(2) Even those who are more realistic and even home users not working in the industry at all, when they decide what to buy that will ask "what do the pros use?" and they will buy that. Pretty much the same as when amateur photographer see all those white Canon SLR camera lenses on the sidelines of pro sports games and then decide to buy Canon themselves "becase that is what pros use." Dumb reasoning, but that's the way it works.
It is dumb reasoning, but it is the way it works. That was the reason I first bought PS. I had no clue how to use it, but the pros used it, so. . .
Now, I use it professionally (actually, the whole design premium suite). And that, is the way it is. If the pros aren't using it, then most prosumers won't use it either. Then the questions becomes, will the amateur be willing to pay a $300 premium to use FCPX over imovie? Especially, since it will be much more than what they actually need. Time will tell.
I completely understand where the pros are coming from on this issue. You have a product that still works. But, it is in dire need of an update so it will be competitive with other software already in the market. You get the update and your current product is EOL'd. But, the update, while innovative in design, is less useful than the current product, not backwards compatible, and still not as good as the competition's software.
Will FCPX be updated to what is currently available via other software companies? maybe. If I was a pro, the question moving forward is, is it worth the risk? There is a possibility that it will never be on par with other professional software.