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Tesla, Apple Google. Fun times ahead for the automotive industry - the kind of shake up music and phones have already experienced. Can't wait to see what the average car is like in 5-8 years.

Apple has the cash reserves to make this work at scale (something Musk said he was struggling with at the Model 3 unveil). No idea if it'll be successful for Apple - if it is hold on to them AAPL stock hats.

Nothing will happen. All these three will stay as niche player.. making 50-100k cars a year. All electric cars are getting sold because of tax subsidies. Once the subsidies are gone, the sales will fall sideways. You can look at Prius and see how much the sales tanked once the oil price went down. Also in Cali, once they stopped giving out the carpool stickers to Prius, the sales went down further.
 
That's just the American car market where you have to pay extra for things that come as standard on most European cars. The American car industry operates like it's still the 1960's. This explains why they haven't made a truly great car since the 60's.

Even the American muscle cars of the 70's and 80's were just poorly made pieces of metal that just happened to make a load of admittedly great sounding noise. They were absolute crap to drive and most even started to rust before they left the factory.

Most started to rust before they left the factory? Utter nonsense.
 
You are not going to make a car if you haven't even made a TV yet*... its not going to happen, they will cancel it.

(*If you are a small electronics devices company and not a car manufacturer..)

If they where not bold enough to get into the highly competitive TV market, I dont think they ever will be bold enough to get into the ultra competitive Car maker business..

And you could lose a lot of money in car manufacturing pretty quickly.. That bank account will not look so full after a while.

Pie in the sky..

edit: Lol, of course there are no margins, and there will be no margins for 5-10 years in both (TV/Car) of these businesses.. if they do it it will be mostly a PR move to promote "smart living" etc.. and promote the Apple Lifestyle etc.. They could have went into the TV business cirka 2005,6 but if they go into the car business they will have no margins for 5-10 years.. probably massive initial losses and no profits for 5-10 years

The TV/Car business/markets are not exactly like the smart watch market where you can make good margins and probably a profit in the first year. Although I still think Apple watch are a plus minus zero brand building exercise..

The profits are suppose to come later.. after the initial investment.. and then they could add premium brand overhead, margins like they do with the smartphone, PCs etc.. that people will pay extra for Apple. They could never compete with the margins that for example Samsung Tvs have.. thats not Apples play, you pay extra for the brand/image with Apple.
 
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I don't think it's possible to make sweeping statements about German culture. Because if we remember recently it was German brand Volkswagen in a scandal that covered up poor emissions in their vehicles. That's hardly refining processes and being the best in the world, it was an act of hiding the worst in the world.

Yes, I'm German and I can make such a sweeping statement because I have figures to back it up. Mittelstand companies are 99% (literally, I didn't make that up) of German companies and make up about 2/3 of exports. I've seen many of them and know people who work there; one literally makes some kind of specialised screws, the other makes a part used in air-conditioning pumps (not even the whole unit, just a vital part of the pump), another makes some kind of fastener for railway girders. All very, very niche areas that at would have long been swept up and consolidated in to a bigger firm in the UK/USA.

I'm not saying German companies are the best at everything. Clearly they're not. I'm saying that the mentality is more introverted - to refine and perfect what you have, rather than extroverted - to reinvest your profits in new products and try to do more things.

I would hesitate even to call big corporations like Volkswagen "German". They are part of a class of multinationals whose decisions are made all over the world and who have no loyalty to any one nation.
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You are not going to make a car if you haven't even made a TV yet*... its not going to happen, they will cancel it.

(*If you are a small electronics devices company and not a car manufacturer..)

If they where not bold enough to get into the highly competitive TV market, I dont think they ever will be bold enough to get into the ultra competitive Car maker business..

And you could lose a lot of money in car manufacturing pretty quickly.. That bank account will not look so full after a while.

Pie in the sky..

They could go in to the TV industry. The question isn't boldness, though, it's margins. Right now Samsung have unrivalled production scale and quality, and have been competing so aggressively that TV prices have fallen drastically. Sony, Sharp and Toshiba have all been forced out of the TV business in one way or another, and that's a market which resonates deeply with their brands. They're getting mauled out there.

