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Well - that depends on Apple's arrangements with UPS. Sure it's really important to you right now, but UPS isn't in the habit of making 2-day deliveries overnight because you wish really hard. "UPS World Ease" is a complicated product, and this is a massive deployment. If the arrangement is to deliver "on or before 9/27", UPS may well trickle them out to destinations as space on scheduled flights allow.

Or, there arrangements could be to proceed as expediently as possible, violating the laws of physics if able, at any cost.

We're in on or before 9/27 territory, I reckon. Thursday is still a possibility for some-to-most, but hard to say.

But just remember that just because logisitically feasible doesn't mean your priorities are the priorities of a giant logistics company trying to squeeze every dollar out of every gram of Jet-A fuel. Which isn't cheap btw.
I would guess the sentence I bolded is part of Apple's mandate, especially after the customs issue.

In any case, UPS has nothing to gain by sitting on them for an extra day unless contractually obligated to not deliver them in that time frame, which obviously is not the case. It's not like they were going to be trucking them from Louisville to the coasts, so they are leaving on a plane one way or the other, and holding them to leave Louisville sometime on Thursday does not seem particularly logical. I don't dispute that UPS may see it differently, but I'm having a hard time seeing how that could be the case.
 
You're all correct and - wow I can't believe I didn't figure this out sooner:

It's -ABSOLUTELY- on CPA2084

Google the flight. It'll point you to a reddit thread about iphones,
and the other thread on macrumors with Launch day folks doing the exact same worrying we're doing right now about no scans and so on....

Then look into the history of the flight........

Gee that's sure an irregular schedule. What does that correlate to? I'll annotate one...

View attachment 863305

Then. Hmm.

Literally ONE prior flight of CPA2084 in 2019?

On Sept 18th...

From Hong Kong...
to Louisville.....
Via anchorage........


View attachment 863306

I think this is literally just, the iphone flight. That's probably apple's charter.

That said, based on last week's flight-to-last-mile timeframe we can expect Friday, although, as the packages have cleared customs earlier in the process than the launch day group, Thursday is still on the table.

CPA2084 will be in louisville at 10:15AM eastern tomorrow.

Yep thats pretty clear. UPDATE: but now in Anchorage all of a sudden its getting weirder... Well this whole process has had some kind of special charter involved by apple But now not sure about this even though times match? Very interesting
 
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Woah the plot thickens. It’s in Anchorage AK now.
Mine too. So we weren’t on the 2084 flight.
Yeah mine show's an arrival scan in anchorage at 6:50PM Tues 6/24

Currently it's 5:31PM on 6/24 in Anchorage, sooOOoooOO....

Maybe the scans are just jacked up because of the weird charter flight.

2084 has no other purpose. They're on that plane, kids.
 
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Yeah mine show's an arrival scan in anchorage at 6:50PM Tues 6/24

Currently it's 5:31PM on 6/24 in Anchorage, sooOOoooOO....

Maybe the scans are just jacked up because of the weird charter flight.

2084 has no other purpose. They're on that plane, kids.
But 2084 is still flying.
 
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But 2084 is still flying.

And that Anchorage scan is timestamped in the future... What's your point?

We've established that the scans are not super reliable.

If we take the scan's at face value, Hong Kong being 16 hours ahead of AK - the phones flew 4,678 mi in 4 hours? I didn't know they made a supersonic variant of the 747.

It's on 2084.
The scans are janky.
You'll get it thursday or friday.
 
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just got that Anchorage arrival scan 6:50pm ... hoping I actually do get it Friday ,last year Friday morning my date changed to the following Monday , I was fired up to say the least , 🍻 here’s to better luck this year
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I kind a remember this happening with my last two iPhones actually, my first generation Apple Watch also was really messed up shipping scans
 
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One thing is for certain, our phones came straight from the factory. My phone has been to China, Hong Kong, Alaska and on its way to Louisville, KY, I haven’t been to any of those places....yet 😉
 
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I’ve been waiting for a more concrete delivery estimate before changing to pickup at the UPS CC. Now that I have a 10/27 delivery date I think I’ll go through with that change tomorrow morning. Best case it comes a day early!
 
Being in Anchorage means the customs clearance status makes a lot more sense. Yay!

This got me thinking. If it cleared in AK that long ago, wouldn't our phones be en route or in KY right now? Maybe not because there's no departure scan but I can dream.
 
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