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The DEA was only watching him, they wouldn't actually burst into the house and apprehend him.

However, there is still a possibility of the DEA agents seeing Walt confront Jesse in the house. Wonder how Hank would deal with that?

So, the DEA, a law enforcement agency, wouldn't arrest someone for kicking a door in and spreading gasoline all over the house? I'm sorry, but I'm pretty sure they would.
 
The DEA was only watching him

Don't forget: Hank just pulled the surveillance after Steve Gomez questioned him about it.

Its not clear whether or not Albuquerque PD had a tail on him. But if they did, watching him (or anyone) break into a house with a can of gasoline would be pretty strong probable cause to arrest him. We'll find out pretty soon if the ABPD prevents Jesse from torching Casa White. But looking back at the condition of the house in the flash forward at the beginning of this season, its pretty clear it suffered some damage that was more than just simple neglect, without actually being totally burned.
 
So, the DEA, a law enforcement agency, wouldn't arrest someone for kicking a door in and spreading gasoline all over the house? I'm sorry, but I'm pretty sure they would.

They're following him and they'll be doing it inconspicuously, which means they won't be close behind. They probably wouldn't have got there in time to see him bring the petrol into the house.

Don't forget: Hank just pulled the surveillance after Steve Gomez questioned him about it.

Exactly, we don't know if that order had gone through yet or not, although I'm betting on not.

Its not clear whether or not Albuquerque PD had a tail on him. But if they did, watching him (or anyone) break into a house with a can of gasoline would be pretty strong probable cause to arrest him. We'll find out pretty soon if the ABPD prevents Jesse from torching Casa White. But looking back at the condition of the house in the flash forward at the beginning of this season, its pretty clear it suffered some damage that was more than just simple neglect, without actually being totally burned.

Yeah the house certainly won't get torched. Walter had realised by the end of the latest episode what Jesse was going to do and was after him. He'll end up confronting Jesse at the house for sure.
 
Exactly, we don't know if that order had gone through yet or not, although I'm betting on not.

I'm speculating here, but if DEA guys see Jesse going into Walter White's house with the intent of torching it, that would put Hank in a really tough spot.

It certainly doesn't prove Walt was Heisenberg (to the rest of the DEA) - but it does open up some questions. Not the least of which is why didn't Hank figure out the connection earlier - as Walt's brilliantly evil video points out.

The thing I'm not sure I understand: Why doesn't Jesse just rat on Walt? Is there some sort of residual loyalty? Is there the fear that, even if he testifies against Walt, he'll still do many years in prison? Is Jesse guilty about shooting Gale? Or is Jesse petrified that Walt will use his evil genius to have him killed, no matter where the DEA stash him?

The one thing I'm (reasonably) sure of: Walt didn't buy that M60 because he was worried about the DEA. He may very well have fled town for New Hampshire because of the DEA. But my guess is that Lydia; Todd's Aryan Nation uncle; or the Mexican cartel are the reason he's lugging around maximum firepower.
 
I'm speculating here, but if DEA guys see Jesse going into Walter White's house with the intent of torching it, that would put Hank in a really tough spot.

It certainly doesn't prove Walt was Heisenberg (to the rest of the DEA) - but it does open up some questions. Not the least of which is why didn't Hank figure out the connection earlier - as Walt's brilliantly evil video points out.

The thing I'm not sure I understand: Why doesn't Jesse just rat on Walt? Is there some sort of residual loyalty? Is there the fear that, even if he testifies against Walt, he'll still do many years in prison? Is Jesse guilty about shooting Gale? Or is Jesse petrified that Walt will use his evil genius to have him killed, no matter where the DEA stash him?

The one thing I'm (reasonably) sure of: Walt didn't buy that M60 because he was worried about the DEA. He may very well have fled town for New Hampshire because of the DEA. But my guess is that Lydia; Todd's Aryan Nation uncle; or the Mexican cartel are the reason he's lugging around maximum firepower.

why would he be after Walt?
 
Don't forget the Czech's.

I thought about the Czechs. But we haven't really met them, and it seems a little late in the series to be introducing a whole new crew. And, as far as I can tell, they don't really have a beef with Walt. You don't persuade your top supplier to start cooking again by murdering him.

Breaking Bad is amazing at playing mind games with its viewers. The whole series of flash forwards at the start of Season Two's episodes led you believe that there had been some sort of explosion or fire at Walt's house - and that presumably one of his meth cooks had gone wrong.

So my takeaway is that its a mistake to make too many predictions or guesses based on clues. But I still do it anyway.
 
I thought about the Czechs. But we haven't really met them, and it seems a little late in the series to be introducing a whole new crew. And, as far as I can tell, they don't really have a beef with Walt. You don't persuade your top supplier to start cooking again by murdering him.

Breaking Bad is amazing at playing mind games with its viewers. The whole series of flash forwards at the start of Season Two's episodes led you believe that there had been some sort of explosion or fire at Walt's house - and that presumably one of his meth cooks had gone wrong.

