Originally posted by nspeds
I think its a pretty big assumption to think the phrase "The year of the laptop" subsumed the inclusion of the 970 within powerbooks. I think its pretty safe to assume that the statement was more or less tailored for the SPECIFIC situation of the introduction of the 17 inch and 12 inch version...
Now, I thought about this logically, and came up with the following premises and their conclusions. I'll start the syllogism...
1) It has been previously established that when products from Apple are aggresively discounted, they are due to be discontinued/update.
2) The only products that have been discounted are the 12 and 15 inches.
Therefore: The 17 inch will NOT be updated.
However, people state the the reason the 17 hasn't been discounted is because its selling big, but I would argue that the 12 inch is selling even better since the target market is a lot bigger than the 17 inch...
Its an interesting can of worms.
First, I think that the 'Year of Laptop' bit does fit with the 970, although I do agree that there are odds to consider.
Second, while the 12" & 15" have been discounted and the 17" has not, and this does carry certain inferences, Apple does have a problem in how close its price points can be to each other.
Obviously, a price reduction will move inventory faster than at current. Similarly, if they want to increase their price spread, its pretty hard to do it by raising the top. If you can't raise the top, the only alternative is to lower the bottom. If this means (possibly only temporary) lower margins on the 12", so be it.
FWIW, while we can probably agree on the price cut on the 15", it is also possible that a price cut can occur on the 12" at this time because they've met certain production goals, and their vendors have shifted into a lower price tier (because setup costs have been recouped/whatever). This would allow Apple to cut price but maintain profit margin.
Now here is where the problem lies, although the 15 inch is the flagship machine, if BOTH the 12 inch and 15 inch get the 970 and the 17 inch don't, then what, the new 12 inches gain bragging rights over the 17 inch in terms of speed? That doesn't make sense.
Hence the 970 update for WWDC seems very unlikely.
Suppose that the 17" 970 *does* get released later this month. If this does happen, at what price point should it be?
Do we really think that Apple really has the luxury of asking nearly $4K for a laptop? I don't think so. They're boxed in in that they have to offer more performance at pretty much the same price points, so if they can't move the top up, there's no reason to cut this price today.
How many customer with a 17" on order will get upset if Apple offers them a 1.2GHz 970 at the same price? Zero, nada, zilch.
So if the 970 does come this month in laptops, having it in the 17" too isn't completely out of the question. It wouldn't hurt to keep an eye on the delivery times for 17" orders to see if they start to at a bit funny.
-hh