People aren't going to shell out heaps of money to upgrade to another iPad if they are unhappy...
Owners of Apple products have in the past have in the past
People aren't going to shell out heaps of money to upgrade to another iPad if they are unhappy...
Owners of Apple products have in the past have in the past. Besides in any case, those iPad owners aren't currently shelling out any money because they have no reason to upgrade.
That is my prediction as well.
They don't have massive fragmentation, but it's still more than it used to be.Dropping around 70 percent of their iPad customers would be a poor move (though that number will be lower by then).
Fragmentation is when you've got your user base across multiple different versions of software - the reason Apple doesn't have massive fragmentation is because they continue support for devices that hold large market shares. Dropping A6 devices in iOS 10 (Assuming there are still a lot of people on A6 deices) would just make fragmentation worse.
This was what I was thinking too. Especially given how Ipad sales are down, and folks generally hold on to Ipads longer than Iphones, I wouldn't be surprised if they were extra motivated to drop support for older devices just to get us to buy newer models.iPad sales are way down since people have little reason to upgrade. 70% of iPad customers not able to upgrade to IOS 10 will make people very unhappy but will greatly stimulate sales. Besides, IOS 10 will be most likely released in September 2016 (i.e. not immediately).
Apple has only ever left one iPad unsupported (iPad 1) and there weren't many people using it when it lost support, and even then there was anger and many brand swappers.
Apple needs to treat iPads like they treat Macs - long software support cycles, as people are treating their iPads as devices they do not replace regularly.
IMO, being unable to upgrade to the latest version of iOS is not as big a hit to customer satisfaction as having their device's performance degrade with an upgrade.iPad sales are way down since people have little reason to upgrade. 70% of iPad customers not able to upgrade to IOS 10 will make people very unhappy but will greatly stimulate sales. Besides, IOS 10 will be most likely released in September 2016 (i.e. not immediately).
There's a tipping point. There are some who are marginally unhappy and realize that purchasing the latest version will address (at least temporarily) their unhappiness. There are others who have weighed the benefits against the cost and will decide that it is better for them to switch to a different device than to upgrade.People aren't going to shell out heaps of money to upgrade to another iPad if they are unhappy...
IMO, being unable to upgrade to the latest version of iOS is not as big a hit to customer satisfaction as having their device's performance degrade with an upgrade.
Generally speaking, there is little that is inherently beneficial to upgrading iOS. Primarily, an upgrade provides support for the hardware features that are introduced with the new generation. For example: Apple adds Touch ID to the iPad, they choose to upgrade iOS to support it. That does nothing for those who own iPads without a Touch ID sensor.
The real pushes to upgrade are (A) security fixes and (B) application pre-requisites. I wouldn't be surprised if iOS development tools place great emphasis in developing to the latest version of iOS... placing a requirement that has no technical merit, but a business purpose.
There's a tipping point. There are some who are marginally unhappy and realize that purchasing the latest version will address (at least temporarily) their unhappiness. There are others who have weighed the benefits against the cost and will decide that it is better for them to switch to a different device than to upgrade.
Up until this point Apple has been betting (successfully) that people are unhappy enough to upgrade but satisfied enough to stay with Apple.
I think that the tide is beginning to turn.
They don't have massive fragmentation, but it's still more than it used to be.
Dropping support for previous specs and software may not indeed be fragmentation. However, it still leaves users in the dust.
This was what I was thinking too. Especially given how Ipad sales are down, and folks generally hold on to Ipads longer than Iphones, I wouldn't be surprised if they were extra motivated to drop support for older devices just to get us to buy newer models.
If people are ticked off, they'll make the judgment call to finally pony up for a newer model, or just stick with what they have and make peace with that.
And if Apple really is a company that's more into supporting their user base than profits (which I don't believe), then they would be keeping the Ipod Touch line, and reintroducing a new Ipod Classic/dedicated mp3 player line (which I don't believe either). Given that, I doubt they'll support previous Ipads more than they'd care to.
That's nothing more than a strawman.So people who buy an iPad Mini 1 today and can't upgrade within 5 months would be really likely to go buy another iPad?
Apple has NEVER dropped that many people with an update. EVER.
