Looks like it's happening:
"
iPhone XR price drops by ~$100 at Japanese carrier over two year contract"
https://9to5mac.com/2018/11/26/iphone-xr-price-drop-japan/
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ahem:
As rumored, iPhone XR price drops by ~$100 at Japanese carrier over two year contract
"Apple is believed to have authorized carriers to discount XR models more heavily due to lower-than-expected demand for the XR in the country. Apple iPhone dominates the smartphone market in Japan with about 50% of sales, but it seems demand for Apple’s latest models was lukewarm.
Rather than switching to Android, Japanese customers appear to be buying iPhone 8 and iPhone 8 Plus in large volume, which has impacted sales of the XS and XR in the region.
Do not expect to see price cuts instated worldwide for the iPhone XR based on the changes in the Japanese market. Apple is careful to apply discounting practices selectively in specific markets, where it deems it necessary to boost sales."