I've been buying and selling things online since the very early days of eBay and I've never gotten anything early from UPS. Maybe it's a hell of a string of poor luck but I've seen them, quite a lot of times, get ahead of schedule then just sit on the package until the last moment even if it's just a few hours away.
Also not uncommon is for them to sit on it then screw up and wind up having to delay it.
USPS is the only postal service I actually like. I frequently get items ahead of schedule with them, and I live in a fairly small city.
(FedEx, judging by the amount of package damage from both sent and received parcels, seems to use cannons instead of planes for travel, so I try to avoid them altogether.)
Anyway, mine updated as well, to the 27th. Live in WA state.