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Originally posted by jxyama
i really wouldn't worry about a price drop... if anything, capacity will go up for the same price. that's been the case with ipod updates. capacities have increased from 5 GB to 10 GB at the bottom, 20 to 30 to 40 GB at the top, but you still had to pay $300 and $500, respectively. i'd say chances of smaller iPods selling below $300 is not very likely at the moment. (yeah, i know jobs said some things about "cheaper" iPods, but there's no timeline on that...)

It would be nice though if Jobs considered a cheaper ipod similar to the eMac line for desktops. Why not call it an ePOD. I can't afford the ipod's current price b/c I'm a poor student. Hopefully the ePod will become a reality.
:)
 
Originally posted by Ja Di ksw
"are they going to drop prices soon? Should I wait?" Sigh. I doubt anything really new will come out until a few months have passed, but a price drop would be nice, especially since I'm planning on dropping even more money on a powerbook

Um... I wouldn't read into this at all.

Production always increases on new technologies. Toshiba just happened to post a press release on the topic.

arn
 
Originally posted by yoman
It would be nice though if Jobs considered a cheaper ipod similar to the eMac line for desktops. Why not call it an ePOD. I can't afford the ipod's current price b/c I'm a poor student. Hopefully the ePod will become a reality.
:)

even then, i'd imagine something like the ePod would be around $200. i'd be very surprised to see apple venture into the price range where things starts to become a commodity.

either that or it will have to have sufficiently "crippled" features to justify differentiation from "upscale" iPods and maintain the margins.
 
Randomly concerning battery life, as I hear a WHOLE lot about it, the only way you'll be seeing increased battery life in an iPod is (a) more energy efficient components or (b) a bigger battery.

The iPod uses a lithium-ion battery and if you look at the periodic table you'll see were running out of elements to use in these suckers.

From the looks of things, all the components currently in an iPod are extremely efficient. I'll leave the processes of elimination to the reader.

It feels like of weird to say, but batteries are about as good as they're going to get.

-1 Off Topic
 
Originally posted by RandomMacGuy
It feels like of weird to say, but batteries are about as good as they're going to get.

not weird at all. battery technologies have been improving at a snail's pace compared to the deviced they are used in. from Ni-Cd to Ni-MH to Li, the capacity has not increased and the size has not decreased substantially. unfortunately, as long as batteries depend on chemical processes to generate/hold charge, dramatic improvements are unlikely...

i'm sure there's quite a bit of R&D being done and if some company is to invent a new method, it stands to profit enormously... but likely from a non-chemical processes...
 
IMO, there is only one thing that you can definitively pull from this article as it relates to the iPod. That is, 1.8" drives will be in much higher supply (double current production). Demand staying equal, this will drive down prices significantly on these drives. However, I'd venture to guess that demand is ramping up with the growth of online music stores fueling the growth of mp3 player sales.

Even if demand does increase into the near future, my guess is that increased supply of drives will drive down prices of the iPod somewhat (edit: or drive up margins for Apple, who knows), in conjunction with increased competition in the mp3 player market.

On the speculative side, a 1" HD from Toshiba sound interesting, and that's about all I think anyone can say about that.
 
Yeah the iPod uses these, and. It doesnt say the increase in production is iPod related.
Originally posted by jxyama
um, iPod uses these 1.8" HD... but this is just a matter of increased supply, so i don't think anything can be said about use of 1" HD in iPods, etc. those are pure speculations...

any news on the capacity of 1.8" HD? i *think* they top out at around 80 GB right now? when will *those* make it to iPods?

I see it as everyone has started to get into the MP3 player business, therefore the demand for the HD's are increasing. Alot of the newcomers are using the 1.8" HD.
 
Even IF the increase in production brought down prices for Apple, don't expect those savings (however miniscule) to be seen on our end.

Geez, if there were a press release on MR that said "Company X announced today that they make brown paper bags." some posters on this board would expect brown paper Powerbooks ASAP.

This is one story to take at face value.
 
Originally posted by fBaran
1" HD + .8" battery = I hope better battery life one day.

My thoughts exactly.

My fingers aren't going to shrink to half their size in the next year; it'd be silly for the iPod and hence its controls to be shrunk down too.

On the other hand, a smaller drive means a bigger battery can fit.

Of course, the 1" drives are pretty low-capacity these days ... I can't see Apple moving to a 1.5GB iPod any time soon, not with the success their larger drive models have been having ...
 
