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Original poster
Apr 12, 2001
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In addition to coverage of all-new iPod touch and iPod nano models in his report released earlier today, KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo also offered more predictions about Apple's iOS device plans for the September-October timeframe. According to Kuo, Apple is looking to launch the next-generation iPhone in September, perhaps closer to the beginning of the month. But with component shortages and limited on-sale time during the quarter following an expected pullback from consumers in expectation of the launch, he predicts only a modest bump in unit sales over the second quarter's numbers.
iPhone 5 to debut in September. But due to in-cell touch panel and casing yield rate limits, ability to offset older models' shipments decrease will be moderate.
On the iPad front, Kuo is expecting the iPad mini to debut later in September following component ramping in August. He predicts sales of just 1.8 million units during the short time the device will be on sale during the third quarter, exploding to overtake the full-size iPad in the fourth quarter with an estimate of over 13 million units.

ipad_mini_mockup_iphone.jpg

Mockup of 7.85-inch "iPad mini" next to an iPhone (courtesy of CiccareseDesign)

Interestingly, Kuo also claims that Apple will be tweaking the internals of the current full-size iPad around the same time, making changes to address thermal issues and reduce costs. Digitimes had previously claimed that Apple would be revamping the third-generation iPad later this year with a thinner enclosure, IGZO display, and new heat dissipation capabilities, but Kuo's sources indicate that the changes will be invisible to users.
Though shipments of iPad mini's components will start in August, the new iPad line will end production, ready for transition to a modified New iPad line. As such, component shipments will drop in August as iPad mini's components shipments growth will be offset. On a side note, the modified New iPad shares the same exterior as the original model, but contains modifications to correct its thermal dissipation problem and lower-cost components.
Overall, Kuo is predicting massive iPhone and iPad sales for the fourth quarter of 2012 once the new models have full quarters of sales to build upon. His estimates put total iPhone sales at over 55 million and iPad sales at nearly 24 million during the quarter, spurred in large part by momentum from the iPhone and iPad mini launches.

Article Link: Tweaked iPad and New 'iPad Mini' Said to Closely Follow Next-Generation iPhone Launch
 

celui

macrumors newbie
Jun 22, 2011
15
0
You need to get her name right. Is Kuo (this article) or Cho (previous one). And also in many Asian languages, family name is printed first, that's just a sign of respect (ex: Hu Jiantao)
 

greytmom

macrumors 68040
Jun 23, 2010
3,566
1,002
It seems a little schizophrenic of Apple, doesn't it? Will be interesting to see what ends up being true.
 

na1577

macrumors 6502a
Jan 20, 2008
899
88
except he's been regularly accurate in the past.

arn

Accurate or not, they're still only predictions. I could predict a new iPhone this fall and I would likely be correct. But that doesn't grant me any credibility as a reliable source.

(Yes, I realize these posts are more generated for discussion than actual news. But reiterating the same few predictions from analysts gets tiresome after a while)
 

arn

macrumors god
Staff member
Apr 9, 2001
16,363
5,795
Accurate or not, they're still only predictions. I could predict a new iPhone this fall and I would likely be correct. But that doesn't grant me any credibility as a reliable source.

He's gotten very specific details correct in the past. So yes, if you could regularly offer accurate predictions with specifics, then yes, you would be considered a reliable source.

here are some that were on target:

https://www.macrumors.com/2012/06/0...ird-macbook-line-with-retina-display-at-wwdc/
https://www.macrumors.com/2012/04/23/apple-predicted-to-discontinue-17-inch-macbook-pro/
https://www.macrumors.com/2011/09/1...-of-september-no-sign-of-redesigned-iphone-5/
https://www.macrumors.com/2011/07/22/apple-planning-to-introduce-white-ipod-touch-later-this-year/
https://www.macrumors.com/2011/07/1...-macbook-in-favor-of-entry-level-macbook-air/

Were they just lucky guesses? Well, if so, he guesses well. So, we should still listen to him. :)

arn
 
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rtdunham

macrumors 6502a
Jun 21, 2003
991
81
St. Petersburg, FL, Northern KY
Why are iPad bezels so disproportionately large compared to the bezel on the iPhone? Is it just to increase size in order to accommodate a bigger battery? How many of you would prefer smaller width & height dimensions and a little more thickness, to achieve the same mass of battery?

My argument: Shrink the bezel and the frontal area. It's not thickness that determines whether a device will fit in a pocket, at least not where thin iPads are involved; it's width & height.
 

Reaktor5

macrumors 6502a
Oct 12, 2007
712
24
New Hampshire, USA
Why are iPad bezels so disproportionately large compared to the bezel on the iPhone? Is it just to increase size in order to accommodate a bigger battery? How many of you would prefer smaller width & height dimensions and a little more thickness, to achieve the same mass of battery?

