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Where are the articles about all the shipping space being bought up by Apple months ago? Did they sell a million watches on the first day of pre orders? Is the demand as great as that for the iPhone?
 
Space Grey had to be the first to slip. I was a few minutes late and saw 4-6 weeks, so I went with the Silver/Green combo.

It's crazy that the gold ones are in such limited supply. Maybe they gave too many to people like Drake, and Katy Perry :p

Edit: But we shouldn't get too excited about this, or mock the "haters". We have no idea how many they made. For all we know it could've been a few hundred thousand. Save the victory dance until we get the numbers -- IF we get the numbers!

It was CLEARLY in short supply not high demand , I don't know a single person that ordered one. When iPhone drops I can name 10-20 people who preorder
 
So what you also have to understand is spin up and spin down of each line.
They spool up for a launch but they will never spool up enough to meet demand cause then they would have lines that are harder to spool down. This is why they almost always have a trailing production of the last phone and keep selling it.

This is a new product line so i am not surprised there is a stock out.

Look at the last iPad launch there was almost 0 stock out.

The iPhone last launch out stripped demand as they sold more than they did the previous but a large margin. So they spooled up capacity.

This is a production capacity issue to not get it to large as you update yearly and yet not be to small that you can not meet demand

There is also a great side effect the shortage effect

I understand. So what rationale like this implies is that the very best even Apple can do is what we see EVERY SINGLE TIME: sold out within minutes of even iterative product updates. 100 reasons why that can make sense don't (IMO anyway) make up for the reality of not being able to do better-to-much-better next time.

If the above is THE reason, setting the launch date for 1 week later than they set it would allow more units to come off those lines and be ready to delight (instead of delay) that many more customers. Launching in less markets than they chose would provide more supply to customers in the chosen markets too. Etc. Simple thoughts like that make me buy the scarcity play (not the "holding back already-made product" but the "make too few", "launch too soon" and/or "launch in too many markets" so that we definitely sell out quickly).

I'm not even against the scarcity tactic- that's great marketing- but how about instead of selling out in X minutes, they sell out in X times 2 minutes, or X times 3 minutes, or X times 10 minutes. They still sell out, still get the same marketing press benefits of selling out AND they get to make more people who get up at all hours of the night happy to be among the "lucky" ones. No downside to any artificial or real marketing ploy... but it does come with the added benefit of many more happier customers who feel (lucky) special.
 
Because the alternative is that, having been through this same-shortages-and-shipment delay thing EVERY SINGLE TIME, Apple still can't use it's huge logistical brains and giant cash hoard to better balance initial supply & demand. EVERY SINGLE TIME.

So while one can read haters suggesting Apple is deviantly holding back watches in a warehouse somewhere to fake demand, another could read Apple lovers flipping what can look like a weakness or failure to better estimate demand into a shrewd marketing play with logical underpinnings: Apple is too dumb to better estimate initial demand such they they are sold out in minutes vs. Apple is so smart to flex it's big marketing brains to leverage the scarcity tactic (which, by the way, doesn't have to involve holding back watches that exist at all, but can also be accomplished by making too few, launching to too many markets at the same time, launching too soon rather than buying a little more time to build extra supply, etc)?

If it's as you imply, is Apple dumb for not being able to EVER guess well at initial demand? Of course not. They're smart people. So how does this still happen EVERY SINGLE TIME?

The only way that is compatible with the concept that the scarcity play is not utilized is that real demand always so far outstrips supply that no amount of Apple planning nor no amount of cash spent on manufacturing capacity can ever lead to the availability of more than a few minutes of available supply.

With this Watch, I can somewhat buy that it is hard for even Apple geniuses to make a modestly-accurate demand estimate for a brand new product & product line launch. However, it's the same sequence of events with every iterative (iPhone and iPad) launch too. EVERY SINGLE TIME.

There's no Apple put-down in all that- just answering a post to offer another view of the scarcity marketing tactic in a way that makes Apple look smart (genius), instead of seeming to always lack the ability STILL (after all these years) to better forecast demand such that product delivery is delayed within minutes of going on sale.

You are right on about Apple probably not having a good idea how many watches to make, but the same can be applies to iPhones as well. Remember that Apple is a still a growing company and every product they make is entering or making a new market.

For example:
- iPhone 4S (1st launch on Verizon)
- iPhone 5 (China)
- iPhone 6(s) (two new products with expanded market)

Predicting the demand each time can be very difficult.

I think another point you are missing in your 'every single time' argument is the shear numbers involved. Apple sold how many millions of iPhones last quarter? That's hundreds a SECOND that need to be made. It's impossible to make enough between final design approval to launch day.

Lastly, there is a flip side of this scarcity issue. iPads are so overstocked you never have to pay full price for even the latest model. So it's not 'every time'. :p
 
Placed an order at 3:05 am ... shipping quoted as 4-6 weeks.

Just checked same model via Apple Store app ... current shipping quoted as 2-4 weeks.

WTF?
 
I'm not really surprised that the gold one sold out, but do find it pretty sad that there enough people out there with enough disposable income/available credit to sell out a device that's only advantage is it costs more than the cheaper ones.
 
I'm not really surprised that the gold one sold out, but do find it pretty sad that there enough people out there with enough disposable income/available credit to sell out a device that's only advantage is it costs more than the cheaper ones.

How many were available?
 
So is this high demand or low supply?
I'm thinking this is more low supply and less high demand.
 
