What anniversary was connected with "late 2013"?These have usually ended up being beautiful but ultimately underpowered & overpriced pieces of art ...
What anniversary was connected with "late 2013"?These have usually ended up being beautiful but ultimately underpowered & overpriced pieces of art ...
Thank you for the nice and informative reply. It is difficult to predict what customers want and history may give some clues. As I said before the large upgradable desktop were replaced by non upgradable computers (laptops and AIO and lately iPads) for a large majority of "office" workers (who by definitions also are professionals).These customers were willing to let go of upgradability.(As good of a context as any to comment & continue)
On sales volume, I think it comes down to a couple of factors and considerations. Sure, we can try to wave over a crystal ball to guess at unit volumes, but the IMO simpler metric is simply to ask "what's the 3rd Party aftermarket like?". Point being that if Company XYZ is willing to design, fab & sell something like an SSD upgrade for a tcMP, then the tcMP market is presumably "big enough" that they see a viable business opportunity. And so on.
Problem with this approach is that these opportunities may be "too small" for the $0.9T Market Cap Apple to consider worth bothering to go after ... but this really also crosses this conversation into marketing, cross-product line revenues, and so forth. To this end, has not nearly every new Mac Pro (style) machine been rolled out with the marketing hype of "Most Powerful Mac EVER!"? The point here is that Halo products often exist for mindshare, not to be particularly profitable on their own.
And pulling a line from the above:
This is really getting into the underlying motivations of the customer, with the emphasis here being why they select 3rd Party rather than Genuine OEM Apple. The history here is functionally twofold: agility and cost. Specifically, the 3rd Parties are typically much faster to market than Apple and they're cheaper to boot.
Apple effectively has a conflict-of-interest against themselves here because the better they are in providing ongoing support (hardware upgrades) to their fleet of existing Mac Pros, the more that that customer can defer buying a new Mac (hardware replacement lifecycle) which reduces sales. However, this point also merits some consideration of the interplay between short term and long term interests .. the cliché is how the sum of replacement parts for an automobile can cost more than a new car. Again, even if it isn't particularly profitable for Apple to provide such ongoing hardware upgrades, there's also that marketing/prestige factor, as well as being a strategy to build customer loyalty. For example, Mike Valentine (of radar detector fame) sells the V-1 and part of his marketing is that any customer can return their existing one to have it upgraded to the latest version ... which results in recurring sales and a customer that's less likely to defect to the competition.
Moving on ...
On who's the right/wrong/?? customer for the Mac Pro.
First, a lot is going to depend on what Apple decides to do, which ultimately boils down to features & price. If they make the minimum buy-in too high, they're going to drive candidates to other solutions.
Second, there is a valid point in the observation of "buying something that I'm not going to use", as a value paradigm. To this end, the externalities of the cheesegrater cMP was essentially that the 'cost' was primarily a physically big & heavy box. And this can be seen with the parallels to the G4 PowerMac vs Cube: in a nutshell, the customer base wasn't willing to sacrifice expandability potential for a smaller size when it was at the ~same MSRP: the perennial question here would have been "how much cheaper would the Cube needed to have been in order to sell?".
Overall, I see the potential for this same pitfall in the iMac Pro versus future mMP: the iMac Pro at $5K offers a nice display at the cost of expandability potential, whereas the mMP deletes the display but (presumably) will do well in the expandability department ... so just what will the market (ie, customer) determine as the correct price point for it? Naturally, the more divergent that Apple chooses to make the configurations (especially the minimum configs), the harder it will be for customers to decide between the two.
Finally, let's not completely forget another aspect of Apple's history, which is of special edition "Anniversary" Macs. These have usually ended up being beautiful but ultimately underpowered & overpriced pieces of art ...
-hh
Second, there is a valid point in the observation of "buying something that I'm not going to use", as a value paradigm. To this end, the externalities of the cheesegrater cMP was essentially that the 'cost' was primarily a physically big & heavy box. And this can be seen with the parallels to the G4 PowerMac vs Cube: in a nutshell, the customer base wasn't willing to sacrifice expandability potential for a smaller size when it was at the ~same MSRP: the perennial question here would have been "how much cheaper would the Cube needed to have been in order to sell?".
Overall, I see the potential for this same pitfall in the iMac Pro versus future mMP: the iMac Pro at $5K offers a nice display at the cost of expandability potential, whereas the mMP deletes the display but (presumably) will do well in the expandability department ... so just what will the market (ie, customer) determine as the correct price point for it? Naturally, the more divergent that Apple chooses to make the configurations (especially the minimum configs), the harder it will be for customers to decide between the two.
It's an interesting question. I feel like the base price for the Mac Pro would be less than the iMac simply because there's not going to be a pretty big honking 5K display in there.
