When hell freezes over.Gonna be a bad day when the iPhone flops
When hell freezes over.Gonna be a bad day when the iPhone flops
Tim created? Maybe the momentumSo the $800B in shareholder value Tim created since he took over hasn’t convinced you?
And Wall Street hasn’t paid much attention to the profits that Apple churns out. Conversely, Wall Street has been enamored by AMZN for years despite years of losses and recent low profits. Maybe the long-term strategy is more important than the current profits after all. It’s hard to accuse Amazon of not having a clear strategy. Amazon is firing on all cylinders while Apple has no clue what to do with its cash, and the best they can come up with is to buy back shares. I shouldn’t complain about share buybacks as a shareholder, but if the stock price comes down significantly because of the lack of clear strategy, all these buybacks will have been wasted money.Clearly and sadly you see the glass as half empty.
Btw It’s only logic that sales get flattened at some point.
But still no one in sight making more profit than Apple.
Yes, Tim created. He’s been in control for 7 years and has taken iPhone to the next level, along with industry leading silicon, most popular watch, and a crowned jewel services business.Tim created? Maybe the momentum
that was built under Steve Jobs created this value and not Tim Cook. I hope I’m wrong, but my gut feeling tells me that raising the prices is not how companies should innovate.
I’m not advocating for Apple to chase the market share with cheap devices. But, by the same token, I’m not in favor of Apple jacking up the prices in the effort to increase the profits at the expense of shrinking the market share. This is a slippery slope that ends in the abyss. Even though it may prove successful in the beginning, it will not end well.
And Wall Street hasn’t paid much attention to the profits that Apple churns out. Conversely, Wall Street has been enamored by AMZN for years despite years of losses and recent low profits. Maybe the long-term strategy is more important than the current profits after all. It’s hard to accuse Amazon of not having a clear strategy. Amazon is firing on all cylinders while Apple has no clue what to do with its cash, and the best they can come up with is to buy back shares. I shouldn’t complain about share buybacks as a shareholder, but if the stock price comes down significantly because of the lack of clear strategy, all these buybacks will have been wasted money.
I had a conversation this afternoon with my wife about where AAPL is heading. I said we needed to get out of AAPL. I've been an AAPL investor for 11 years now, and have accumulated a multi-million dollar AAPL portfolio.
Here's my main concern: Apple devices have become too expensive even for us (at the physiological level) even though we can afford anything and everything that Apple makes. However, having had very humble beginnings, both of us understand the value of money, and we now consider Apple to be purely a luxury brand. We are not into luxury brands; we buy quality and refuse to buy junk, but we do not buy luxury for the sake of the brandname alone.
Apple has always made overpriced gadgets, but those gadgets offered value even at the inflated prices. I'm typing up this post on a quad-core 2.6 GHz i7 2012 Mac Mini with Fusion Drive, which is still a phenomenal device. Yes, perhaps I overpaid for that computer back in 2012 (a couple hundred bucks) compared to a similarly equipped Windows computer, but six years later, I'm using this Mac Mini and enjoy every minute of it, and it's still phenomenal with only one feature lacking compared to the most advanced Macs: not being able to be unlocked by an Apple Watch.
However, I've been looking for an upgrade path for both my MacBook Pro 2015 and my Mac Mini for years now, and I just do not see any product out there anymore that offers the value because I think the threshold of reason has been crossed by Tim Cook's Apple. There's no regard at Apple to the fact that that people have options now, the fact that Windows is not as horrible as it used to be, the fact that there are some reasonably good Android phones out there, etc. I appreciate the fact that Tim Cook has no understanding of what money means to regular people. He has been filthily rich for so long now that he has lost all sense of reality when it comes to regular people's lives and budgets. I also realize that all other Apple executives who are the decision makers at Apple have no sense of reality either, being so incredibly rich. However, my wife and I still have the sense of reality despite our newly found wealth, and we feel that paying so much money for a MacBook Pro or a new iPad, or a new Mac Mini is just throwing your money away. We are not migrating away from the Apple's ecosystem (yet), as we are now heavily rooted in it, including all the IoT devices that are anchored to the Apple's HomeKit. Migrating away from Apple would be a very disruptive process for us at this time. What is our solution? Our solution is to continue to use our older Apple devices (like the 2012 Mac Mini, the iPhone 7, the iPad Mini 2, the 2014 27" Retina iMac, etc.) without buying anything new. Not because we cannot afford it, but because we feel that it's obscene to spend so much money on these devices. I'm afraid a lot of people with similar backgrounds - whether or not they have the money to spend - are having similar feelings and are putting off their purchases of Apple devices.
