Yes, and I’ll be laughing at all the irrational Elon haters when I’m driving around in my Cybertruck.
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While Elon is disrupting cars, semis, pickup trucks, energy, and space travel, Apple is bringing back 20 yr old laptop designs and peddling $3,500 version of the failed Oculus. Do me a favor and message me if Apple releases something… anything… that even remotely resembles real innovation like the iPhone or this beast of an automobile.
A few points…
Elon is not an engineer, nor is he a physicist. He’s no mathematician. What he did is BUY into Tesla and then get rid of the founders. That being said, since he effectively ran the company from the model S and beyond, I’ll give HIM, the engineers he hired, credit for all vehicles beyond the roadster.
Musk said Full Self Driving is safer than a human in 2019. Wrong. He is no where near solving FSD. He continues to lie about this.
As for Semi, he claimed $0.07 per mile stating that the charging stations would only charge from solar and thus would undercut diesel, quoting 7 cents per mile. He is wrong again. More like 50 cents. I can think of a few ways to charge a semi very quickly, as I am sure half the readers here can also. Hint: it’s not rocket science. The engineering problems to solve are recharging and cost of ownership. If the semi takes longer to charge and the cost per mile is no different, Musk won’t be disrupting anything at all in the area of semi.
Semi acceleration is impressive. Anything electric will be given a good power pack.
Charging network. This is indeed a marvel and Musk deserves credit here. Most charging stations seem to be a disaster where as Tesla charging stations just work for the most part.
Musk has had a few key successes, but at the same time, he makes many more claims which are not founded in reality. If you really start to objectively listen to him, one thing becomes very clear. He’s not really an engineer at all. He’s essentially the purse. He created a lot of noise and got a lot of good talented people interested in working for him and it’s easy to see why. The pace of innovation is Fast and loose. People want to make a difference and the sooner the better. I believe that ”was” the attraction. A reusable primary stage rocket, which does indeed work is an achievemenT by anyone’s standard. And getting a car company off the ground despite the massive naked shorting is also an achievement.
But here is the thing. If you seriously go back and watch every event, and listen to what he says about full self driving, you will see how wrong he is about it. Now this is not my opinion. It is fact and it is backed up by how often he is wrong. He has been saying for Eight years, that he’d be surprised if it was completed within six months to a year, knowing full well that he directed staff to edit videos to give the appearance of better full self driving. That’s fraud. That’s why I tell you that if you just listen to the next date he gives, and write that date on the wall, I will guarantee that he wilL miss that date. How can I be so sure that he will? Because I know for a fact that he is slightly less that level 2 currently. I know for a fact that he “WAS” still training the car’s input with people that he then fired. In other words, he’s making zero progress on this right now. If you don’t even have the tools to make it happen, guess what will happen? NOTHING. Write that date on the wall, and watch him miss it. Then write the next date on the wall, and watch him miss that too. And then explain to me how I am so wrong. I dare you to reply back with that first new date here. We can all watch him miss it. And miss the next one, and the one after that, too. He’ll keep missing them until he gets serious about solving the problem the only way it can be solved.
Next, this being a multi-planetary species. What a great goal to have. Except it’s not real. And even if it were, Mars is not the answer. There is no magnetosphere. That means that even if only two nukes could warm the planet, which is wrong, it will take over 1000 do that if it worked at all. But let’s pretend it did work. The atmosphere would erode away anyway. Why?? No magnetosphere to keep it. The next problem is gravity. There isn’t much of it. If you could live on mars, you’d atrophy on the trip to mars so much so that your heart wouldn’t be strong enough to pump blood on Earth. You wouldn’t survive the trip anyway, but if you did somehow you couldn’t return to Earth anyway. Earth would easily overwhelm your body and kill you.
Landing on Mars would be extremely difficult. The force on the soil will blow it all over the place. You’d need an Extremely strong platform, but luckily, there is less gravity, so not as difficult to leave the planet. You wouldn’t need 42 raptors to escape Mars gravity. But you’d still need a platform. Without a platform, you’d blow the ground below you all over the place, and in the seconds it will take to lift off, your ship might tip over and fall down. If that happens, massive explosion and everyone dies. So now you have the chicken and the egg problem. You need a platform, but landing a massive heave ship with building materials will be difficult because there is no platform. So what you bring, must stay until such time as you have a platform. So how do get there with materials to build a platform?
Problem by problem you will have to work out the logistics and making a mars missing possible. And guess what… We‘re not hearing any of this from Musk. Why not? Because there is no mars mission. Do you think we just built a rover and threw at mars??? No, we didn’t. We thought of several ways to land it. A giant balloon Package that essentially hits the planet and bounces until coming to a stop and then the rover pops out. An elevator system that descends the rover from a giant parachute and so on. All of this takes a long time to engineer.
How long until Mars will be in the right alignment with Earth for a launch? How long is the flight time? That’s why I try to tell you that you should look at how long space exploration takes us now. How long did it take to build the James Webb telescope. How long did it take Musk to built a human transport to the space station, which is just in low earth orbit? When you see those numbers, ask yourself how long it will take to build a platform on Mars. One year? Five years? Twenty years?? What number would you assign to this task?? Now consider that Musk is 52. Let’s assume you give building a landing pad on Mars twenty years. Then Musk will be 72 by the time he can start the first test of landing on that finished platform. Maybe you believe twenty years is too long. Great, what estimate to give, and give a reason you believe it. Site examples of other tasks that give you reason to believe your answer is accurate.
Once you start to reason this issue, ask yourself how you would terraform mars? How would you warm it. How would you keep that atmosphere without a magnetosphere? How would solve the problem of getting people there. After 42 raptors fire off on Earth and set out for Mars, how much damage would be done to those engines? What kind of shape would they be in over the course of the flight? Remember, they are filled with liquid oxygen the whole time and still have to land on Mars and still need enough fuel to come back. What method would you employ to make that a human-safe endeavor? How long will all that take to engineer? What timeline would you give these engineering problems?
Next, let’s discuss StarLink. How many satellites are needed? What cost are all these satellites and how long will these satellites Last? They last five years by the way. So after five yours you will be deorbitting 42,000 satellites and launching another 42,000. How much?? What does each customer pay for the service, and what is the cost to maintain this? Again, I’m asking you to use your own common sense. If you think this is a money-maker, tell me why?
So I know what you are thinking, okay, Sasha here knows better than Elon Musk. Why would Musk be launching all these satellites if this were not a solid business?? Why indeed? That’s my question to you. Why did Elizabeth Holmes Pretend she needed a single drop of blood to perform many tests when the rest of the world could not? Why did smart investors invest in it if it wasn’t real?? Answer me this… Was it real or was it a fraud? It was a fraud, wasn’t it. So all those smart investors, why did they fall for it?
Why did Kevin O’Leary Tell you Sam Friedman was the best trader on the planet and his pagents are world renowned at compliance and yet zero compliance was adhered to and the trades were all stupid he lost $40 billion in record time? Kevin O’Leary is stupid? All those investors are stupid?? Well? What actually happened? Did Kevin lose his money? Yes, he did? Why? Didn’t he do due diligence? No he didn’t. Why not? He assumed someone else did. So this kid basically fooled everyone?? YES.
So again, why do you think Musk can makes Mars work? When you just use some basic common sense, you see he can’t. So why talk about it?? It sounds good, doesn’t it?? You respect the man that is brining us to Mars, right? Except he isn’t. He can’t.
I’m 55. I’m old enough to know ******** when I see it.