Are you saying it's incorrect in that anecdotal evidence is conclusive? I disagree there. It's not conclusive.
Unless you're talking about moving the needle, in which we'll agree to disagree. I think selective anecdotal evidence alone doesn't help.
Anecdotal evidence has some value, which means it does in fact move the needle even if just a little. If you think it has zero value and it's worthless, I'd say you are objectively wrong, but as you say, agree to disagree.
Sure, but saying I had a problem and some others had a problem doesn't really explain much. I know of four people who had their Segway ninebot scooter motor stop working after a couple of months. Considering segway doesn't sell by the millions, just having 4 anecdotal reports should enough, right? Nah. It doesn't "likely explain" a design failure as more data is needed to "move the needle".
Your experience and the information you got about the Segway scooter motor moved the needle already, whether you like it or not and whether it's enough for you to form a conclusive opinion or not. See above.
Sure and my objective opinion is that the keyboard issue is overblown for the reasons I've given.
Agree to disagree I guess?
"Nope"? So you're saying you're *not* potentially as wrong as I am. Well, if you can't *conclusively* prove your hypothesis, then how can you prove you're *not* potentially as wrong as I am? See where I'm getting at?
Great. So it's possible you can be wrong. Just like it's possible I'm wrong. My earlier statement holds up.
My conclusive statement in my
first post was that only Apple can know the truth, since only they have the data. This does *not* mean we cannot form hypothesis and we cannot evaluate which one is more likely to be correct.
Basically, only Apple knows the truth, you and I have different hypothesis formed by limited information and my hypothesis is more likely to be correct due to Occam's Razor.
I explained to you why Occam's Razor suggests the reliability issue is the more likely explanation. I won't explain it again. Agree to disagree on this too I guess.
No. A few anecdotal reports have value, just themselves are not enough to move the needle. Don't put words in my mouth.
If they have value, they in fact move the needle, even if just slightly.
I didn't forget. I've mentioned the repair program further down the post and gave a possible reason for the program.
And you have been explained why your explanation for the program doesn't hold much water and even if it did would be the less likely explanation anyway. Again, I won't explain again, agree to disagree if you wish.
1. And where is your data for "why there are suddenly so many more reports of unreliability"?
This site alone reported on that multiple times, meaning that the reliability of the keyboard was, at least from MacRumors' point of view, by definition "noteworthy". Other very reputable sites reported on that too.
I explained already why the more likely explanation for that is that the keyboard had actual unreliability issues instead of alternative hypothesis.
2. I explained the growth in social media as one reason. Twitter grew 10 fold in active users since 2010. Having a large user base makes tweets easier to go viral. According to SemRush, from October 2016 to today, MacRumors traffic grew 6.5 fold. discussions.apple.com grew nearly 2 fold since 2016. Youtube grew 2.9 fold since 2016. Not that there are more issues, but online engagement has multiplied.
Because it's a new piece of technology, it becomes a punching bag for many that dislike the feature overall. iPhone antenna gate got all the attention because iPhone touted their revolutionary new antenna design, yet plenty of other phones had the same issue. 6+ got the bend gate attention because it was a brand new design, despite just a few legitimate reports of a bending issue and the fact that 6S+ was still bendable even after being reinforced.
AntennaGate got attention because
there actually was an issue: Apple actually knew about this, since one of their engineers raised the issue internally and
Apple actually issued an informative to their users about how to grip the phone during a call to prevent the issue. Consumer Reports did perform independent tests and did confirm the issue themselves.
BendGate got attention because
there actually was an issue: Apple's internal documents revealed they did identify the issue as a major concern even before they launched the devices.
TL;DR: if an issue in a product becomes newsworthy, the more likely explanation is that
the issue is real (which by the way basically summarizes the whole point...).
What? No, it wouldn't. If data showed butterfly switch isn't an issue, and people want the scissor switch back, why would I lie to customers saying scissor switch is more reliable? I as a CEO (in this hypothetical scenario) back the butterfly switch with a program, yet I understand people desire the scissor switch more. So I'll simply say "we now have a refined scissor switch experience" which is what Apple has done.
If there are claims that your new butterfly switch has reliability issues and you have the data to back up that it does not, you would disclose the data and defend the reputation of your company as producer of reliable products. This is not related to user's preference, but to your reputation as hardware company.
But I won't question further your strategy as CEO, agree to disagree on this too.
No. You're only seeing it through the lens that supports your argument. You're not seeing it from a different view. If I was a customer and I've been hearing all these overblown statements "OH MY GOD my keyboard is going to fail", that'll leave a bad taste in their mouth for spending so much money on this product. Guess what, I as a customer is going to have a lot to think about when the time comes to upgrade or buy new laptops for my children, especially during back to school season. I certainly stopped buying Alienware because they didn't stand by their X51 R2 product.
As I stated further down, I do agree there were in part PR considerations, but if an hardware company issues a repair program I don't buy it's only for PR, since in itself it damages the reputation of the company as producer of reliable hardware products.
Again, I guess agree to disagree...
Here we go again..."zero chance"...yet no data to back that up. Since that's more of an opinion rather than fact, we'll agree to disagree here.
Yep, that's what IMHO means: "In My Humble Opinion".
I'd say we'll agree to disagree in general at this point.