Become a MacRumors Supporter for $50/year with no ads, ability to filter front page stories, and private forums.
they don't have a diverse portfolio. if the iPhone continues to slip, they have nothing to fall back on.
I think what you're trying to say is that most of apple's "stock worth" is tied up within the iphone. But apple sans iphone, iphone makes $0, they're still making about $17-$20bn a quarter in revenue from other businesses.
 
Wake up Apple! update all your products with up to date specs because people are really getting sick of this.
 
Their mac line is a fortune 500 on it's own, same with the iPad. What exactly do you think you're talking about?
He's right. They are much too dependent on the iPhone. Not just as a percentage of revenue but as a percentage of profit. Those products areas you mention have a much smaller gross margin than the iPhone. As sales of the iPhone slow down and ASPs shrink, there's no other business that can make up for it. That is the definition of not being diversified.
 
Their mac line is a fortune 500 on it's own, same with the iPad. What exactly do you think you're talking about?
How many Fortune 500 companies ignore their products so much though?

Screen Shot 2016-04-28 at 20.42.31.png
 
The biggest thing is it still requires engineering an entirely new product. Something Apple has absolutely no experience. If what you were suggesting was true, it would be better for Apple to buy a car company and take the existing expertise or to partner with a car company and produce a better car. The car company could focus on the actual car bits and Apple could focus on the computerized bits.
That is way to reasonable and normal of a corporate type of operation. Apple did not become the most valued company in the world by doing what everyone else is doing.

My take is the Apple Car will rock the transportation world just like the iPhone did. Look at the archives of this site and you'll see hundreds of posts with "Apple has no idea about the cell phone business, Nokia, etc. will beat the **** out of them." from reasonable voices.

With Apple stock down a bit, it is a good buy. I'm putting my money where my mouth is and buying another South Bay house with the Apple Car comes out and the stock skyrockets.
 
....I think maybe it's time to stop worrying about cars and start worrying about what makes them money.

A year or so ago people were complaining rampantly about the "improved" looks of iOS and OS X. I remember someone correlated the new "kindergarten looks" of iOS 7 and OS X to what was, at that time, a noticeable but not that significant drop in iPad sales. He/she speculated that the drop in iPad sales at that time might be linked to the appearance change. Now they're down 20%. It makes me wonder....
 
Your comment about the "product lineup" really caught my eye. It was reported that in the recent earnings call Cook touted the amazing product pipeline giving him confidence about Apple's future. He has been using that line in almost every earnings call or presentation. I wonder if we will ever see that pipeline. I wonder even more if there really is a meaningful pipeline.
[doublepost=1461854510][/doublepost]

Amen - there are no doubt, many of us in that position. None of this news surprised me, the reaction was a bit worse than I anticipated, but I held on as I am not a short term trader. The exit point for me - $115 or so?

BTW - where is Carl Icahn these days? He is soooooo quiet after mouthing off so much about $200 AAPL........

Well - looks like my question just got answered - he dumped all his AAPL holdings...

[doublepost=1461854688][/doublepost]

They have forgotten Steve's advice "...stay hungry..."
 
I think what you're trying to say is that most of apple's "stock worth" is tied up within the iphone. But apple sans iphone, iphone makes $0, they're still making about $17-$20bn a quarter in revenue from other businesses.
You're assuming their other businesses don't drop as well, which would likely happen. If the iPhone continues to decline and reach $0 then apples stock will be worth $15-30, not $90-$-100.
[doublepost=1461876284][/doublepost]
Their mac line is a fortune 500 on it's own, same with the iPad. What exactly do you think you're talking about?
65% revenue just from the iPhone could vanish. They'd drop from the most valuable company to a low level fortune 500.
 
I think what you're trying to say is that most of apple's "stock worth" is tied up within the iphone. But apple sans iphone, iphone makes $0, they're still making about $17-$20bn a quarter in revenue from other businesses.

Would be stupid to say that though when the iPhone is a massive halo product. A lot of their other revenue would dry up if the iPhone stopped selling. Revenues from Services, which rely heavily on being used on i-Devices would likely drop. Less iCloud usage. Possibly less iTunes usage. Other would also dry up, as at least two of the groups in "Other" would likely lose sales. How much does the Apple TV, or the Accessories rely upon the iPhone sales? What about the Apple Watch? which wouldn't sell at all without the iPhone. And they can't really fall back to the iPod. that horse is dead.

What about brand power that the iPhone brings? Along with the iPhone, Mac sales also started to increase dramatically around the same time as the iPhone launch. I don't think it's any coincidence that iPhone sales impact Mac sales with brand recognition. "I have an Apple phone and I love it, hey, I hear they make computers too!"

