Did Apple already tell us the dates?
Seeing that Apple's M.O. is to have an event on a Tuesday, that leaves the 10/22 release date to having an event on 10/19... already taken by Google.
Then for the 10/29 date, that would put them at having an event on 10/26... putting their quarterly earnings call right in the middle of that week, which is scheduled for 10/28. That would take away from their own spotlight, which would be foolish to do.
So that pushes us to November. 11/2 is Election day, so 11/9 would be the time outside of all of this, with 11/12 being a suitable release date.
And of course, this is all assuming that everything is going swimmingly with Monterrey... which it isn't.
BL.