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4-6weeks (Deliever May 13 - May 27th) pre-orders
- Thread starter acctman
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It happens to all of us. Doesn't make it any less frustrating, of course, but there you go. I'm a 12:03am order, and no movement at all.
Some new information on Apple Watches in the US.
Through Flightaware.com, I figured out that every business day from 9:30CST to 12:50AKDT there is a flight from Shanghai Pudong to Anchorage.
The flight that flew today.
Now, since during the iPhone launch, 200,000 iPhones could be transferred on each plane, and the boxing for the Apple Watch is bigger than the iPhone, I very roughly estimated 100,000 Apple Watches per plane. This is going off of the boxing for the Stainless Steel Apple Watch that can be seen in this CNET unboxing video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32Q1_9aCdsQ
But this is the tricky part. This same flight has been being flown from Pudong to Anchorage for an unknown amount of time. I can see it all the way back to December on Flightaware.com. So, I conservatively just took the 5 flights from last week and the 3 flights so far this week. That's a total of 8 flights.
8 flights x 100,000 Apple Watches/flight = 800,000 Apple Watches in the US.
Since we saw here, https://www.macrumors.com/2015/04/12/apple-watch-1-million-preorders-us/, that an estimated 1 million Apple Watches were sold on April 10th in the US, that should mean that most everyone who pre-ordered an Apple Watch on the 10th should get one Friday. BUT, depending on the model, this may not be the case. Although many sport bands are "preparing to ship", the SG Watch, link bracelets, and the leather bands have been slow to change status.
This also doesn't even take into account that Anchorage could just be a stop for Watches for other countries, like Canada. But the biggest thing is that it seems that the Watches don't go directly from Anchorage to the airport nearest you. Anchorage is a customs stop on the way to the Worldport, UPS's international airhub (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Worldport_(UPS_air_hub)), and then from there they fly to your homes. Once again, every business day, there is a flight from Anchorage to Louisville, crucially, after the flight from Pudong arrives.
A flight from Anchorage to Louisville currently flying as I'm typing this.
Remember, though, that, also, only taking the past 8 flights of Pudong to Anchorage drops the number of Apple Watches severely. One extra flight and it's another 100,000 Apple Watches (but once again, the 100,000 is also based on a rough estimate). Anyway, I hope this has cleared up some confused minds.
Through Flightaware.com, I figured out that every business day from 9:30CST to 12:50AKDT there is a flight from Shanghai Pudong to Anchorage.
The flight that flew today.
Now, since during the iPhone launch, 200,000 iPhones could be transferred on each plane, and the boxing for the Apple Watch is bigger than the iPhone, I very roughly estimated 100,000 Apple Watches per plane. This is going off of the boxing for the Stainless Steel Apple Watch that can be seen in this CNET unboxing video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32Q1_9aCdsQ
But this is the tricky part. This same flight has been being flown from Pudong to Anchorage for an unknown amount of time. I can see it all the way back to December on Flightaware.com. So, I conservatively just took the 5 flights from last week and the 3 flights so far this week. That's a total of 8 flights.
8 flights x 100,000 Apple Watches/flight = 800,000 Apple Watches in the US.
Since we saw here, https://www.macrumors.com/2015/04/12/apple-watch-1-million-preorders-us/, that an estimated 1 million Apple Watches were sold on April 10th in the US, that should mean that most everyone who pre-ordered an Apple Watch on the 10th should get one Friday. BUT, depending on the model, this may not be the case. Although many sport bands are "preparing to ship", the SG Watch, link bracelets, and the leather bands have been slow to change status.
This also doesn't even take into account that Anchorage could just be a stop for Watches for other countries, like Canada. But the biggest thing is that it seems that the Watches don't go directly from Anchorage to the airport nearest you. Anchorage is a customs stop on the way to the Worldport, UPS's international airhub (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Worldport_(UPS_air_hub)), and then from there they fly to your homes. Once again, every business day, there is a flight from Anchorage to Louisville, crucially, after the flight from Pudong arrives.
A flight from Anchorage to Louisville currently flying as I'm typing this.
Remember, though, that, also, only taking the past 8 flights of Pudong to Anchorage drops the number of Apple Watches severely. One extra flight and it's another 100,000 Apple Watches (but once again, the 100,000 is also based on a rough estimate). Anyway, I hope this has cleared up some confused minds.
Hello all. I have to say that this forum has been a great source of entertainment as well as anxiety. My short story.
I was up the entire night before the pre-order. I decided to close my eyes at 2:45am EST (yes I know. What was I thinking?) I was thinking I wouldn't fall asleep, not now. Anyway, jumped up off the couch at 3:15am. Ran to the computer and refreshed the pages. Saw the 24th of April or wave 1 and went to place my order. One more refresh and the shipping went to 4-6 week's or May 13-27 delivery.
I've been following this thread as well as the wave 1 one. I'm surprised and happy to report I have been charged (gift cards are at $0.00 now) and am in the preparing for shipment group.
Confirmation email reads 3:25am EST.
config: 42mm SS Milanese Loop
Location: Toronto
There is hope for others to see some movement over the next day or so.
I was up the entire night before the pre-order. I decided to close my eyes at 2:45am EST (yes I know. What was I thinking?) I was thinking I wouldn't fall asleep, not now. Anyway, jumped up off the couch at 3:15am. Ran to the computer and refreshed the pages. Saw the 24th of April or wave 1 and went to place my order. One more refresh and the shipping went to 4-6 week's or May 13-27 delivery.
I've been following this thread as well as the wave 1 one. I'm surprised and happy to report I have been charged (gift cards are at $0.00 now) and am in the preparing for shipment group.
Confirmation email reads 3:25am EST.
config: 42mm SS Milanese Loop
Location: Toronto
There is hope for others to see some movement over the next day or so.
4-6weeks (Deliever May 13 - May 27th) pre-orders
Good to know but I was hoping your location was US when I saw that 42mm milanese with 3:25 confirmation
Indeed, still hope!
Good to know but I was hoping your location was US when I saw that 42mm milanese with 3:25 confirmation
Indeed, still hope!
FYI, I had a launch day 6plus and my preparing for shipment email came in a 3:20am central time. So you all should not sleep tonight and wait for that email.
Really Drew? Leave this dude alone. He provided valuable information and analysis about our shipments. This is relevant to us May people because clearly a lot of us will be seeing our watches much earlier than May.
This is why I don't understand the people that are saying the notification window is closed.
Anyones 42mm SS Milanese get charged yet? I saw one guy who had a 38mm and he ordered DAYS after the 10th, and he got 'preparing for shipment'. So much jealousness.
what do you think the chances are of getting the watch before may if you ordered 38 MM space gray sport black model?
Hate to break it to you, but 3:06 is a long time in Apple Watch land.
Ordered same watch at 3:02. Nothing.
LOL the store didn't even come up until like 3:03-3:04AM IIRC I had the transaction done within I'd say a minute and a half of the store opening
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I want to say thats about when mine went through, normally on launches I Get the confirmation hours later not minutes; that was very surprising!
LOL the store didn't even come up until like 3:03-3:04AM IIRC I had the transaction done within I'd say a minute and a half of the store opening
I have a 12:01 PDT order and I'm not the only one. So no, that's not quite right.
I had the app being refreshed on two different devices (iPhone/iPad) and it didn't come up I believe until 3:03AM EST or so from what I remember. Either way I had the whole thing done within 3-4 minutes max.