So, this is my dilemma. I liked owning AAPL, but I see no plan in the Apple's leadership for the future. Tim Cook's plan for the future seems to continue to raise the prices. Unfortunately, Tim does not understand that he has passed the threshold of decency at this point for most middle class people in the US, Canada, and Europe. Since about 2016, I've been feeling that the direction that Apple has taken with raising the prices is destructive to AAPL. I know, I know, the stock price has been rising, but there's a certain degree of inertia in the behavior of the stock compared to the direction that the leadership of a corporation sets.
Maybe Apple will start using their ARM chips in the Macs come next year. Maybe that's how Apple can lower the pricing while still maintaining the profit margins, and because of the lower prices they will be able to jump-start the sales of Macs. Maybe, Apple has some new amazing gadget up their sleeve that will blow everyone away. However, for now, I see nothing at all other than their desire to keep raising the prices and hoping to show Wall Street a solid growth of gross and net revenues. I don't' think you can fool Wall Street with this strategy. Wall Street folks are not idiots.
I'm saying all of this with a very heavy heart. I love this company, and it makes me sick watching what Mr. Cook is doing with it.
Apple today announced financial results for the third calendar quarter and fourth fiscal quarter of 2018.![]()
For the quarter, Apple posted revenue of $62.9 billion and net quarterly profit of $14.1 billion, or $2.91 per diluted share, compared to revenue of $52.6 billion and net quarterly profit of $10.7 billion, or $2.07 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Revenue, profit, and EPS were all-time records for the September quarter.
Gross margin for the quarter was 38.3 percent, compared to 37.9 percent in the year-ago quarter, with international sales accounting for 61 percent of revenue. Apple also declared an upcoming dividend payment of $0.73 per share, payable November 15 to shareholders of record as of November 12.
![]()
For the quarter, Apple sold 46.9 million iPhones, up slightly from 46.7 million in the year-ago quarter. iPad sales fell to 9.7 million from 10.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, while Mac sales dipped to 5.3 million from 5.4 million.
For the full fiscal year, Apple generated $265.6 billion in sales with $59.5 billion in net income, up from $229.2 billion in sales and $48.4 billion in net income for fiscal 2017. Both figures are also all-time company records, exceeding standards of $233.7 billion in sales and $53.4 billion in net income set in fiscal 2015.Apple's guidance for the first quarter of fiscal 2019 includes expected revenue of $89-93 billion and gross margin between 38 and 38.5 percent.
![]()
Apple will provide live streaming of its fiscal Q4 2018 financial results conference call at 2:00 PM Pacific, and MacRumors will update this story with coverage of the conference call highlights.
Conference call recap ahead...
Click here to read rest of article...
Article Link: Apple Reports 4Q 2018 Results: $14.1B Profit on $62.9B Revenue, 46.9M iPhones
You know Tim Cook personally? The fact is you don't and you don't know his level of understanding of money to regular people. According to https://www.businessinsider.com/tim-cook-net-worth-apple-ceo-2018-8
Tim Cook lives in a 2,400 sq ft home and is worth about $625M. That's modest compared to Mark Zuckerberg and Larry Page, who's worth tens of billions despite Apple being the most valuable company in the world by market cap.
Apple products are getting expensive, but if you look at every sector/market they're in, Apple is very dominant. People love their iPhones, Apple Watches, and iPads. Their weakest link is their Mac lineup, but Macs are becoming trucks and only professionals will be using them. Then layer the Apple ecosystem on top which no other competitor can rival and you've got an iron clad business model.
This is why I continue to own AAPL. I don't see the increase in prices breaking customer loyalty.
I had a conversation this afternoon with my wife about where AAPL is heading. I said we needed to get out of AAPL. I've been an AAPL investor for 11 years now, and have accumulated a multi-million dollar AAPL portfolio.
Here's my main concern: Apple devices have become too expensive even for us (at the physiological level) even though we can afford anything and everything that Apple makes. However, having had very humble beginnings, both of us understand the value of money, and we now consider Apple to be purely a luxury brand. We are not into luxury brands; we buy quality and refuse to buy junk, but we do not buy luxury for the sake of the brandname alone.
Apple has always made overpriced gadgets, but those gadgets offered value even at the inflated prices. I'm typing up this post on a quad-core 2.6 GHz i7 2012 Mac Mini with Fusion Drive, which is still a phenomenal device. Yes, perhaps I overpaid for that computer back in 2012 (a couple hundred bucks) compared to a similarly equipped Windows computer, but six years later, I'm using this Mac Mini and enjoy every minute of it, and it's still phenomenal with only one feature lacking compared to the most advanced Macs: not being able to be unlocked by an Apple Watch.