The vast majority of opinions I've read on this forum that are critical of Apple hardly seem hate-filled. We're mostly just adults here who own Apple products, love tech, and are simply entertaining ourselves by discussing and debating our opinions on various Apple news and rumors. I think this is usually a pretty civil place and people need to stop complaining so much about "the haters". Do you want discussion threads where everyone uniformly agrees? zzzzzzzzzz

Think Different™
 
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I'm shocked and not surprised at the same time. I expected the pricing to make this watch a flop all the while knowing it would sell millions. Apple is genius
 
that's a damned expensive bracelet/fashion victim / poser/loser item people are clamoring for...

seriously, i understand it LOOKs good, cant fault the looks, but functionally ?!? Needs better battery life, you would think that some of apples BILLIONS would be sunk into researching battery life, not just ways to use less gold and sell for higher profit margins.
 
Wow, and I thought I would be safe waiting until mid-May to check it out when I'm next near an Apple Store. Seems like I'll be able to try it on but if I order it probably won't be available until August—in which case I'll be even more likely to skip it altogether.

Most of Apple's big product launches are usually in the autumn now. Will Apple transition to autumn launches in the future? I know not this year, but will next year's watch come out in the summer and then the autumn in 2017? Although in the past they haven't been afraid to release a new iPad six months later. But I think with a product this new with a longer cycle, they'd really tick off a bunch of people. But then again they ticked off original iPhone buyers by dropping the price $200 after a few months. Oh memories!
 
I doubt they truly sold out. Its more likely Apple is holding back supply to create demand.

Apple: we have 10000 edition apple watch ready for $17K each. Let's keep them from selling, because you know, we do not want the money, all

$170 000 000

of it.

Critics (see above): hum.. Yes, that's what I say... Right.
 
I doubt they truly sold out. Its more likely Apple is holding back supply to create demand.

They probably sold about a 500K, which was their initial lot of stock but you'll see inventory and ship times change hourly as stock mysteriously becomes available.

It will be interesting to see the reviews in the upcoming weeks.
 
It's annoying hearing that same BS over and over every product launch that Apple is holding back supply...but yet they go on to break records every time. I don't think Tim is saying, "Oh let's show availability for months because it looks like we are in high demand." In all actuality, that would make people not want to purchase it right now since they can't get it soon.
 
You are right on about Apple probably not having a good idea how many watches to make, but the same can be applies to iPhones as well. Remember that Apple is a still a growing company and every product they make is entering or making a new market.

For example:
- iPhone 4S (1st launch on Verizon)
- iPhone 5 (China)
- iPhone 6(s) (two new products with expanded market)

Predicting the demand each time can be very difficult.

OK. Let me give it a try with no logistical systems and no expert staff dedicated solely to logistics with which to consult. Next iDevice will sell out within minutes of launch. Anyone here have any doubts whatsoever about that statement? Anyone?

Use whatever methods are currently used to arrive at the initial amount (X) of the next iDevice to have in stock:
-add 100 more units to X so that 100 more customers up at midnight or 3am get to have that "lucky" (special) one feeling. Or,
-add 1000 more units to X, so that 1000 more customers... OR
-multiply X times 2, so that twice as many initial orders can be fulfilled on launch day. If X sells out in- say- 20 minutes, conceptually, this might lead to X times 2 selling out in up to 40 minutes. We still sell out and get all the press about selling out in minutes but we make TWICE as many buyers feel "lucky".
-multiply X by Y, where Y is a best estimate bigger than 2 but still compatible with our real or false goal of selling out for the marketing scarcity punch. If X sells out in 20 minutes and we want the morning press to be able to tout "sold out", we have up to 5 hours/20 minutes or Y = 15 to sell out before the morning press is readying their earliest reports AND up to 15 times more buyers feeling "lucky".

Simplistic? Oh yes. Naively simplistic? Yes. But could any of you argue X times 2 or 3 makes no sense for iterative product launches? if EVERY SINGLE TIME an iterative is sold out in minutes, same "projection times 2 or 3" still sells out in "minutes times 2 or 3" but 2 or 3 times more buyers get to feel lucky.
 
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This is simply a case of not enough inventory at launch. And we don't know currently what those #s are.

I don't think Apple deliberately planned to create scarcity - I simply think they launched without having an adequate supply and kept to their launch date.
 
You really think someone posting they don't think this watch is truly sold out warrants this kind of response? Lame.

The vast majority of opinions I've read on this forum that are critical of Apple hardly seem hate-filled. We're mostly just adults here who own Apple products, love tech, and are simply entertaining ourselves by discussing and debating our opinions on various Apple news and rumors. I think this is usually a pretty civil place and people need to stop complaining so much about "the haters". Do you want discussion threads where everyone uniformly agrees? zzzzzzzzzz

Think Different™
Thank you for providing a post of reason for the applinoids.
 
Apple say - "Come try our watches on so you know what you want before you buy". But if you do this you have to wait months more to get your watch. Trying on a Apple Watch before you buy one is very expensive. In terms of time you have you wait to get your watch compared to people who ordered online the second pre-orders were open.
 
I wasn't even going to order one, but it was our anniversary and my wife decided to order one for me. She stayed up until 3AM EST to put in an order as soon as the Apple web site came back up, and her order for a 42mm sport watch with the black band said 4-6 weeks delivery time. It's hard to believe all of those for April 24th. delivery sold out quicker than she could click through the site to order one!

Well in my case, I had already added the watch I wanted as a favorite so at 2:01 CDT it was a matter of opening the app, selecting "favorites", selecting the watch (it was the only item on my list), selecting "Buy with Pay" and leaving a thumbprint. Took seconds.
 
6 hours??

I was online at 12:01 PDT, and I couldn't find any model with less than 4-6 weeks shipping time.
 
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