Here's what I've been able to determine...
- If you're getting the 6 or 6+ this week, consider yourself among the chosen few.
- wireless.att.com and AT&T Premier pages are likely the best source of information for the rest of us. Their system is simply overloaded at the moment. The updates and date fluctuations are further proof of this. (Though my personal delivery estimate has stubbornly remained at 10/13 - 10/31.)
- AT&T operators (phone and chat) know exactly what you know and are basically being told to say some variation of "sorry, we understand". Followed by "it's not our fault, we're doing what we can". They are also overworked and having to deal with many other frustrated, angry callers. (Remember, it's not the fault of the operator. Try to remember that if you somehow manage to get one of them on the line.)
- The 877-782-8870 line seems to be the most accurate if you simply must call.
- The 866-391-0749 line doesn't appear to have current, useful information. Unless it does, in which case it might.
So, there's that.
We have these discussions every launch. Every year people complain about AT&T and every year they end up delivering the phones on launch day.
I think this is the 3rd or 4th launch I've done through AT&T (I've always ordered when the site goes live at 2CST) and I've never not gotten it on launch day.
The fact is that AT&T is getting inundated by paranoid, annoying people. Wait until the things actually ship later in the week before complaining about the possibility of not getting them. But saying that only a "chosen few" will get them is a huge exaggeration.