Oh the doom... Oh the gloom... Oh the BS
It just amazes me how much doom and gloom I read in the multiple threads here and on other sites.
I wish I knew where to find the link, but I think it was during MWSF 05 that someone posted a link to an archive of a "live" thread (during keynote) going on from a few years earlier when the first iPod was introduced. 80 - 90% of the messages were all:
"Who's going to buy this junk?"... "Nobody will ever buy this thing."... "There goes the Mac OS. Apple's turning into a gadget company."... "I'll never buy one of these things."...
Well, "Nobody" bought millions of them, and "Nobody" bought a BILLION songs at iTMS.
This sounds like the same exact FUD. "Nobody is going to develop for OS X any more."... "Big houses are just going to tell you to load XP / Vista on your Mac if you want to use their software."...
What a load of crap. As mentioned before, Adobe had to see this coming. Do you really think they would have started on Lightbox for OS X only (with a Windows version coming out "later on") if they were going to just tell you to use the Windows version? And this is after Apple has already released a major competitor.
Even if Adobe (foolishly) decided to abandon OS X development of all their apps, don't you think Apple has replacements in the works? Same for MS and Office? They may not be ready to release tomorrow, but I would bet a dollar to your dime that OS X running on Intel isn't the only big thing that's been hiding away in secret, "just in case". Take a look at the quality of their pro apps. I'm sure they could come up with a viable replacement for all the missing heavy duty apps in no time, including all the MacroMedia ones Adobe bought. And if not Apple, sombody else will. Right now, as long as Adobe is still producing, it's not worth trying to compete. But if they abandoned the Mac market and left a void, someone will fill it.
The day Adobe tells major publishers to dump their recently purchased Quad G5s (which will be good, strong workhorses for many years to come) and replace them all with Intel Macs just to run XP or Vista for their apps is the day a HUGE number of their customers tell them to go #$%* themselves. We'll find something else. The same goes for most other "heavy duty" apps not made by Adobe or MS's MBU (Maya comes to mind). This just ain't gonna happen.
You doom-sayers act like every single Mac user is going to run right out and get an Intel Mac next week. And every single Mac user is going to buy Windoze to use with Boot Camp or Parallels Workstation "to be ready for it". I'd be surprised if 5% of all Mac users use them (either one) on a daily basis (perhaps not counting serious gamers). The number of people who have to for work or school purposes is just not that great. Those same people are excited about this, as they should be, but still, it's going to be a small number of people (note that I say "use it daily").
As was mentioned (maybe in this thread, maybe another (I've browsed so many of them lately))... "You couldn't pay me enough to adopt Windows as my main OS".