So my takeaway is that its a mistake to make too many predictions or guesses based on clues. But I still do it anyway.

Ahhh, I almost forgot about the mysterious pink bear. Did you notice the eye in his drawer when Skyler was looking around?
 
Wouldn't it be more accurate to say they are pirated?
Yeah, whatever.

I don't think there's a legal way to watch BrBad in my country (itunes here doesn't have movies and tv shows, no netflix, etc).
Not that i would ever pay for music/movies/apps/etc. ;)
 
This show has got to one of my most favorite shows ever. I'm going to be sad when it ends.
 

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Not much action in tonight's episode. More cerebral, which is becoming what these last 8 episodes seem to be about. That said I'm extremely curious about what Jesse has in store

I'm sure it'll follow the same formula Breaking Bad has stuck to these past 5 years. It'll spend tons of time patiently wracking up the tension to unbearable levels, twisting and straining the characters into knots until they all reach their breaking points, then explode into copious amounts of horror and violence that'll leave sitting there in stunned silence. What you're saying might be true of the next three episodes, but the last will be nothing but fury as everything falls apart and probably leaves at least half the cast dead in the aftermath.

From the way Walt looks a year later, broken as he is, I'm sure either Walt Jr. or baby Holly will die at some point. Considering the shows love of brutality, he could end up losing his entire family. Who knows what Lydia, Todd, and his uncle are planning behind the scenes. And Jesse? I'll be surprised if he lives to see the last episode.

From what I've been reading, everyone in the know talks about how horrible the ending is. Whatever happens, it's not gonna be happy, and it's not going to be about Walt going gently into that good night. My prediction is he's gonna outlive everything and everyone he's ever cared about, then take himself out in a blaze of tragic glory.
 
Who knows what Lydia, Todd, and his uncle are planning behind the scenes. And Jesse? I'll be surprised if he lives to see the last episode.

The thing thats great about Breaking Bad is how much happens without you really noticing it. There might not have been "much action in tonight's episode" - but if we look back on it six weeks from now, I'll bet there were all sorts of clues and setups for the things to come.

Of most importance, I think, is the fact that the Whites moved out of their house. I could be wrong but I doubt Walt, Skyler or Holly will ever spend another night at 308 Negra Arroyo. Once Walt checked into a (surprisingly plush) hotel, it becomes that much easier to stick to the mobile lifestyle. What prompts him to upstakes for New Hampshire - and whether or not Skyler and his kids go with him - I'm not sure.

Hank crossed a significant milestone this episode. Even though he brought Steve Gomez in on the secret, his deliberate decision to keep Pinkman out of the DEA system suggests he's already decided not to use the Justice system to bring Walt down. He's already declared that the day he tells his bosses about Walt is the day his career ends. Jesse's last-second turnaround may make it that much easier for Hank to go off the reservation. Marie certainly doesn't seem to have any qualms about that.

In the long run, however, I think Walt's phone call to Todd about getting in touch with his neo-Nazi uncle will have the biggest ramifications.
 
I have an idea that Marie may kill or at least attempt to kill Walt based on her session with her psychologist. If not, at the very least she will play some part in this. She's already committed to staying at the house with Pinkman there and wants to know what's happening.

Skyler in no uncertain terms told Walt to kill Jesse, and he didn't want to. But now after the plaza scene, I'm thinking he's changed his mind, much like Jesse did in cooperating with Hank and the DEA.

No doubt there will be a crossfire, and who knows who will be caught in the middle. I certainly hope its not the kids.

I especially liked how Hank and Jesse left Walt's house, seconds before Walt turned the corner, that was apropos.
 
Loved last night's episode especially Hank, Skyler and Marie all channeling their inner Walter White. Seems to me that Walt is the only one who doesn't want Jesse dead.
 
I have an idea that Marie may kill or at least attempt to kill Walt based on her session with her psychologist.

I think the writers are setting things up so almost everyone will have at least some sort of motive for wanting to take Walt down.

I'm becoming more and more convinced Walt is worried about Todd's Aryan Nation uncle when he buys the machine gun. They seem like the only plausible - at this stage - potential enemy. I had thought Declan (the Arizona drug kingpin who originally wanted to buy Mike, Walt, and Jesse out) was a likely candidate. But Lydia took care of him and his crew. There doesn't seem to be anything left of the Mexican cartel (at least in the BB universe) thanks to Gus' takedown of Don Eladio et al. I can't see him needing a machine gun to fend of Jane's dad, Bogdan, Brock's mom, or even Saul and Heull. And then there is the threatening "Heisenberg" sprayed on the wall of Walt's ruined home.

I am actually also beginning to think Walt will suffer a fate similar to that of Omar on The Wire. He'll get killed, but not by any of the obvious suspects. Someone (or thing) you've seen before. Its just you won't see it coming. Considering the number of automobile incidents Walt has gone through, getting blindsided by a chicken delivery truck wouldn't totally amaze me. The producers have talked about Breaking Bad as the story of a man "turning from Mr Chips into Scarface" - but I'm not sure I see Walt going out a la Tony Montana, a pile of blue meth in front of him and the M60 blazing.