Originally posted by FlamDrag
Even IF the increase in production brought down prices for Apple, don't expect those savings (however miniscule) to be seen on our end.

Geez, if there were a press release on MR that said "Company X announced today that they make brown paper bags." some posters on this board would expect brown paper Powerbooks ASAP.

This is one story to take at face value.

While this story isn't a primary indicator of price drops, other factors lead me to believe that price cutting is in the near future.

1) Steve Jobs stated publicly that he wants to sell cheaper iPods but can't get cheap enough compnents. With an increased supply of Toshiba drives, this may be changing.

2) Competition in the mp3 player market is growing. With increased competition, almost *always* means price drops across the industry. I think this will be a bigger factor in price drops than cheaper drives.

If you consider both of these factors influencing price and Steve Jobs public stated intentions, it could mean cheaper iPods. I would venture to guess at least a $50 price cut across the board within a year is likely. While not nearly as likely, but possible, would be a $100 price cut. I don't think this will happen but it is possible.
 
I'm pretty sure Apple has been paying the lowest possible prices for the 1.8" drives, and I doubt they will see substantial savings after production ramps up. My guess is that Toshiba is trying to meet demand, not drive prices down... since every true "iPod competitor" has to have the same size (or smaller) drive. Prices may go down as a result, or Toshiba may decide to start enjoying some better profit margins... who knows?

I would be very surprised to see a new iPod before Christmas, but they've revamped the iPod more often than any other product I know of... I just don't know what they can do to make it a better music player (yes, that's what it is, for many of you who have forgotten).
 
i highly doubt an ipod update anytime soon. january, at the earliest and probably just capacity increases, at best. apple is probably yet to capitalize on all the new dock-related features and i doubt they will do a complete design change in the mean time.

check MR's buyer's guide. last update was in sept. and one before that, april. the sept. update was for the holidays. i'm sure many people will buy an ipod for the holidays due to iTMS windows port and generally high exposure they've been receiving/spreading.

also, HD price may come down a bit, but that's not all there's to the iPod. i hear DAC in the iPod is of quite a high quality and those things are not ideal parts to skimp on.

i don't see apple making commodity mp3 players any time soon. there are plenty of makers already and they don't yield the same profit as ipods. in addition, novelty factor will wear off on the high capacity ipods if sub-$100 ipods were to be introduced anyway..?

instead of a price cut, apple will do the same thing they do on macs. they will increase the features/capacities and keep the prices the same. dramatic prices cuts will only happen once competitions get really stiff and starts to affect apple ipod's bottom line. why discount when they are still selling like hotcakes?
 
sigh

Another thread where I left baffled why people voted this is a "negative."

Admittedly Jobs had said iPods were going to remain part of DLD, so please no conclusion jumps that it'll become a fullfledged NewtonII. However, with increased possible need for room with media and voice recorders, etc., it's make sense that someday, someday soon, the current 40GB will nto be enough. Bring on the 80GB iPod.
 
I think times are changing for apple. They just can't add features and keep the base price. There are too many other companies that are going to try and undercut apple in pricing. And I think many will be able to do so. Apple will have to make a lower priced entry level unit, and make it soon. Not saying that it has to be cheaper than the other MP3 players, but atleast competitive price wise.

I dont think the old "same price, more features" will continue to work once they other companies release their MP3 players.
 
With increased production to me that means slightly lower pricing on next gen iPods. I believe the smaller HD would mean smaller and less features on next economy sized iPod in the 5-10GB range to combat the cheap MP3 players.

I'm sure the next iPod battery power will go up probably to 10-12hrs.
 
Originally posted by 1macker1
How do you get anything about the iPod out of this article. I dont really see anything iPod specific.

Yes I think you are right. This is about the new Cube form factor G5 with internal RAID using 2 of the drives.

:)

Of course it is about the iPod becoming a fad.

I have never seen such a rapid ramp-up of Apple mindshare and of course the total magnitude is at record levels.

:cool:
 
Apple doesn't have to lower prices. Pretty much every single consumer market has a "premium" brand with a superior design and a higher price. The HDD-based portable music player market will do just fine with the Fords and Kias (Dell, Archon, etc.) as well as the BMWs and Mercedes (Apple, maybe Sony, we'll see).