However, I've been looking for an upgrade path for both my MacBook Pro 2015 and my Mac Mini for years now, and I just do not see any product out there anymore that offers the value because I think the threshold of reason has been crossed by Tim Cook's Apple. There's no regard at Apple to the fact that that people have options now, the fact that Windows is not as horrible as it used to be, the fact that there are some reasonably good Android phones out there, etc. I appreciate the fact that Tim Cook has no understanding of what money means to regular people. He has been filthily rich for so long now that he has lost all sense of reality when it comes to regular people's lives and budgets. I also realize that all other Apple executives who are the decision makers at Apple have no sense of reality either, being so incredibly rich. However, my wife and I still have the sense of reality despite our newly found wealth, and we feel that paying so much money for a MacBook Pro or a new iPad, or a new Mac Mini is just throwing your money away. We are not migrating away from the Apple's ecosystem (yet), as we are now heavily rooted in it, including all the IoT devices that are anchored to the Apple's HomeKit. Migrating away from Apple would be a very disruptive process for us at this time. What is our solution? Our solution is to continue to use our older Apple devices (like the 2012 Mac Mini, the iPhone 7, the iPad Mini 2, the 2014 27" Retina iMac, etc.) without buying anything new. Not because we cannot afford it, but because we feel that it's obscene to spend so much money on these devices. I'm afraid a lot of people with similar backgrounds - whether or not they have the money to spend - are having similar feelings and are putting off their purchases of Apple devices.
So, this is my dilemma. I liked owning AAPL, but I see no plan in the Apple's leadership for the future. Tim Cook's plan for the future seems to continue to raise the prices. Unfortunately, Tim does not understand that he has passed the threshold of decency at this point for most middle class people in the US, Canada, and Europe. Since about 2016, I've been feeling that the direction that Apple has taken with raising the prices is destructive to AAPL. I know, I know, the stock price has been rising, but there's a certain degree of inertia in the behavior of the stock compared to the direction that the leadership of a corporation sets.
Maybe Apple will start using their ARM chips in the Macs come next year. Maybe that's how Apple can lower the pricing while still maintaining the profit margins, and because of the lower prices they will be able to jump-start the sales of Macs. Maybe, Apple has some new amazing gadget up their sleeve that will blow everyone away. However, for now, I see nothing at all other than their desire to keep raising the prices and hoping to show Wall Street a solid growth of gross and net revenues. I don't' think you can fool Wall Street with this strategy. Wall Street folks are not idiots.
I'm saying all of this with a very heavy heart. I love this company, and it makes me sick watching what Mr. Cook is doing with it.
Yay, prices are going up. double yay.Sure they are thrilled because consumers are still buying their products, can’t say the same for the completion.... you know because they have also increased their prices yoy, but consumers aren’t purchasing it.
Must be a correlation in there somewhere.
Apple are making great products but all companies die. Apple has been there before.When hell freezes over.
This is like me telling you to your face every day that you are going to die. That will definitely happen one day to you and me. But that doesn’t mean anything. It just means we are human.Yay, prices are going up. double yay.
Moves that are good for the shareholder are not in customers interest.
I find it strange when Apple fans gloat about higher prices.
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Apple are making great products but all companies die. Apple has been there before.
What goes up, must come down.
I wonder if Samsung makes more money off selling APPLE OLED Panels, versus their smartphone sales. That would be classic.
Yay, prices are going up. double yay.
Moves that are good for the shareholder are not in customers interest.
I find it strange when Apple fans gloat about higher prices.
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Apple are making great products but all companies die. Apple has been there before.
What goes up, must come down.
Crushing it as always
Samsung and google having similar prices is not helping them sales wise.
What percentage of companies from years ago are still around?It just doesn’t work that way.
Apple always cheaps out, offering 64GB storage in the phone is a bit of a joke.Yes prices going up, not profit margins you do understand the distinction?
Perhaps not, anyway as a consumer, I love the direction apple is headed, I keep buying more and more of their products because of it. As a consumer it’s great when companies don’t cheap out and rip off the consumer, you know like increase prices while offering products with cheaper and inferior components, like Samsung does.
I am actually seriously considering my exit from AAPL. Obviously not tomorrow, and judging by what happened to the stock tonight probably not until late January early February or perhaps even in a year from now. But yes, I don't think I should stay long in AAPL anymore unless something amazing happens between now and when the stock price hits $230.
I've also pushed against those who predicted gloom for AAPL, but frankly, Tim Cook irks me, and being a technical person, I see major issues in the Apple's cloud offerings that others may not see. I see sloppy software update releases getting sloppier every year. I can't help but wonder what those tens of thousands of Apple engineers are doing on the daily basis. I see nothing new being produced software-wise besides minor improvements to existing platforms. Maybe they are all working on something revolutionary, or maybe they have lost their way. I don't know how to interpret that, but I am starting to side with those who predicted this a while back.
I don't believe in Tim Cooks' CEO leadership skills. He is a great supply chain guy, but he has neither clue nor vision. Steve Jobs was not an engineer, but he had a tremendous vision. Tim Cook has nothing other than being able to manage the supply chain well. That's my opinion, but I don't believe the ship has a captain in Tim Cook.
