
                          Cur     Cur   Prev  Delta
    Rank  Current Top 50  Posts   Rate  Rank  Rank
    ----  --------------  ------  ----  ----  -----
      1   mad jew         32,206   0.0    1      0
      2   mkrishnan       25,853  11.0    2      0
      3   Doctor Q        23,574   8.1    4     +1
      4   Mr. Anderson    22,482   0.0    3     -1
      5   jsw             22,106   2.6    5      0
      6   Abstract        20,737  15.8    8     +2
      7   Eidorian        20,131  17.5   11     +4
      8   Blue Velvet     20,001   6.9    6     -2
      9   edesignuk       18,450   6.5   10     +1
     10   ~Shard~         18,283   1.3    7     -3
     11   bartelby        17,919  15.6   15     +4
     12   iGary           17,900   9.1   13     +1
     13   PlaceofDis      17,773   2.4    9     -4
     14   wdlove          16,567   0.0   12     -2
     15   devilot         15,555   0.2   14     -1
     16   iBlue           15,162  11.4   20     +4
     17   raggedjimmi     15,041   7.2   18     +1
     18   yellow          14,873   3.4   16     -2
     19   robbieduncan    14,691  10.2   21     +2
     20   Tallest Skil    14,477  37.4  ---    ---
     21   WildCowboy      14,261   4.5   19     -2
     22   bousozoku       13,998   0.0   17     -5
     23   rdowns          13,828   12.8  27     +4
     24   Sun Baked       13,590   5.4   22     -2
     25   MacNut          13,224   5.1   23     -2
    Code:
                          Cur     Cur   Prev  Delta
    Rank  Current Top 50  Posts   Rate  Rank  Rank
    ----  --------------  ------  ----  ----  -----
     26   Jaffa Cake      13,128   9.0   28     +2
     27   Mitthrawnuruodo 12,280   2.8   26     -1
     28   IJ Reilly       12,271   6.7   32     +4
     29   CanadaRAM       12,177   1.0   24     -5
     30   eyelikeart      11,896   0.0   25     -5
     31   Nermal          11,728   3.0   29     -2
     32   Rower_CPU       11,198   0.2   30     -2
     33   sushi           11,191  10.6   41     +8
     34   twoodcc         11,077   8.3   38     +4
     35   emw             11,059   0.0   31     -4
     36   Applespider     10,943   2.6   34     -2
     37   jessica.        10,768  18.3  ---    ---
     38   dmw007          10,588   0.3   33     -5
     39   alphaod         10,449  15.1  ---    ---
     40   Lau             10,364   3.1   36     -4
     41   xUKHCx          10,308   7.2   44     +3
     42   vniow           10,281   0.1   35     -7
     43   arn              9,901   1.1   37     -6
     44   Queso            9,871   1.9   40     -4
     45   Chundles         9,705   3.0   42     -3
     46   jelloshotsrule   9,581   0.0   39     -7
     47   nagromme         9,302   1.7   45     -2
     48   EricNau          9,228   3.6  ---    ---
     49   Eraserhead       9,202   3.5  ---    ---
     50   skunk            9,180   3.2  ---    ---
    Columns:
    1. Rank = Position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
    2. Current Top 50 = members with the 50 currently highest post counts.
    3. Cur Posts = # of posts by that member.
    4. Cur Rate = average # posts per day by that member over the last 6 months, or for the length of their membership if they joined less than 6 months ago.
    5. Prev Rank = previous rank, as of 6 months ago (January 2009), or "---" for those who are new to the Top 50.
    6. Delta Rank = change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank since 6 months ago.
    Other stats and charts:
     
  2. Doctor Q thread starter Administrator

    Doctor Q

    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2002
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    #2
    Length of membership

    Mean average among active posters in the Top 50: 67.0 months (5.6 years)
    Standard deviation: 18.3 (1.5 years)

    Among active Top 50 posters, the members with the longest memberships remain the same:
    arn, 98.8 months (8.2 years)

    Second place: MacNut, 90.0 months (7.5 years)

    Third place: edesignuk, 87.3 months (7.3 years)

    Shortest among active members: alphaod, 16.8 months (1.4 years)
    Second-shortest: Tallest Skil, 34.7 months (2.9 years)
    The graph below shows the distribution of length of membership among the Top 50. The current distribution is in blue. The distribution from 6 months ago is in red. Last time the peak was the 6-to-7 year range (my peer group), while this time it's the 4-to-5 year range.
     