People just don't get that Apple isn't going for a "most units sold" record. Profitability is not about slashing prices to sell more units. Apple wants the iPod to remain a profitable product that heavily influences the market, and they have that... I consider the iPod to be superior to the competition, and most people agree, so a lot of people will be willing to pay a higher price. That's how this whole "capitalism" thing works... instead of homogenizing all of the products in the market, they are segmented into further sub-categories which appeal to different demographics. The wild success of the iPod is due to the fact that almost every person prefers the iPod, but the price is the only barrier.

Don't forget, it's easy to lower prices, but it's almost impossible to raise them. They can't feasibly fluctuate along with the component market, but the product life evens it out over time (margins start small but increase, a new model starts that cycle over).
 
Originally posted by arn
How did u come to that conclusion?

Nothing in this news item suggests anything of the sort. 1" drives currently exist... Apple hasn't used 'em yet. Toshiba plans to make them in the future -- no timeframe specified.

arn

I have heard some things, lets say that. I'll spill my beans when it happens.
 
Originally posted by the_mole1314
I have heard some things, lets say that. I'll spill my beans when it happens.

Oh c'mon the_mole, you're going to have to better than this, don't be a tease. You think Apple Legal reads these forums?

[scratches head thinking maybe they do]
 
Well, I'll say this, from what I've heard, Apple might release a product that'll crush the flash-based market. Remeber, subject to change.
 
Originally posted by the_dalex
Apple doesn't have to lower prices. Pretty much every single consumer market has a "premium" brand with a superior design and a higher price. The HDD-based portable music player market will do just fine with the Fords and Kias (Dell, Archon, etc.) as well as the BMWs and Mercedes (Apple, maybe Sony, we'll see).

People just don't get that Apple isn't going for a "most units sold" record. Profitability is not about slashing prices to sell more units. Apple wants the iPod to remain a profitable product that heavily influences the market, and they have that... I consider the iPod to be superior to the competition, and most people agree, so a lot of people will be willing to pay a higher price. That's how this whole "capitalism" thing works... instead of homogenizing all of the products in the market, they are segmented into further sub-categories which appeal to different demographics. The wild success of the iPod is due to the fact that almost every person prefers the iPod, but the price is the only barrier.

Don't forget, it's easy to lower prices, but it's almost impossible to raise them. They can't feasibly fluctuate along with the component market, but the product life evens it out over time (margins start small but increase, a new model starts that cycle over).

while some people won't agree with your car analogy, i do - well said. the market is fragmented and apple need not address the entire mp3 player market at all... profit is the bottom line, not the number of units sold. i'm sure apple will definitely react when a comparably equipped device targeting the same market segment starts eating into iPod sales

OR

the segment of the mp3 player market not targeted by iPods starts to dominate
 
Re: Toshiba Doubling 1.8-inch HDD Production

Originally posted by Macrumors
Today, Toshiba announced that they will be doubling production of their popular 1.8" hard drives by March 2004.
This may have more to do with increased laptop computer sales than with iPod sales. The computers that use these devices seem to be very popular in Japan these days.

Sushi
 
Originally posted by greenstork
1) Steve Jobs stated publicly that he wants to sell cheaper iPods but can't get cheap enough compnents. With an increased supply of Toshiba drives, this may be changing.

2) Competition in the mp3 player market is growing. With increased competition, almost *always* means price drops across the industry. I think this will be a bigger factor in price drops than cheaper drives.

If you consider both of these factors influencing price and Steve Jobs public stated intentions, it could mean cheaper iPods. I would venture to guess at least a $50 price cut across the board within a year is likely. While not nearly as likely, but possible, would be a $100 price cut. I don't think this will happen but it is possible.

I agree totally. Apple is currently making nearly $175 profit on the high end models, something which they can eat into since iTMS is probably going to send iPod demand through the roof.

The interest is already there, Apple just has to read the market right to capitalize on the opportunity..heh, so to speak.

I was the first person I knew to buy an iPod (5G, 1st gen). Since then I must see 5 every day...and this among poor college students! :)
 
Originally posted by the_mole1314
Well, I'll say this, from what I've heard, Apple might release a product that'll crush the flash-based market. Remeber, subject to change.

interesting... so maybe they will be going after the market i posted right above after "OR" part...

i'm not sure how ipod can be adapted into beating the flash-based market... hmm.
 
Originally posted by savar
I agree totally. Apple is currently making nearly $175 profit on the high end models, something which they can eat into since iTMS is probably going to send iPod demand through the roof.

i really hate to be picky, but i also don't want some people to get expectations of un-appleish price drop. (and then complain when it doesn't materialize) if the demand would be "through the roof due to iTMS," why would you drop the price?
 
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