It's not worth Apple getting in to this market from a business perspective - they're going to have to invest a lot of money to compete with Samsung, all for razor-thin margins on products which people don't replace very often. There's no clear mix of "profitable" and "successful" that you can craft a winning strategy from. TVs themselves are commodities: they are dumb, increasingly large and increasingly inexpensive screens.

The profitable part of TV is with the content, not the hardware. That's where Apple's starting out from. They want to make a great UI for discovering content - that's going to start out primarily as video, integrating with Netflix, Hulu, etc. Eventually those TV experiences and content will evolve, and Apple has a mature native App platform available to support that stuff.
 
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I know a lot of people who LOVE working overtime for more pay. Are you sure the workers are against working overtime? I could see not wanting to be forced to do overtime without pay but there are a ton of people who volunteer for overtime work in my world. In my business, a 10-hr day is standard and a 16hr day, a few hrs sleep and then another 10 hr day now and then isn't that uncommon.
Your reasoning is very poorly developed. One very much doubts Apple's offshore workers engaged in insane hours of overtime due to the "love" of it. In fact if you had any ounce of understanding of the issues here you would acknowledge Apple workers do it because they are very poorly paid <8% the typical factory worker in countries with humane working conditions. They're being exploited. And maybe in "your world" you exploit other people too, who knows.
Your views are totally irrelevant because they come from a deep seated place that is hostile towards Apple offshore factory workers, as previously noted by the commenter, they are "disposable". Your hostility deserves no further acknowledgement.
So, nice try. Considering that Apple negotiates contracts its implausible to suggest that Foxconn and others really set the wages freely and fairly. Apple is completely complicit in exploiting its workers at offshore factories. Do you understand the concept of exploitation, do you understand the concept of wages that are completely miss matched with costs of living? China Labor Watch is doing a tremendously great job of shining a very bright light on corporate misdeeds such that Apple's extended workers endure. Take for instance huge amounts of overtime worked by Apple's offshore workforce. China Labor Watches investigations go so far to publish more than 1000 original pay stubs showing excessive over time worked by workers assembling Apple devices. No nonsense there. We certainly do not get that level of in-depth information in the reports Apple presents on its shiny website. Apple could be the champion here in the industry. But it isn't. Apple has a shiny outer but it is totally rotten to the core. What a disgrace.http://www.chinalaborwatch.org/newscast/524
 
Be careful with predictions like this...

"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."

Ken Olsen, founder of Digital Equipment Corporation, 1977

It's hard to predict how long it will take for someone to figure out exactly how brains generate consciousness, but we are getting close to the point where we can watch all the neutrons in a brain firing in real-time, so it is probably going to happen sooner than you think.

I bet the fundamental principle will turn out to be surprisingly simple, after all we don't need to worry about keeping cells alive etc. A simulation could achieve the same result with the right equations, a big database and something to mimic sensory input.

If you looked at a modern microprocessor under a microscope, it would seem ridiculously complicated, just like the neural connections in a brain. However, strip that complexity away and the fundamental rules behind it are relatively simple once you figure out what they are.

I think it's a pretty safe bet to say most of us will see 'Strong AI' arrive within our lifetimes... but the first Apple Car almost certainly won't have it.
I don't think we will see AI within our lifetimes. Most current "AI" is just programming with a set of rules. The ability to "learn" is very limited, more to something like, try something and if it gives an outcome that is better than some threshold then further actions can benefit, but put that AI in a slightly different space such as roads without white lines, then it may never learn how to drive on those roads. That is why I think current cars don't use AI (in what I think AI is) as such.
 
Yes, but you're buying more than just a bag of parts.
That's not what I said...
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Can you provide sources for the 100 USD production costs claim?
Recent articles suggest a bill of materials of around 220 to 250 USD per phone; R&D, transportation, advertisement and all the other associated costs are not included in those 220 to 250 USD.
Was a random clearly exagerately low number, dude.
 
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