How is Jesse going to (try to) take Walt down? I think a great part of Jesse's growth as a character has been his ability to come up with great plans: using magnets to wipe the computer, the methylamine heist. Just as he grew, under Walt's tutelage, to become a great meth cook - so too did he learn scheming from the master.

Lets also not forget the ~$60 million Walt just buried in the desert. Preserving a chunk of that for his family is - at this point - all that Walt can reasonably hope to achieve long term. Does Jesse know this? And does Jesse know that, if Walt ends up dying but still letting Skyler keep the money, Walt will still consider that he's "won"? I think Jesse is smart enough to figure that out, and so I wouldn't be surprised if he uses that angle to somehow get Walt in his sights.

I'm also growing more and more sure that official law enforcement (DEA, ABQPD) won't be the ones who take Walt down. With only four episodes left, there isn't really time to go through investigation, indictment, arrest, bail hearings, etc. And Hank and Gomez seem to recognize they don't have hard enough proof, or even the chance of getting much with Walt retired from cooking. The threat from law enforcement will, I believe, merely provide another source of pressure on Walt, one that Jesse may be able to use to predict Walt's movements.

The writers and producers have promised us a "satisfying" ending. And I think Vince Gilligan read enough of the frustration with The Sopranos ending, not to simply leave us with a cut to black..

Stay tuned, and tread lightly... (Maybe Jesse plants a landmine on top of Walt's buried cache of cash!)

Update: It just crossed my mind: Do we really know that Jesse is playing it straight with Hank? His bailing on his wired meet with Walt could have been out of fear - but it also could be part of his plan to play Walt and Hank off against each other. If he'd gotten Walt confessing on tape (not an unreasonable expectation) to something (poisoning Brock, etc.) would have been enough to put Walt in jail, no matter how good Walt is at weaseling out of things.

What a great show this is....
 
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Excellent synopsis and speculation there. Very nice.

Update: It just crossed my mind: Do we really know that Jesse is playing it straight with Hank? His bailing on his wired meet with Walt could have been out of fear - but it also could be part of his plan to play Walt and Hank off against each other. If he'd gotten Walt confessing on tape (not an unreasonable expectation) to something (poisoning Brock, etc.) would have been enough to put Walt in jail, no matter how good Walt is at weaseling out of things.

What a great show this is....

This crossed my mind as well. Jesse didn't seem like he was 100% with the DEA and only jumped in the van after they came after him. Had they not gone after him or found him, he'd likely have gone his own way executing his plan.
 
In the long run, however, I think Walt's phone call to Todd about getting in touch with his neo-Nazi uncle will have the biggest ramifications.

Yup. They're working for Lydia now, and when they see how weakened Walt currently is, they'll likely make a move against him. In fact, here's the way I think it's all going to end...

Walt will end up being the only surviving member of his family. It's a nice, tragic twist that the dying man eventually outlives everyone he truly cares about, losing them all due to the roundabout consequences of his actions. The things he did to make sure they're secure and comfortable after his passing will ultimately lead to their deaths. It fits in perfectly with the themes of the show, and the writers have enough love for both tragic absurdities and emotionally punching us in the face to allow it to happen.

This latter half of the 5th season has shown that life, at least in the drug trade, is cyclical. As Walt eventually succeeded Gus, so will Lydia eventually succeed Walt. I have a feeling that with Walt being hounded by the DEA, they're going to deem him far too great a risk to keep alive. He knows too much. Knows each of these new players personally. If he's caught, he could ruin their entire new enterprise. He'll obviously escape their retaliation, but I doubt most of his family will be so lucky.

While watching Talking Bad (yeah, I know...shut up), Vince Gilligan mentions that Lydia will "learn something about salmon spawning". This makes me think about the cyclical, fight or die nature of the drug trade I mentioned above. It's a pretty big hint, actually.

Like I said before, I seriously doubt Jesse will make it to the final episode. He'll have one big victory, then...bam. He's gone. In fact, I'd say the vast majority of the cast won't make it to the last half hour. The final scenes will be Walt going out in a blaze of glory. Even as a broken man living the worst moments of his life, Walt has too much pride and ego to just lie down and let things take their natural course. No doubt he intends to die in infamy, and take quite a few people with him.

...REMEMBER MY NAME.
 
While watching Talking Bad (yeah, I know...shut up), Vince Gilligan mentions that Lydia will "learn something about salmon spawning". This makes me think about the cyclical, fight or die nature of the drug trade I mentioned above. It's a pretty big hint, actually.

I was wondering about that hint, too. Salmon die swimming home to spawn. Maybe that refers to Walt's return to his vacant home that we saw in one of the flashforwards. At the time, I remember asking why Walt would go somewhere that dangerous, even to get the ricin capsule. Maybe it's intended for Lydia, though I'd think that event would take place even closer to the end of the series than we are now. Anyway, more than ever, I think that the writers are going to leave us viewers with "why did so-and-so just do that?" questions until the finale.
 
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