So people who buy an iPad Mini 1 today and can't upgrade within 5 months would be really likely to go buy another iPad?
thing. It has happened before, with the iPod touch. The 4th gen was officially discontinued on May 30, 2013, and iOS 7 was released in September.They will not lose support for the latest iOS until 12 months after they are discontinued.
if they keep to their usual cycle, the a5 processor won't get ios9 - the a4 didn't get ios8 so it's the a5 next. but there's a glimmer of hope, as ios9 is said to be more of a performance update (think osx snow leopard)
so if i was to buy a brand new itouch 5g today, what life expectancy could i realistically get from it?
1. As a music player, it will last until the critical components die; and if you take really good care of it and its battery, you should get easily 7 years before any one component starts to die
many thanks for the detailed replymy use will be just as a music player, primarily airplay and streaming over wifi to a speaker. so i guess i fall into number 1?
or does the fact that i will be using airplay and wifi mean i could go into any of the other scenarios you mentioned?
The iPad Mini 1 will most likely run IOS 9. I expect it will be discontinued in September 2015 along will the 5C and Touch 5. Those devices will still be usable on the latest IOS (IOS 9) until IOS 10 is released in Sept 2016 (i.e. They will not lose support for the latest IOS until 12 months after they are discontinued).
As to the whole thing. It has happened before, with the iPod touch. The 4th gen was officially discontinued on May 30, 2013, and iOS 7 was released in September.
What's stranger to me though, is that they are still selling the iPod touch 4th gen right now in their refurbished section!
No joke! Surely I can't be the only one surprised they are
1. Selling a refurbished model that came out in 2010 and
2. Selling a refurbished model running iOS 6, that is now two versions out of date.
Seems like they just do whatever they want. For all we know, they could totally axe the touch 5 from iOS 9 if they felt like it. I don't think they will, but they easily could. Or keep selling it for another year, or more.
Personally, I most likely won't buy a new iPod even if they do release one because I've moved on the the Classic and a 5.5G for my uses. And I'm very happy with them. Even though both of them have been discontinued as well, software updates aren't a thing with them. They just play music
But I would still love to see them make one with 5s internals and an A7 or something at the least. An A8 would be awesome if they can get the production cost where they want it and keep their profit margins. Rumor has it the Apple TV may be getting one. So I could see it in the touch too.
The thing is that if the Mini 1 is supported all the A5 iPads need to be supported.
I think I've forgotten the original argument which was whether or not iOS 10 will run on A6 devices!!
I believe all A5 IOS devices will support IOS 9.
I also believe that IOS 10 will only support an A7 or better so the Touch 5, iPad Mini 1, and the 5C should be discontinued this fall.
I don't think the iPhone 4s will get longer support than the iPhone 5, if A5 gets 9 then iOS 10 will support the A6.
Also the A5 is the first multi-core iOS processor so maybe Apple intends to get more out of it.
From all that I see, IOS 10 will probably be 64 bit only (A7 or later). I wouldn't complain if IOS 10 supported the A6 but I don't think its going to happen.
What makes you think that? Apple has never dropped more than one iPhone at a time.
During the last five years, Apple has also not dropped less than one iphone each year. It's possible this would change this year with iOS 9. Giving this some thought, the basis of your argument might not hold very well.
iOS 5 and 6 didn't drop any iPhone... (Though the 3G was dropped with 4.3).
iOS 4.0 dropped the iPhone 2G
iOS 4.3 dropped the iPhone 3G
iOS 7 dropped the iPhone 3GS
iOS 8 dropped the iPhone 4
the 2G received 2 updates
the 3G received 2 updates
the 3GS received 3 updates
the 4 received 3 updates
Maybe the 4S and 5 will get 4 updates? Who knows. I'd say that the 4S will get 4 updates (Based on the fact that iPhone 4S's have been picked up from Apple running iOS 9 in web logs) Apple is probably judging how well it runs iOS 9, and if they're still testing it now, it would make sense to me that its running reasonably well. (The fact that they're testing it would tell me they're not going t apply an arbitrary limit on it).
Makes sense. iOS 4.3 happened the same year as 5 though. And i never thought 6 was as major an update as ios 1,2,3,4,5,7, or 8. Seemed like a point update and a bug fix release for iOS 5.
My thinking has been that around the time of each truly major software update, Apple stops software updating an iPhone / A series chip.
iOS 9 is rumored to be the snow leopard release of iOS, which implies no iPhone is dropped. iOS 10 would be a larger features update, because 'minor' / bug fix updates don't happen two years in a row. And so the iPhone 5 / A6 chip is dropped with iOS 10.