But, but, but market share, the important metric.What a coincidence so am I, apple is killing it this quarter, have you seen the guidance for next quarter?
Android oems must be pissed right about now.... you know because no is buying their phones.
What percentage of companies from years ago are still around?
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Apple always cheaps out, offering 64GB storage in the phone is a bit of a joke.
Samsung makes the displays for the iPhone.
Perhaps not, maybe I am missing something but if I do a google, in 2015 profit was 41%, today it is about 38%.
So Apple is increasing prices to compensate for for selling more older devices and less newer devices.
It is also stopping breaking down prices because of this.
Have I got that right or am I missing something? I'm no expert, - I'm more technical that financial
Apple has increased its phone prices 125% in 6 years - half from price increases and half from currency fluctuations in Australia.
Or if this really bothers you, you can stop buying Apple products and sell your shares.20% revenue growth and 40% EPS growth.
With iPhone and Mac sales basically stagnant and iPad sales falling, it means that we are all idiots paying a corporation way too much. But let’s don’t be sour about it and cherish the great news from which we will all be benefiting![]()
calm down mate, I was not insinuating anything. You said Android phones use inferior parts, I was simply pointing out that Samsung manufactures Apples displays. There was no malice, manipulation etc intended on my part.No Samsung manufactures the panels to apple specification, it not an off the shelf Samsung component like you seem to be insinuating, but actually an apple display fabricated by Samsung.
You state that argument a lot.Perhaps you don’t understand what I mean when I said cheap out regarding components.
I will take a 64gb nvme any day of the week over 128 gb ufs even if the 128 gb was cheaper. Android oems cheap out using inferior components and materials but sell the devices for the same price as iPhones. As a consumer I’m more than willing to pay for superior components and design, you know because i can instead of getting ripped off paying the same prices for inferior components.
Calm down mate - its not a good look.No, you don’t understand profit margins or asp and thier relation to price per unit sold or the 29% increase in revenue, Apple is increasing prices while profit margins remain flat and asp has risen to almost $800. Your assertion about “apple compensating” makes absolutely no sense, it’s basically incoherent gibberish.
I don't care about the difference in this context, you bring this argument up all the time - look up straw man.No I’m afraid you haven’t got that right or even close to it. If you can’t understand the difference between nvme and ufs
calm down mate. you know nothing about me. I have no worries relating to my intelligence or maturity level.(let alone the basic principles of financials), after our numerous exchanges in the past, I wouldn’t say your proficient in either “technical” matters or “financial” issues when it comes to properly analyzing a companies financials or thier incentives behind thier numerous business decisions, most of your assertions are rather infantile and usually revolving around disdain concerning
I have no issues affording Apple gear, doesn't mean I have to bend over and ...Your individual pricing sensitivity
and how the market and apple should adhère to it or fail miserably and “die”....which just to be clear isn’t happening, you have been consistently wrong with your assertions and predictions about apple and thier performance predicated on your price sensitivity and individual preference.
I have never said anything to the contrary that Apple is doing great. Only a fool would state otherwise at present.No idea what the Australian market has anything to do with what you just said, but apple are actually doing great in Australia, that’s according to cook on yesterday’s conference call.
You make a lot of factual rebuttal without using fact, only your own opinion.Furthermore what you stated is factually incorrect adding a new pricing tier to the iPhone range is not “increasing prices by 125%” especially when profit margins are flat over the same time frame.
You either don’t want to understand or admit that superior components cost more than inferior components, and Therein lies the crux of your disdain for apple and the consumers that buy it.
Good luck to you.
Do people have to use that argument all the time to try to put down people who criticise Apple?Or if this really bothers you, you can stop buying Apple products and sell your shares.
Apple is looking to grow their installed user base. They mentioned this yesterday during the call, and it's a huge part of growing the Services business. Making premium products that not only last longer, but wind up being bought second hand, is part of the strategy to increase the installed user base.I’m not advocating for Apple to chase the market share with cheap devices. But, by the same token, I’m not in favor of Apple jacking up the prices in the effort to increase the profits at the expense of shrinking the market share. This is a slippery slope that ends in the abyss. Even though it may prove successful in the beginning, it will not end well.
But, but, but market share, the important metric.
Apple is looking to grow their installed user base. They mentioned this yesterday during the call, and it's a huge part of growing the Services business. Making premium products that not only last longer, but wind up being bought second hand, is part of the strategy to increase the installed user base.
It’s a suggestion for posters who repeatedly profess complete disdain for everything Apple. I have to wonder if one dislikes Apple why bother posting or buying their products? Wait we’ve down this road...Apple gets its requirements from online forums....Do people have to use that argument all the time to try to put down people who criticise Apple?
Apple customers can be disgruntled too.
Seems to happen post every release. wouldn't read much into right now.