My argument: Shrink the bezel and the frontal area. It's not thickness that determines whether a device will fit in a pocket, at least not where thin iPads are involved; it's width & height.

I think it's so you can hold it in a comfortable way without touching the screen causing sporadic movements from your fingers.
 

Caliber26

macrumors 68020
Sep 25, 2009
2,325
3,637
Orlando, FL
Why are iPad bezels so disproportionately large compared to the bezel on the iPhone? Is it just to increase size in order to accommodate a bigger battery? How many of you would prefer smaller width & height dimensions and a little more thickness, to achieve the same mass of battery?

My argument: Shrink the bezel and the frontal area. It's not thickness that determines whether a device will fit in a pocket, at least not where thin iPads are involved; it's width & height.

The way you hold an iPhone is very different than how you hold an iPad. If the bezel were thinner, your fingers would provide unwanted input.

Accurate or not, they're still only predictions. I could predict a new iPhone this fall and I would likely be correct. But that doesn't grant me any credibility as a reliable source.

(Yes, I realize these posts are more generated for discussion site clicks than actual news. But reiterating the same few predictions from analysts gets tiresome after a while)

Fixed. ;)
 

belltree

macrumors 6502
Feb 17, 2008
395
60
Tokyo, Japan
Hopefully "tweaked internals for the full-size iPad" will turn out to be a die shrink for the A5X inside the iPad3 to 32nm or possibly smaller. A decrease in heat and power consumption would be welcome.
 

MrDelux

macrumors newbie
Oct 10, 2008
15
0
So is he/she predicting that iPhone 5 parts will be hard to come by and as a result iPhone 5 shortages??
 

greytmom

macrumors 68040
Jun 23, 2010
3,566
1,002
He's gotten very specific details correct in the past. So yes, if you could regularly offer accurate predictions with specifics, then yes, you would be considered a reliable source.

here are some that were on target:

https://www.macrumors.com/2012/06/0...ird-macbook-line-with-retina-display-at-wwdc/
https://www.macrumors.com/2012/04/23/apple-predicted-to-discontinue-17-inch-macbook-pro/
https://www.macrumors.com/2011/09/1...-of-september-no-sign-of-redesigned-iphone-5/
https://www.macrumors.com/2011/07/22/apple-planning-to-introduce-white-ipod-touch-later-this-year/
https://www.macrumors.com/2011/07/1...-macbook-in-favor-of-entry-level-macbook-air/

Were they just lucky guesses? Well, if so, he guesses well. So, we should still listen to him. :)

arn

If that's luck, I'd like to shake his hand. And then buy a lottery ticket.
 

justperry

macrumors G5
Aug 10, 2007
12,558
9,750
I'm a rolling stone.
It's gonna be a few busy months for Apple if this all comes reality.

New iPhone, new iPods, iMacs?, 13" rMBP and what more.

I do believe that Apple will tweak the iPad just to make it cooler, could even go with a smaller battery if they shrink the A5X.
 

MacinDoc

macrumors 68020
Mar 22, 2004
2,268
11
The Great White North
Accurate or not, they're still only predictions. I could predict a new iPhone this fall and I would likely be correct. But that doesn't grant me any credibility as a reliable source.

(Yes, I realize these posts are more generated for discussion than actual news. But reiterating the same few predictions from analysts gets tiresome after a while)
His predictions are a good deal more specific than "new iPhone this fall". They refer to specific months during which multiple products will allegedly be deployed. The large number of predictions made has two effects: it increases the probability that they will be right about at least one, and it increases the probability that they will be wrong with at least one. So if they are right with the majority of their timeline, their credibility will be further enhanced. If they are right with all of the predictions, I suspect Apple Legal will be having a talk with them.
 

chanyitian

macrumors regular
Jun 3, 2012
115
0
Why are iPad bezels so disproportionately large compared to the bezel on the iPhone? Is it just to increase size in order to accommodate a bigger battery? How many of you would prefer smaller width & height dimensions and a little more thickness, to achieve the same mass of battery?

My argument: Shrink the bezel and the frontal area. It's not thickness that determines whether a device will fit in a pocket, at least not where thin iPads are involved; it's width & height.

I am sorry but I disagree with you. I think that the iPad should not have a much thinner bezel. This is because the iPad is significantly larger than the iPhone which makes one hand operation impossible. you need to hold it and press your thumbs on the surface of the iPad so that it won't fall. If the bezel of the iPad is thin, it means more accidental, unintended touch on the touch screen, which is a disaster. Therefore, I don't think that Apple will dramatically reduce the width of the bezel of the iPad, even if its technologically possible.
 

bushido

Suspended
Mar 26, 2008
8,070
2,755
Germany
damn just bought my new iPad two weeks ago. should have waited maybe because the charging time and the heat is redic as of right now.

its probably going to be a quiet update, like on the tweaked iPad 2
 
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