    Attached Files:

  3. Doctor Q thread starter Administrator

    Doctor Q

    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2002
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    #3
    Comments on the Current Top 50 Posters chart

    Changed members

    Six members joined the Top 50 list, only one making the Top 25, and three just above the Top 50 cutoff.
    Tallest Skil (#20)
    jessica. (#37)
    alphaod (#39)
    EricNau (#48)
    Eraserhead (#49)
    skunk (#50)​

    They displaced six members who were near the end of the Top 50 list 6 months ago:
    psychofreak (was #43)
    katie ta achoo (was #46)
    MacRumorUser (was #47)
    jefhatfield (was #48)
    Mord (was #49)
    iMeowbot (was #50)​

    Changes in rank

    Highest rise in rank: sushi up 8 slots to #33
    Next highest is a six-way tie among members who gained 4 positions. One reached the Top 10:
    Eidorian (up to #7)
    bartelby (up to #11)
    iBlue (up to #16)
    rdowns (up to #23)
    IJ Reilly (up to #28)
    twoodcc (up to #34)​

    Highest loss in rank: vniow, down 7 slots to #42, tied with jelloshotsrule, who dropped 7 slots to #46.
    Next highest:
    arn (down 6, to #43)​

    Three members retained their position in the Top 50 list:
    mad jew (#1 for the 5th time in a row, despite being inactive)
    mkrishnan (#2 for the 2nd time in a row)
    jsw (#5 for the 2nd time in a row)​

    katie ta achoo missed the Top 50 by 83 posts (0.46 posts per day, the equivalent of 1 post every 2.2 days).
    MacRumorUser missed the Top 50 by 187 posts (1 post per day).

    Last time, we noted that skunk missed the Top 50 by the equivalent of 1 post every 4.2 days, so perhaps it's fitting that he edged out katie ta achoo and MacRumorUser this time.​

    Changes in the Top 10

    mad jew hasn't posted since September 4, 2008 but is still 6,353 posts ahead of #2 mkrishnan.

    Doctor Q, now #3, makes a few posts per day less than mkrishnan, so mkrishnan is increasing his 2,279-post lead at a rate of more than 1000 posts per year.

    Mr. Anderson, who was the top all-time poster for years, now posts only occasionally (including the day before yesterday). He was passed by Doctor Q but is holding onto the #4 position, with #5 jsw nipping at his heels, only 376 posts behind.

    The high post rates of Abstract (#6) and Eidorian (#7) have moved them up 2 and 4 slots, respectively.

    Rounding out the Top 10 we have three non-U.S. members: Blue Velvet (down a bit to #8), edesignuk (#9 and going strong), and ~Shard~, who is still holding on at #10.

    The number of members with 20,000 or more posts grew from 5 to 8. I predicted it would be 7. Of the Top 50, 42 now have 10,000 or more posts. I predicted it would be 43. I predicted that it would take 9,077 posts to make the Top 50. The actual number is 9,180, so I was off by 1%.

    Together, the Top 50 members have made a total of 720,358 posts at MacRumors (an average of 14,407 each). I predicted it would be 703,582 (2% less).

    Posts in the last 6 months

    This section excludes members who were not in my radar 6 months ago, since I didn't track their post histories. I try to spot up-and-coming posters who might join the Top 50 before the next 6-month period. For example, DoFoT9 has been making 9.7 posts per day and has 7,271 posts to date, which could lead to Top 50 range 6 months from now.

    Highest number of posts in 6 months: Tallest Skil, 6,772 posts, 37.4 posts per day
    Next-highest:
    jessica. (3,321 posts, 18.3 posts/day)
    iJohnHenry (3,196 posts, 17.7 posts/day)
    Eidorian (3,169 posts, 17.5 posts/day)

    They were the only members with over 3,000 posts in 6 months.​
    Another 7 members had post counts between 2,000 and 3,000 in 6 months: Abstract, bartelby, alphaod, dukebound85, leekohler, rdowns, iBlue

    Infrequent posters:
    These 10 members made few or no posts yet stayed in the Top 50: mad jew, Mr. Anderson, wdlove, devilot, bousozoku, eyelikeart, Rower_CPU, emw, vniow, jelloshotsrule

    Predictions from 6 months ago

    In January 2009 I predicted that the Top 10 members would be:
    mad jew, mkrishnan, Doctor Q, jsw, Mr. Anderson, Blue Velvet, Abstract, Eidorian, ~Shard~, PlaceofDis
    The actual results are:
    mad jew, mkrishnan, Doctor Q, Mr. Anderson, jsw, Abstract, Eidorian, Blue Velvet, edesignuk, ~Shard~
    Therefore, the projection was right about 9 of 10 members but had jsw and Blue Velvet in the wrong positions.

    Excluded members and posts

    MacRumors "bots" (members Macrumors, MacBytes, and DailyTunes) and banned members are excluded from my tracking. Otherwise, MacBytes would have been #15 on the Top 50, down from #14 six months ago.

    Members who retire from posting voluntarily are included in my stats and the Top 50, if they qualify, since it's interesting to see how long they hold their positions. As you can see from the "Infrequent posters" list, long-time high posters stay in the top ranks for quite some time!
     
  4. Doctor Q thread starter Administrator

    Doctor Q

    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2002
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    #4
    This is the first-ever Top 50 list without jefhatfield, whose account was retired in 2006, so we'll commemmorate it with a chart of his rank over the last 6 years.

    The scale should really start at rank 1, not rank 0, but Excel and I are lazy.
     

    Attached Files:

  5. MacDawg macrumors P6

    MacDawg

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2004
    Location:
    "Between the Hedges"
    #5
    Excellent!

    Thanks for the update!
    I am sure it will generate the normal discussion!

