MacsomJRR said:
I for one am hoping that the NL West picks up their bats this season and joins the rest of MLB in the major leagues. Last season was a joke and even though my pads "won" it just didn't feel right... especially knowing that the playoffs were going to be a complete one and done go home c-ya later thanks for showing up bye bye now.
What do you think? I'm praying we don't embarass ourselves like last year.
I think we can assume that the NL West won't be that weak again. The concentration of that many mediocre teams in one division was of historic proportions and is unlikely to happen again so soon. In the same season, the Padres forgot how to hit, the Giants lost Bonds and a few other cogs, and the Dodgers lost practically every opening-day player. Those things can't all possibly happen again.
I'm inclined to believe -- maybe just because it's a stand to make early on -- that at least one of the three teams will stumble early on and won't be a threat down the stretch. It could be any one of them for the reasons you mentioned and more.
- The Padres don't seem to have improved their offense much, if at all. It's possible that this will be the year their lineup adapts to their homer-depressing ballpark and finds other ways to score, but it doesn't look like it right now. I for one am mystified that Piazza would go to a NL team at this point. I thought the Angels were almost a lock to get him.
- The Giants seem to have set themselves up for a redux of last season, when they bet the farm that their veteran players would stay healthy and not suffer late-career fades. Once Bonds went down it probably didn't matter though. The exact same thing could happen this year, only with the potential for the Spirit for 756 to spice things up and make the Giants watchable even if they aren't contenders.
- The Dodgers seem to have improved the most on paper, but so much is unproven at this point. Will all these new players mesh together? Can the starters stay consistent? Will Drew, Kent, Gagne, and Penny stay healthy? Can Grady Little manage a bullpen? Nobody knows, although many pretend to. I like our chances, but then I thought we were the favorites last year too, so include me among those who pretend to know.
I think any of these three teams can go all the way. By that I don't mean that they're great teams because they're not. But the last few years have seen powerhouse regular-season teams (Cards, Braves, Yankees) stumble in the playoffs to teams that got hot to finish the season (Astros, Marlins). Win your division or the wild card with a surge and you're right there.