gonna bomb worse than the apple watch. a lot worse. i can't see this having mass market appeal.
tv is for old people and old ppl are fine with current tv. techy ppl don't sit in front of the tv anymore.
If by "techy people" you are referring to children (aside from console gaming) and nerds (not saying that in an offensive way) I tend to agree with you.
However television is still the central hub of entertain in a US home. More then ever houses plans are being designed around entertain systems that revolve around some form of television set. Before you'd stick a television into a living room, now we are building the living rooms around the television. Them being built into the wall, wiring for ethernet and surround sound with speakers integrated into the walls, subs properly placed behind the seating, etc etc. It isn't even an addition anymore its a standard feature.
And the Apple Watch has FAR from bomb, care to elaborate a little more on that? Or like so many other uninformed people since it does have the impact the iPhone has its a flop right? If that is your definition of bomb then yes, the AppleTV will bomb very hard since set top boxes are such an insignificant part of the market.