It is too early to make a conjecture.
I think it was a vague rumour recently of a mac mini that was not so mini anymore. Would be intersting to see how a computer look like that scales from a "mini" to beyond iMac Pro.Apple does occasionally zag when we expect a zig - a slotbox that reaches down all the way to the processing power of a mac mini, and all the way up beyond the iMac Pro, based on what processor you option, would certainly be a marketable strategy, based on defining "pro" as the capability to reconfigure the machine.
It never got a lot of love, but the Powermac / Performa 6400/6500 series minitower was an interesting machine back in the day - lower end processor and dual pci slots in a compact, softer edge tower.
Unfortunately it did not happen. Adding locked modules to robust ports gives very high user friendliness - I like that. I think the critical part is the lack of high speed I/O between the components. Even TB3 is not quick enough for graphics cards. Stacking may also make ventilation of individual modules difficult.@iPadified
Well I predicted something (03.03.2013, long before tMP) like the attached one. I wasn't sure whether it was gonna be called a mini, maxi, xMac or Pro. You could just strech it seamlessly. But don't ask how it's going to be engineered.
Didn't happen though..![]()
Maybe now is closer to the reality...Well I predicted something (03.03.2013, long before tMP) like the attached one.
probably the closest to reality.I predict that the new Mac Pro will be powered by wishes and dreams, and be individually delivered on the back of a talking unicorn.
probably the closest to reality.
Thank you for the nice and informative reply. It is difficult to predict what customers want and history may give some clues. As I said before the large upgradable desktop were replaced by non upgradable computers (laptops and AIO and lately iPads) for a large majority of "office" workers (who by definitions also are professionals).These customers were willing to let go of upgradability.
The options for poweruser are much more diverse today than the time of the Cube or the cMP. TB3 (for breakout boxes), 10Gb ethernet (for high speed connections to servers) etc allows for other kinds of work stations where all the power does not necessary need to be under the table or inside one box. Because of that the classical big box existence can be questioned.
Regarding upgrade costs, we at this forum can probably all upgrade a computer for "free". However, many professionals cannot (or do not want to) and need to hire expertise to upgrade the computer making 3:th party upgrades DIY less interesting. I agree that 3:rd party has shorter time to development than Apple which is a bit plus.
I like dragons more than unicorns, but either will do at this point.
Are you thinking I am young or old?I don't know if this is a function of age, or just limited exposure to the computverse; but slimline, focus orientated machines have been around forever, maybe more so in enterprise than for family computing. Amber CRT WYSE dumb terminals were a thing. Slimline PS2 saturated offices everywhere. This idea of a 'classical big box' thing is a misnomer, yes it was a thing, but it was also surrounded by other things which you are conveniently forgetting about. Historical cherry picking. Remember those early Texas Instrument laptops of 40 years ago ? Not much has changed since then in terms of expandability or function philosophy, just the packaging has gotten tighter.
You might not see value in 'classical big box'... this is fine. But lets not go down the 'no true scottsman' path here. Others might; I know folks who have significantly more invested in DSP expansion hardware than the actual computer itself, and TB3 breakouts do not offer the throughput required. Machine control with custom I/O hardware, etc ..
I get the sentiment you are trying to make, but hey, there is an iMacPro coming to scratch your itch. But to suggest that 'classic big box' is questionable, it outright ignorant.
Are you thinking I am young or old?Hard to tell. I ran mainframes three decades ago and has followed the computer development over time. Sure it was slim line computes before although I do not think a terminal counts as computer. I fact the original IBM PC was larger physically than the many of the subsequent Sun WS! The PC tower has been around since the 90:th or so. In term of PC, this is "classical" age. I know fully well that TB3 is not sufficient for some I/O but as the I/O get quicker there will be new ways for modularity and connections to powerful server.
sales trends can be deceiving, need to be in context with households with PC's. For obvious reasons, consumer demographics change, just because there are more vegans today, doesn't mean no needs a good steak anymore.
I think it was a vague rumour recently of a mac mini that was not so mini anymore. Would be intersting to see how a computer look like that scales from a "mini" to beyond iMac Pro.
Unfortunately it did not happen. Adding locked modules to robust ports gives very high user friendliness - I like that. I think the critical part is the lack of high speed I/O between the components. Even TB3 is not quick enough for graphics cards. Stacking may also make ventilation of individual modules difficult.
They’ll just make a connector themselves, the already did it with the Mac Pro before, the daughter board holding the dual Xeon CPUs in the old Tower Pro, they developed the connection from that to the motherboard themselves I think and no ones complained about it’s speed.
we've not seen a TB-equipped USB keyboard for a desktop
Ok we are officially going way out there regarding concepts for what this machine may be.