Just my thought,
I really do believe the first batch of phones have been shipped, or are being shipped as we type.
There's probably just some delay in being updated on apples system.
Usually it takes UPS 24 hours for a shipping label to even show up in their system.
I don't think they've left china though. But most likely they will in the next 12 hours? Its 6am in china right now, and while they do ship 24/7, expect everything to speed up in around an hour or 2.
I still don't really understand the plane tracking etc, so if anyone that does, are there any UPS planes from hong kong to anchorage leaving in the next.. 4-8 hours?
Also, just from experience, if a package is being scanned, lets say right now. it will only show up online in around 2 hours. I've religiously tracked packages before, refreshing every few minutes, and then eventually they show up that something happened 2 hours ago. USPS is even worse with this by the way.. they have a wait of a few years for their tracking to update...