THIS is why Investors a freaking out over seemingly small dip in revenues. Without the iPhone selling, all the other product categories Apple is in is believed to drop alongside. WIthout the iPhone, they likely wouldn't have 17-20bn from other revenues.
 
Would be stupid to say that though when the iPhone is a massive halo product. A lot of their other revenue would dry up if the iPhone stopped selling. Revenues from Services, which rely heavily on being used on i-Devices would likely drop. Less iCloud usage. Possibly less iTunes usage. Other would also dry up, as at least two of the groups in "Other" would likely lose sales. How much does the Apple TV, or the Accessories rely upon the iPhone sales? What about the Apple Watch? which wouldn't sell at all without the iPhone. And they can't really fall back to the iPod. that horse is dead.

What about brand power that the iPhone brings? Along with the iPhone, Mac sales also started to increase dramatically around the same time as the iPhone launch. I don't think it's any coincidence that iPhone sales impact Mac sales with brand recognition. "I have an Apple phone and I love it, hey, I hear they make computers too!"

THIS is why Investors a freaking out over seemingly small dip in revenues. Without the iPhone selling, all the other product categories Apple is in is believed to drop alongside. WIthout the iPhone, they likely wouldn't have 17-20bn from other revenues.
but then again, iphone sales dropped y-o-y and services still went up. I understand iOS as an ecosystem, but most company's branding is tied up to something. If tomorrow, nobody buys a windows license again, their business operations will likely falter as well. There are symmetries and reliance on ecosystems. I just offered an extreme example.
 
  • Like
Reactions: LordVic
but then again, iphone sales dropped y-o-y and services still went up. I understand iOS as an ecosystem, but most company's branding is tied up to something. If tomorrow, nobody buys a windows license again, their business operations will likely falter as well. There are symmetries and reliance on ecosystems. I just offered an extreme example.

Correct. I was only talking apples woes.

But it makes sense that services might suffer from lag before it decreases as well. As sales of devices dropp, the existing devices in the world don't disappear overnight. Those users continue to buy and use services. But as they replace their devices down the line, but possible with others (if sales continue to decline, it's always possible they lose sales to another vendor) that they will switch services. The other categories will catch up and see the same declining numbers.


It's easy to say that "see these other categories are good so we're fine, but it might not be true, and that's when the bottom falls out.

Ask blackberry. In 2007 they were the best of the best. Largest smartphone vendor selling millions of units a year. iPhones came out and within a few years, blackberry device sales started to waver. They falsely believed everything was great because service usage (BBM and BES) was still going up.

So they kept telling themselves they knew best, because they got themselves there in the first place, and they were #1. They literally didn't see the competition coming, pass them, then destroy them before it was too late because of their own hubris


We all know what happened next. Just look at where bbry is now. Not saying Apple is "doomed" by any stretch, and I don't think any company can maintain year over year record revenues and profit. It's just not realistic.
 
Apple needs to diversify not just in consumer electronics but in the Enterprise and also in Content.

Comcast was just a lousy cable Internet provider but have now become a content powerhouse with NBC Universal and the DreamWorks acquisition today.

Apple should seriously think about getting into Enterprise software and services and maybe buy up some content companies.

Stop playing it safe with financial engineering.
 
I bought my first Apple product in 1983, a Lisa computer that made my world so much better over DOS, and I've lost track of how many Macs I've bought since then and my wife and I are both on our 4th iPhones each, BUT... Apple started jerking their fans around when they dumped iMovie HD and forced the watered-down iMovie 11 onto customers. Then, when they added complexity to iTune purchases with having to sign into your account when you wanted to listen to music you bought, in another Apple product, that's when I switched to buying all my songs through Amazon.

The most recent abrasive and arrogant move by Apple is their lousy 2 step process for signing into one of your Apple devices. Hordes of long-time Apple customers are having problems with this and Apple is ignoring customers who are not having much success with this convoluted 2-step verification.

Each time for the past 12 months when I turn on my MacBook Air, I get three prompts in a row to enter my password for iCloud (and 99% of the time, I don't use iCloud but still the annoying prompts. Same is true with my iPhone except it also keeps asking for me to sign into iTunes, even when I won't use it anymore for playing or buying music.

Apple has lost sight of their early marketing effort, "A computer for the rest of us" and Apple is is not much more than a pain for a growing number of us.

I'll probably be looking at a Samsung cell phone next time I'm at my AT&T store looking to upgrade.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Benjamin Frost
Register on MacRumors! This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.