    Woof, Woof - Dawg [​IMG]
     
  6. Eidorian macrumors Penryn

    Eidorian

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2005
    Location:
    Indianapolis
  7. skunk macrumors G4

    skunk

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2002
    Location:
    Republic of Ukistan
    #7
    Good Grief!
     
  8. techfreak85 macrumors 68040

    techfreak85

    Joined:
    Jan 13, 2008
    Location:
    Places
    #8
    Once again, Doctor. Q, You left me off the list again...:p
     
  9. leekohler macrumors G5

    leekohler

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2004
    Location:
    Chicago, Illinois
    #9
    Isn't jefhatfield just using a different name now? I could be wrong, but I thought that was the case.
     
  10. MacDawg macrumors P6

    MacDawg

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2004
    Location:
    "Between the Hedges"
    #10
    You are correct ;)

    Woof, Woof - Dawg [​IMG]
     
  11. Abstract macrumors Penryn

    Abstract

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2002
    Location:
    Location Location Location
    #11
    I'm surprised that jsw posts 2.6 times/day. I figured it to be less. Same can be said about my post rate! I didn't think it was that high right now! :eek:


    Tallest Skil is just posting ridiculously right now. Interpret that however you want. :p



    I hope the Jew sorts out his problems, perhaps "repair permissions" his troubles, and comes back.
     
  12. skunk macrumors G4

    skunk

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2002
    Location:
    Republic of Ukistan
    #12
    Despite my best efforts at only posting in That Other Forum, Where Posts Don't Count, I seem, to have infiltrated the Top 50 for the first time. Where did I go wrong?
     
  13. Doctor Q thread starter Administrator

    Doctor Q

    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2002
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    #13
    Since your Location is set to "Waiting in line for the Verizon iPhone in Portland" I assumed you were too busy to be in a list at the very same time.

    Doctor Q the administrator could comment on jefhatfield's retirement, but today I'm just Doctor Q the math geek, tracking the numbers and hoping I don't invade anyone's privacy... other than pointing out where techfreak85 is, of course.
     
  14. Eidorian macrumors Penryn

    Eidorian

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2005
    Location:
    Indianapolis
    #14
    I have 19 boards blocked off on my Forum Spy. Plenty of places where I don't really enjoy the subjects of conversation.
     
  15. bartelby macrumors Core

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2004
    #15
    That is a high rate. I hope you feel ashamed...;)
     
  16. 63dot macrumors 603

    63dot

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2006
    Location:
    norcal
    #16
    OMG, I didn't know that I would be anywhere in this thread, well anyway if you want you can cancel my current 63dot account and call me Jefhatfield again.

    -63dot/aka Jefhatfield
     
  17. Abstract macrumors Penryn

    Abstract

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2002
    Location:
    Location Location Location
    #17
    MacRumours old age. Even if you post at a slow rate, you'll get to the top eventually. I'm sure a young guy like iJH will overtake you eventually. ;)


    You've been posting with him for awhile now. ;) I know it's difficult to remember.

    It is weird not to see the name jefhatfield around, and remember that he's still posting.
     
  18. skunk macrumors G4

    skunk

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2002
    Location:
    Republic of Ukistan
    #18
    Hmm. Only 19?


    fs.jpg
     
  19. techfreak85 macrumors 68040

    techfreak85

    Joined:
    Jan 13, 2008
    Location:
    Places
    #19
    thats against the forum rules. ;):p
     
  20. Eidorian macrumors Penryn

    Eidorian

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2005
    Location:
    Indianapolis
    #20
    I submit to the master.

    How is your buddy list looking?
     
  21. techfreak85 macrumors 68040

    techfreak85

    Joined:
    Jan 13, 2008
    Location:
    Places
    #21
    lemme guess.

    Mac basics?
    buying advice?
    Political, Religious, and Social Issues?

    just few.:cool:

    personally i have the Political, Religious, and Social Issues blocked and that's it.
     
  22. skunk macrumors G4

    skunk

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2002
    Location:
    Republic of Ukistan
    #22
    61 strong. Everybody is my buddy. :)

    I have practically everything but the PRSI blocked...
     
  23. Eidorian macrumors Penryn

    Eidorian

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2005
    Location:
    Indianapolis
    #23
    iPhone/iPod stuff and a good chunk of the general community ones

    I don't even want to count my list. Everyone is my buddy too.
     
  24. 63dot macrumors 603

    63dot

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2006
    Location:
    norcal
    #24
    I was one of the first dozen to hit 100 posts as Jefhatfield, first to hit 200 posts, first to hit 500, 1000, and 2000 posts, so that all happened maybe before there was that rule, and I eventually became 63dot.

    Other longtime poster Duke Street became Mr. Anderson. To avoid confusion, it's probably appropriate to be called Jefhatfield again for those on this forum who were here in the earliest days of 2001-2003.

    I know Alphatech, Kela, John 123, Spikey, and many other founding posters have different names now, too.

    -63dot, Jefhatfield
     
  25. leekohler macrumors G5

    leekohler

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2004
    Location:
    Chicago, Illinois
    #25
    I know- I just always forget who it is. I'm awful, I know. ;) Ah- now I know. :)
     

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